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Message
re: Hurricane Dorian - Headed to Canada
Posted on 8/28/19 at 7:52 pm to NorthEndZone
Posted on 8/28/19 at 7:52 pm to NorthEndZone
(no message)
This post was edited on 8/28/19 at 8:53 pm
Posted on 8/28/19 at 7:53 pm to Roll Tide Ravens
This storm is gonna be a spicy meatball.
Posted on 8/28/19 at 7:57 pm to Roll Tide Ravens
That is a well formed tight hole
Posted on 8/28/19 at 7:57 pm to BritLSUfan
Posted on 8/28/19 at 7:59 pm to The Boat
So, were we at with this little storm that was posted a few days back?
Way back on page 15 or so, I stated this storm is breaking all rules.
Way back on page 15 or so, I stated this storm is breaking all rules.
Posted on 8/28/19 at 8:01 pm to GeauxLSUGRL
(no message)
This post was edited on 10/19/21 at 11:45 am
Posted on 8/28/19 at 8:02 pm to NorthEndZone
quote:
Models have it narrowed down to between about Jacksonville and Fort Pierce if you ignore the legacy TAB (formerly BAM) models.
That graphic does not include the Euro or ICON global models.
UKMET, CMC, and GFS are the other globals which are represented in that graphic.
Doesnt tell the whole story
Posted on 8/28/19 at 8:07 pm to lsugolfredman
Understood. The latest Euro is around Ft. Lauderdale or West Palm and the Icon is around the Upper Keys.
Posted on 8/28/19 at 8:07 pm to Lsuhoohoo
quote:
Would appreciate a continued local outlook. As I mentioned earlier, we've got a place outside of Ocala. Just Northeast of Fort McCoy (out in BFE)
Oh man, Rte 19 through there is my favorite road in all of Fla. You are right, it is bumfrick nowhere. You can go a hundred for like 3 minutes straight through there at points.
Posted on 8/28/19 at 8:10 pm to GeauxLSUGRL
quote:Or possibly because that's the meat of the season as it peaks in September? Isadore Sept 26, Camile Aug. 17, Lili Oct. 3. Maybe all coincidence.
The date of Andrew was Aug 26 with Katrina on Aug 29 then Gustav Sept. 1st. Maybe all coincidence....
Posted on 8/28/19 at 8:10 pm to GeauxLSUGRL
quote:
The date of Andrew was Aug 26 with Katrina on Aug 29 then Gustav Sept. 1st. Maybe all coincidence....
My b-day is August 30th... tell me about coincidences
Posted on 8/28/19 at 8:10 pm to NorthEndZone
quote:
The latest Euro
18z from @RyanMaue
Posted on 8/28/19 at 8:11 pm to Jake88
This is a compact hurricane so far. Sometimes the compact ones can pack the biggest punch, just over a small area. Not that this will be the same, but Camille and Andrew were that way.
Posted on 8/28/19 at 8:19 pm to rds dc
quote:
rds dc
Way back on page 2, on 8/24, you posted a map saying Dorian is now a tropical storm. It appeared to be about an hour east of Disney at 2 pm on Monday on that map.
The latest updates show it almost right on top of Disney at 2 pm on Monday.
Pretty damned close, Baw.
Posted on 8/28/19 at 8:19 pm to rds dc
the euro model is scary with such a strong bend to the west. anything in gom is PED fuel right now for a storm with the hottest waters.
Posted on 8/28/19 at 8:20 pm to rds dc
So, thinks are looking more and more to the south of Fla?
Posted on 8/28/19 at 8:20 pm to rds dc
Dorian is still struggling to build deep convection completely around the eye. A sign that we are probably looking at steady strengthening right now vs bombing out. Watch for that ring of red.


Posted on 8/28/19 at 8:21 pm to rds dc
Looking at the NOAA historical tracks data, West Palm Beach has not been close (within 30 miles) to a landfalling major hurricane from the Atlantic since 1949 - 70 years.
For their location, that seems like a very long time to be lucky. Maybe it's time now.
For their location, that seems like a very long time to be lucky. Maybe it's time now.
This post was edited on 8/28/19 at 8:35 pm
Posted on 8/28/19 at 8:22 pm to NorthEndZone
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