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re: Hurricane Dorian - Headed to Canada

Posted on 8/28/19 at 7:52 pm to
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
51682 posts
Posted on 8/28/19 at 7:52 pm to
(no message)
This post was edited on 8/28/19 at 8:53 pm
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
177195 posts
Posted on 8/28/19 at 7:53 pm to
This storm is gonna be a spicy meatball.
Posted by tilco
Spanish Fort, AL
Member since Nov 2013
14470 posts
Posted on 8/28/19 at 7:57 pm to
That is a well formed tight hole
Posted by Hangit
The Green Swamp
Member since Aug 2014
46754 posts
Posted on 8/28/19 at 7:57 pm to
quote:

BritLSUfan


Thanks for this link. It has been updated.

NOAA moving line.
Posted by fishfighter
RIP
Member since Apr 2008
40026 posts
Posted on 8/28/19 at 7:59 pm to
So, were we at with this little storm that was posted a few days back?


Way back on page 15 or so, I stated this storm is breaking all rules.
Posted by lsutiger2010
Member since Aug 2008
14790 posts
Posted on 8/28/19 at 8:01 pm to
(no message)
This post was edited on 10/19/21 at 11:45 am
Posted by lsugolfredman
Member since Jun 2005
1941 posts
Posted on 8/28/19 at 8:02 pm to
quote:

Models have it narrowed down to between about Jacksonville and Fort Pierce if you ignore the legacy TAB (formerly BAM) models.


That graphic does not include the Euro or ICON global models.

UKMET, CMC, and GFS are the other globals which are represented in that graphic.

Doesnt tell the whole story
Posted by NorthEndZone
Member since Dec 2008
14258 posts
Posted on 8/28/19 at 8:07 pm to
Understood. The latest Euro is around Ft. Lauderdale or West Palm and the Icon is around the Upper Keys.
Posted by Tiger in NY
Neptune Beach, FL
Member since Sep 2003
31584 posts
Posted on 8/28/19 at 8:07 pm to
quote:

Would appreciate a continued local outlook. As I mentioned earlier, we've got a place outside of Ocala. Just Northeast of Fort McCoy (out in BFE)


Oh man, Rte 19 through there is my favorite road in all of Fla. You are right, it is bumfrick nowhere. You can go a hundred for like 3 minutes straight through there at points.
Posted by Jake88
Member since Apr 2005
79819 posts
Posted on 8/28/19 at 8:10 pm to
quote:

The date of Andrew was Aug 26 with Katrina on Aug 29 then Gustav Sept. 1st. Maybe all coincidence....
Or possibly because that's the meat of the season as it peaks in September? Isadore Sept 26, Camile Aug. 17, Lili Oct. 3. Maybe all coincidence.
Posted by TheArrogantCorndog
Highland Rd
Member since Sep 2009
15917 posts
Posted on 8/28/19 at 8:10 pm to
quote:

The date of Andrew was Aug 26 with Katrina on Aug 29 then Gustav Sept. 1st. Maybe all coincidence....


My b-day is August 30th... tell me about coincidences

Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21464 posts
Posted on 8/28/19 at 8:10 pm to
quote:

The latest Euro


18z from @RyanMaue

Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
51682 posts
Posted on 8/28/19 at 8:11 pm to
This is a compact hurricane so far. Sometimes the compact ones can pack the biggest punch, just over a small area. Not that this will be the same, but Camille and Andrew were that way.
Posted by Hangit
The Green Swamp
Member since Aug 2014
46754 posts
Posted on 8/28/19 at 8:19 pm to

quote:

rds dc


Way back on page 2, on 8/24, you posted a map saying Dorian is now a tropical storm. It appeared to be about an hour east of Disney at 2 pm on Monday on that map.

The latest updates show it almost right on top of Disney at 2 pm on Monday.

Pretty damned close, Baw.

Posted by deuce985
Member since Feb 2008
27660 posts
Posted on 8/28/19 at 8:19 pm to
the euro model is scary with such a strong bend to the west. anything in gom is PED fuel right now for a storm with the hottest waters.
Posted by fishfighter
RIP
Member since Apr 2008
40026 posts
Posted on 8/28/19 at 8:20 pm to
So, thinks are looking more and more to the south of Fla?
Posted by udtiger
Over your left shoulder
Member since Nov 2006
115075 posts
Posted on 8/28/19 at 8:20 pm to
Goddamnit...
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21464 posts
Posted on 8/28/19 at 8:20 pm to
Dorian is still struggling to build deep convection completely around the eye. A sign that we are probably looking at steady strengthening right now vs bombing out. Watch for that ring of red.

Posted by NorthEndZone
Member since Dec 2008
14258 posts
Posted on 8/28/19 at 8:21 pm to
Looking at the NOAA historical tracks data, West Palm Beach has not been close (within 30 miles) to a landfalling major hurricane from the Atlantic since 1949 - 70 years.

For their location, that seems like a very long time to be lucky. Maybe it's time now.
This post was edited on 8/28/19 at 8:35 pm
Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
43290 posts
Posted on 8/28/19 at 8:22 pm to
Levi Cowen

Levi's Update
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