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re: Hurricane Dorian - Headed to Canada

Posted on 9/1/19 at 5:29 pm to
Posted by biggsc
Member since Mar 2009
34777 posts
Posted on 9/1/19 at 5:29 pm to
165 knots?
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 9/1/19 at 5:31 pm to
Got a plane in there now. We'll know the answer soon enough.
Posted by biggsc
Member since Mar 2009
34777 posts
Posted on 9/1/19 at 5:32 pm to
Yes we will
Posted by ShamelessPel
Metairie
Member since Apr 2013
13141 posts
Posted on 9/1/19 at 5:34 pm to
I remember seeing the forecast Tuesday saying this thing wouldn’t even make Hurricane. Now it’s going to be one of the strongest on record. That’s absolutely insane.
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 9/1/19 at 5:34 pm to


Other thing to watch for, as this looks like an outer eyewall that has about wrapped around the center. Going to be looking carefully for a double wind max on recon.
Posted by bigberg2000
houston, from chalmette
Member since Sep 2005
70730 posts
Posted on 9/1/19 at 5:35 pm to
Really?
Posted by biggsc
Member since Mar 2009
34777 posts
Posted on 9/1/19 at 5:37 pm to
Have these one right now
LINK
Posted by OmniPundit
Florida
Member since Sep 2018
1440 posts
Posted on 9/1/19 at 5:37 pm to
quote:

CNN put a correspondent in Freeport to ride this thing out.


Too bad they didn't let TD pick which one.
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21461 posts
Posted on 9/1/19 at 5:40 pm to
quote:


As always, we'll see how the measurements match the imagery this evening.


Recon is inbound. It will have to deal with a slightly bigger island over the next few hours but the waters there and then the Gulf Stream are extremely warm. Also, mixing may not be as big of an issue since the warmth is very warm nearly to the bottom of the column in this area. Another bust of strengthening could be on tap, if there is no ERC.

Posted by DownshiftAndFloorIt
Here
Member since Jan 2011
72022 posts
Posted on 9/1/19 at 5:40 pm to
Posted by yatesdog38
in your head rent free
Member since Sep 2013
12737 posts
Posted on 9/1/19 at 5:44 pm to
Maybe dude saw the radar and said he was gonna die doing something he loves like kayaking in the ocean. People do strange stuff when under catastrophic situations.
This post was edited on 9/1/19 at 5:45 pm
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91836 posts
Posted on 9/1/19 at 5:53 pm to
Coopers Town will never be the same. It's catching the eyewall and will never get the actual eye. They've been in the eyewall for over an hour (these images are 70 minutes apart), and they've got 2+ hours to go...









Crown Haven and Fox Town are next up and will likely get it even worse.

Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 9/1/19 at 5:54 pm to


Eric Blake made the point earlier but it's amazing this is a current satellite image and most of south Florida isn't all that concerned. Says a lot about the how far we've come in terms of forecasting.
Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
131372 posts
Posted on 9/1/19 at 5:56 pm to
Would be nice to start a NW turn now and spare Freeport. By far the most populated area of those 2 islands getting crushed.
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
102466 posts
Posted on 9/1/19 at 5:58 pm to
This storm is insane. Never seen one stay together like this, no weakening with land (island) interaction, no EWRC, thing is just steady feeding.

Beast of a storm and beautiful/fascinating in a terrible way. Pray it doesn’t come on shore and stays away from the Florida coast. This is the type that causes high numbers of casualties
Posted by t00f
Not where you think I am
Member since Jul 2016
102063 posts
Posted on 9/1/19 at 5:59 pm to
This hurricane is unreal. Hope it starts that jog north soon
Posted by Icansee4miles
Trolling the Tickfaw
Member since Jan 2007
32233 posts
Posted on 9/1/19 at 5:59 pm to
I wish CNN would have sent several of their on-air hosts instead.
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
102466 posts
Posted on 9/1/19 at 6:00 pm to
quote:

Blake made the point earlier but it's amazing this is a current satellite image and most of south Florida isn't all that concerned. Says a lot about the how far we've come in terms of forecasting.




Let’s say this when it actually misses land. It’s no guarantee the models are correct and a storm this large just missing the turn north by 50 miles can make or break
Posted by t00f
Not where you think I am
Member since Jul 2016
102063 posts
Posted on 9/1/19 at 6:00 pm to
quote:

Icansee4miles



Don’t be mad at me baw. Sorry I missed the pickup.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91836 posts
Posted on 9/1/19 at 6:01 pm to
quote:

Would be nice to start a NW turn now and spare Freeport. By far the most populated area of those 2 islands getting crushed.


It's expected to miss Freeport with anything catastrophic.
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