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Started By
Message
re: Hurricane Dorian - Headed to Canada
Posted on 9/1/19 at 3:45 pm to lsuman25
Posted on 9/1/19 at 3:45 pm to lsuman25
quote:
Pretty damn remarkable the eye is still like a perfect donut truly terrifying.
For sure. It looks pretty steady state this afternoon on satellite, which is horrifying for the northern Bahamas.
2
Posted on 9/1/19 at 3:46 pm to Duke
Now 190 kt gust which equals 225mph 
Posted on 9/1/19 at 3:48 pm to Duke
Was the conclusion made from the twitter videos the dmg was caused by the western front and they hadn't even received the worse part?
Posted on 9/1/19 at 3:48 pm to biggsc
quote:
Now 190 kt gust which equals 225mph
Pretty sure that's just the gust.
Posted on 9/1/19 at 3:50 pm to notiger1997
That’s what I said
Posted on 9/1/19 at 3:53 pm to OmniPundit
Thank you much!
Posted on 9/1/19 at 3:54 pm to CookieTiger
...EYE OF CATASTROPHIC HURRICANE DORIAN CRAWLING OVER THE ABACOS ISLANDS IN THE BAHAMAS... ...DORIAN'S FURY NOW AIMING TOWARD GRAND BAHAMA...
5:00 PM EDT Sun Sep 1
Location: 26.6°N 77.3°W
Moving: W at 5 mph
Min pressure: 910 mb
Max sustained: 185 mph
5:00 PM EDT Sun Sep 1
Location: 26.6°N 77.3°W
Moving: W at 5 mph
Min pressure: 910 mb
Max sustained: 185 mph
Posted on 9/1/19 at 3:55 pm to biggsc
I’m sorry. I read over your post way to fast.
Even if just gust, that’s amazing power
Even if just gust, that’s amazing power
Posted on 9/1/19 at 3:55 pm to biggsc
quote:
HURRICANE DORIAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 34
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052019
2100 UTC SUN SEP 01 2019
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
A STORM SURGE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM LANTANA TO THE
VOLUSIA/BREVARD COUNTY LINE.
A STORM SURGE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM THE VOLUSIA/BREVARD COUNTY
LINE TO THE FLAGLER/VOLUSIA COUNTY LINE.
A HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM JUPITER INLET TO THE
VOLUSIA/BREVARD COUNTY LINE.
...
Wow. Here we go for Florida.
Posted on 9/1/19 at 3:57 pm to NorthEndZone
quote:
The current forecast is not very
different from the previous one, and it is very close to the
multi-model consensus TVCA. Both the deterministic and consensus
tracks have shown the usual variability to the right or to the left
from run to run, but the overall trend is for the hurricane to turn
northward offshore but dangerously close to the Florida peninsula.
Given the uncertainty in the track forecast and the anticipated
increase in size of the hurricane, a Hurricane Warning and Storm
Surge Warning have been issued for a portion of the Florida east
coast. It is once again emphasized that although the official track
forecast does not show landfall, users should not focus on the exact
track. A small deviation to the left of the track could bring the
intense core of the hurricane its dangerous winds closer to or onto
the Florida coast.
Posted on 9/1/19 at 3:58 pm to NorthEndZone
Wobble Wobble Dorian?
Posted on 9/1/19 at 3:58 pm to NorthEndZone
Avila mentioning a possible EWRC could be occurring since the eye is shrinking.
Posted on 9/1/19 at 4:01 pm to biggsc
Freeport is screwed if he don't wobble.
Posted on 9/1/19 at 4:01 pm to lsuman25
quote:
Avila mentioning a possible EWRC could be occurring since the eye is shrinking.
Saw that. We'll know more shortly when HH gets back there. Nothing is really visible on radar yet.
Posted on 9/1/19 at 4:05 pm to slackster
Somebody said they are now flying to it from Biloxi, instead of Lakeland. Why would they make this change when Lakeland is so much closer?
Posted on 9/1/19 at 4:07 pm to slackster
quote:
Nothing is really visible on radar yet.
We can see the side that will matter, the NW. That's where any potential secondary eyewall bands haven't been able to swing around with the squeeze on that side. Dorian has been able to expand a little bit in that direction and as the high erodes, a secondary band ought to be able to wrap around once it forms up.
*Speculation obviously, since PhDs struggle calling EWRCs*
Finally, not a bad call at 1:45 for the forward motion to be 5 mph at the 4 o'clock update.
ETA:
quote:
Somebody said they are now flying to it from Biloxi, instead of Lakeland. Why would they make this change when Lakeland is so much closer?
There will be another plane out of Lakeland tonight that will be in there about the same time. They've had two planes up at the same time for the past couple of days.
This post was edited on 9/1/19 at 4:08 pm
Posted on 9/1/19 at 4:07 pm to CookieTiger
quote:
To FL East Coast Residents: Traffic on Northbound I-95 or Turnpike ? I-75 Northbound? I-4? Normal for weekend or holiday? Heavier? Just wondering.
Just went up 95 from palm beach gardens to go to the beach in Jupiter and it’s completely normal for Sunday afternoon.
Posted on 9/1/19 at 4:07 pm to Hangit
quote:
Why would they make this change when Lakeland is so much closer?
Probably because the entire state of Florida is under emergency alert, if it made landfall those planes would be flipped over. At Biloxi they are safer.
Posted on 9/1/19 at 4:08 pm to Hangit
Probably because the available crew is in Biloxi. There are only so many crew members and they have to rest.
Posted on 9/1/19 at 4:08 pm to loogaroo
Still due west officially...
quote:
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.6N 77.3W AT 01/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 4 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 910 MB
EYE DIAMETER 10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 160 KT WITH GUSTS TO 195 KT.
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