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Message
re: Hurricane Dorian - Headed to Canada
Posted on 8/30/19 at 9:50 pm to rt3
Posted on 8/30/19 at 9:50 pm to rt3
interesting that they went up to 140 mph here and still didn't forecast cat 5
there's not much stopping it from continuing to intensify. sure the RI cycle has probably stopped for now, but it has nothing but time, hot water, good outflow, and no shear.
there's not much stopping it from continuing to intensify. sure the RI cycle has probably stopped for now, but it has nothing but time, hot water, good outflow, and no shear.
0
Posted on 8/30/19 at 9:50 pm to LSUGrrrl
quote:
Do we even know when we will know yet?
They are running a gyrocopter out there tonight, about 3:50 am. It is going to flit around a little, cause a general ruckus, then come on back in and give the official update.
Posted on 8/30/19 at 9:51 pm to Ba Ba Boooey
quote:
It also doesn’t have the storm making landfall
close enough to potentially put the eyewall on land
Posted on 8/30/19 at 9:53 pm to Ba Ba Boooey
quote:
It also doesn’t have the storm making landfall
don't focus on the center line, focus on the cone. there's still a lot of time and a lot of uncertainty with that turn. Anyone near that cone needs to prepare and be ready for impact by Sunday (Florida) or Monday (Georgia)
Posted on 8/30/19 at 9:53 pm to rt3
Way too close for comfort
Posted on 8/30/19 at 9:54 pm to LSUGrrrl
Oh hey Sarah
Posted on 8/30/19 at 9:55 pm to baytiger
The center line sucks
Posted on 8/30/19 at 9:56 pm to The Boat
quote:
GFS 18z dropping the pressure into the 40's just before it makes landfall at West Palm Beach... Yikes!!!
quote:
Hell it might be there in 6 hours.
Nailed it.
Posted on 8/30/19 at 9:56 pm to Ba Ba Boooey
TWC twitter question from a viewer:
Safest place to be in your house in the middle of a Cat 5 hurricane
Safest place to be in your house in the middle of a Cat 5 hurricane
Posted on 8/30/19 at 9:57 pm to Dick Jacket
This thing may become an even bigger deal for Georgia/South Carolina, particularly if the center stays offshore.
Posted on 8/30/19 at 9:58 pm to baytiger
quote:
baytiger
I always knew you were David Bernard
Posted on 8/30/19 at 9:58 pm to Roll Tide Ravens
Still moving east
Posted on 8/30/19 at 9:58 pm to The Boat
Did you really reply to your own post, quote yourself and then credit yourself? 
Posted on 8/30/19 at 9:59 pm to TH03
quote:
My concern is Tampa area, specifically Lakeland. Have some elderly family there.
I empathize with you. Advise your family to listen to local sober officials and not alarmists on the TWC.
This OT thread here is more practical than hyping heads.
Do the standard preparations ( water, food ready to eat, meds, etc)
Get a cell phone number or two or three from local neighbors or look online for local information there so you can check in. Also, you can probably monitor their area as well afar as being there. I’ve always liked Channel 13
LINK https://www.fox13news.com/
And then there is the Ledger
LINK https://www.theledger.com/news
Sorry for long post, but I have been in your shoes.
This post was edited on 8/30/19 at 10:51 pm
Posted on 8/30/19 at 9:59 pm to Roll Tide Ravens
quote:
This thing may become an even bigger deal for Georgia/South Carolina, particularly if the center stays offshore.
Seems like the track is just going to continue shifting offshore. I'm starting to feel better about this now.
Posted on 8/30/19 at 10:00 pm to Pepperoni
Model consensus definitely seems to be trending toward the center staying offshore.
Posted on 8/30/19 at 10:00 pm to Roll Tide Ravens
TWC is probably sad to see these updated models.
Posted on 8/30/19 at 10:02 pm to GetCocky11
quote:
Seems like the track is just going to continue shifting offshore. I'm starting to feel better about this now.
It certainly could, but if the models pick up on something like stronger high pressure, then it might push further west before making the turn. Not that this is particularly likely, but things like that can happen and can result in drastic changes. People from Miami through the Carolinas definitely need to keep their guard up.
This post was edited on 8/30/19 at 10:03 pm
Posted on 8/30/19 at 10:03 pm to Roll Tide Ravens
I’ll be spending tomorrow doing stuff like checking the generator, filling gas cans, and moving stuff that can fly inside.
Posted on 8/30/19 at 10:05 pm to Roll Tide Ravens
Tabs and tabsm avoided the checkpoint
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