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re: Hurricane Dorian - Headed to Canada

Posted on 8/30/19 at 6:08 pm to
Posted by ell_13
Member since Apr 2013
87961 posts
Posted on 8/30/19 at 6:08 pm to
946


Hello Cat 4
Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
43290 posts
Posted on 8/30/19 at 6:09 pm to
Could be stronger that wasn't the NE quadrant.
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 8/30/19 at 6:10 pm to
quote:

Winds 130mph on the sfmr


With a 946...(probably 950 or so bc those extraps are typically 3ish mb low).

Winds are still catching up.
Posted by Hangit
The Green Swamp
Member since Aug 2014
46756 posts
Posted on 8/30/19 at 6:10 pm to
quote:

Pressure is sub 950. Ouch

Damn Slack. If that holds we will be at least 130 mph by bed time. I don't know about you mother scrunchies, but I am wound up and probably going to stay up late.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91836 posts
Posted on 8/30/19 at 6:10 pm to
quote:

Have to wait on the VDM but that seems reasonable.



Yeah 950ish leaves room for their usual adjustments.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91836 posts
Posted on 8/30/19 at 6:12 pm to
This is super nerdy, but I enjoy Levi's videos when a storm is bombing out.

Also, given we know significant weakening is unlikely, you'd rather see Dorian blow up now and try to sustain it for 72 hours (highly unlikely) than a Michael situation.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91836 posts
Posted on 8/30/19 at 6:13 pm to
That 946 reading had winds of like 30 kts so it might be even lower the next pass.
Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
43290 posts
Posted on 8/30/19 at 6:14 pm to
On the other hand EWRC's happen and then the wind field expands.
Posted by yurintroubl
Dallas, Tx.
Member since Apr 2008
30192 posts
Posted on 8/30/19 at 6:14 pm to
quote:

global map of wind, weather and ocean conditions...

probably posted many times but I get drawn into it...


I like that one, but its zoom has its limits. Once a storm gets closer to landfall - This is the one to use:

Wind Map (Continental US and Offshore)
Posted by farad
Member since Dec 2013
12476 posts
Posted on 8/30/19 at 6:18 pm to
Posted by NorthEndZone
Member since Dec 2008
14258 posts
Posted on 8/30/19 at 6:18 pm to
This post was edited on 8/30/19 at 6:20 pm
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91836 posts
Posted on 8/30/19 at 6:19 pm to
quote:

On the other hand EWRC's happen and then the wind field expands.


True. Also builds up more surge.

Idk, I think I'd still rather a storm blow up 3 days from landfall if given the choice, but there are drawbacks either way.
Posted by Hangit
The Green Swamp
Member since Aug 2014
46756 posts
Posted on 8/30/19 at 6:19 pm to
quote:

Wolfhound45


quote:

Standing by in Tampa.


Wisconsin is playing USF tonight. The lightning has it pushed back about an hour. The storm is pushing through.
Posted by ell_13
Member since Apr 2013
87961 posts
Posted on 8/30/19 at 6:19 pm to
Drop 3 showed 951 pressure.

ETA: southwest eye wall
This post was edited on 8/30/19 at 6:21 pm
Posted by Zach Lee To Amp Hill
New Orleans
Member since Mar 2016
4942 posts
Posted on 8/30/19 at 6:21 pm to
quote:

there are drawbacks either way.


yeah like the bahamas
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
74950 posts
Posted on 8/30/19 at 6:21 pm to
The My Radar app. has this feature as well. I mentioned it earlier today. You can turn the wind map on with a globe style map. You can also show fronts.
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 8/30/19 at 6:21 pm to
Want to see the rate of change in pressure between passes.

And get a look at that eye temp from the vortex message.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91836 posts
Posted on 8/30/19 at 6:21 pm to


951 mb with 13kt winds. Supports 950 or lower minimum pressure.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91836 posts
Posted on 8/30/19 at 6:22 pm to
quote:

And get a look at that eye temp from the vortex message.


26.6 C.
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 8/30/19 at 6:27 pm to


The HWRF nailed Dorian.
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