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re: How far do you think we are from a major worker’s revolution in America?

Posted on 4/17/18 at 10:23 am to
Posted by Tigeralum2008
Yankees Fan
Member since Apr 2012
17754 posts
Posted on 4/17/18 at 10:23 am to
quote:

Inflation has been almost non-existent in the U.S. for over a decade.
Ok, Donald Trump


CPI has increased at roughly 2% per month since the middle 90's.

Consumer Price Index chart

2008 is a red herring year where some months showed a 5% increase in CPI

Inflation has lulled americans to sleep all while salaries have remained flat.

There's this old analogy, if you drop a frog in boiling water he will try to hop out. if you place the frog in a pot prior to turning on the heat, he will hardly notice he's being slowly boiled alive.
This post was edited on 4/17/18 at 10:25 am
Posted by Peazey
Metry
Member since Apr 2012
25427 posts
Posted on 4/17/18 at 10:25 am to
Your understanding of illegal workers depressing wages is a fantasy. Your understanding of how illegal immigration typically works is an even bigger fantasy. And the biggest fantasy of all is the idea that some wall would work to be effective in any possible scenario.
Posted by 225bred
COYS
Member since Jun 2011
21086 posts
Posted on 4/17/18 at 10:25 am to
Posted by RogerTheShrubber
Juneau, AK
Member since Jan 2009
299716 posts
Posted on 4/17/18 at 10:27 am to
quote:

Your understanding of illegal workers depressing wages is a fantasy


Posted by NIH
Member since Aug 2008
125006 posts
Posted on 4/17/18 at 10:30 am to
quote:

feeding the facts of a criminal case to an AI and having it adjudicate a trial



are we going to trample on the constitution to do this?
Posted by kadillak
Member since Nov 2007
7641 posts
Posted on 4/17/18 at 10:31 am to
quote:

Machines will design, build, and service other machines. Machines will automate much if not all of law, medicine, architecture, etc. Machines are on the verge of being able to paint pictures, write novels, write and perform music. What exactly will humans do in this new environment? Nobody has figured that out. Innovation has always created more, different jobs. That paradigm may not hold in this revolutiion.

Well, there is a positive side effect. Labor prices would decrease. Also, as the machines produce materials more efficiently, supply is increased and meets demand, dropping prices of the product. So while individuals are hurt in the pocketbook as a producers, they are helped as consumers. We can then use the money we saved from these industries to invest in other industries, materials, food, entertainment, traveling, retirement, etc.
Posted by Tigeralum2008
Yankees Fan
Member since Apr 2012
17754 posts
Posted on 4/17/18 at 10:31 am to
quote:

feeding the facts of a criminal case to an AI and having it adjudicate a trial


are we going to trample on the constitution to do this?


Definitely a lot of Chicken Littles in this thread
Posted by RealityTiger
Geismar, LA
Member since Jan 2010
20543 posts
Posted on 4/17/18 at 10:31 am to
quote:

if you drop a frog in boiling water he will try to hop out. if you place the frog in a pot prior to turning on the heat, he will hardly notice he's being slowly boiled alive.


This is an excellent quote, considering the subject of the thread.
This post was edited on 4/17/18 at 10:34 am
Posted by NIH
Member since Aug 2008
125006 posts
Posted on 4/17/18 at 10:34 am to
quote:

Definitely a lot of Chicken Littles in this thread




He brought up the hypo.
Posted by YungFO
Dallas
Member since Mar 2018
1144 posts
Posted on 4/17/18 at 10:37 am to
The singularity will be upon us before you know it. You blue-collar baws better get with the times or else you'll be out of work when an AI can do your job 8000X more efficient than you can.
This post was edited on 4/17/18 at 10:41 am
Posted by Centinel
Idaho
Member since Sep 2016
46710 posts
Posted on 4/17/18 at 10:43 am to
quote:

The singularity will be upon us before you know it. You blue-collar baws better get with the times or else you'll be out of work when an AI can do your job 8000X more efficient than you can.



It's not the blue collar baws that should be worried. Most of what can be automated in their world already has, because it was the easiest to automate.

It's the average cubicle worker that should be scared.
Posted by hottub
Member since Dec 2012
3662 posts
Posted on 4/17/18 at 10:44 am to
True but you need a pay check or source of income to become a consumer. IMO, the market can only handle so much automation because the same market has to create producers to create consumers. I personally think the future will be bright for humans. AI is not near as advanced as most believe, at least AGI isn’t. Humans will still be needed in the market as producers for a very long time. Our roles will change in the process but we will still be needed.
Posted by EA6B
TX
Member since Dec 2012
14754 posts
Posted on 4/17/18 at 10:48 am to
quote:

We're talking about a world where we have literally created a smarter, more capable, and less mistake prone alternative to the average American person. I'm not sure you could create an industry where the more expensive and less effective alternative is a more efficient option.



They were writing the same thing when the computer revolution in business started in the 1950s. More and more business functions being done faster and more accurately replacing the many workers previously required to do the same job. Entire new industries and careers were created, same thing will happen again.
This post was edited on 4/17/18 at 10:50 am
Posted by kjp811
Denver, CO
Member since Apr 2017
1131 posts
Posted on 4/17/18 at 10:51 am to
quote:

Kick out the fricking illegals and build the wall.. stop importing low skilled workers.. and watch wages go up. It's not rocket science.


Low skilled workers will always be low paid workers, no matter where they come from or what their status is. You think some farmer is gonna pay top dollar to a guy picking strawberries because they're American?
Posted by LSU316
Rice and Easy Baby!!!
Member since Nov 2007
30308 posts
Posted on 4/17/18 at 10:52 am to
quote:

are we going to trample on the constitution to do this?


We've not had a problem doing it in general for the last decade or two.
Posted by kadillak
Member since Nov 2007
7641 posts
Posted on 4/17/18 at 10:53 am to
quote:

True but you need a pay check or source of income to become a consumer. IMO, the market can only handle so much automation because the same market has to create producers to create consumers. I personally think the future will be bright for humans. AI is not near as advanced as most believe, at least AGI isn’t. Humans will still be needed in the market as producers for a very long time. Our roles will change in the process but we will still be needed.

Entirely correct. So when we are able to save money on the materials that machines have taken over, we can use that to buy into other industries or create/spin-off our own and create more jobs to replace those lost. And it gives us more money to properly invest in retirement so that, in turn, we can work fewer years and retire, opening up those jobs for others. If we are smart.
Posted by EA6B
TX
Member since Dec 2012
14754 posts
Posted on 4/17/18 at 10:59 am to
From Time Magazine 1965
"Men such as IBM Economist Joseph Froomkin feel that automation will eventually bring about a 20-hour work week, perhaps within a century, thus creating a mass leisure class. Some of the more radical prophets foresee the time when as little as 2% of the work force will be employed, warn that the whole concept of people as producers of goods and services will become obsolete as automation advances. Even the most moderate estimates of automation’s progress show that millions of people will have to adjust to leisurely, “nonfunctional” lives, a switch that will entail both an economic wrench and a severe test of the deeply ingrained ethic that work is the good and necessary calling of man."
Posted by S1C EM
Athens, GA
Member since Nov 2007
11594 posts
Posted on 4/17/18 at 11:38 am to
quote:

The people (i.e. the market) should correct to the reality that college is costing significantly more money and time than it is worth for a large number of people in various studies.

Trade school needs to make a comeback. There is money and opportunity to be made in jobs that today's teenagers and people in their early 20s were often told in childhood are "nasty jobs".


All of this. And nursing, medical imaging, etc. Liberal arts schools are failing kids. They are learning all about being SJWs, but come out of school with a mound of debt and no marketable skills. I decided a long time ago to try and teach my kids about all of the options that are out there and not push them down the 4-year degree track, especially if they get to be 18 and still have no idea what they want to do. Sometimes it's best to take a few years, work and learn (and maybe learn what you absolutely DON'T want to do).
Posted by PUB
New Orleans
Member since Sep 2017
21228 posts
Posted on 4/17/18 at 11:59 am to
W R O N G
Posted by stillplayswithcars
Member since Jan 2018
183 posts
Posted on 4/17/18 at 12:12 pm to
quote:


We a have concentrated wealth at the top problem.. how we get that money injected into our domestic workforce is the issue.. bill gates and warren Buffett are more concerned with foreign yet noble charities.. we need those billions invested domestically.. to many hedge fund billionaires that move money around with little positive affect on the middle class.. the difficulty is staying true to capitalistic values while having that money work for middle America..


It's pretty obvious where the wealth is going:


Top 20% of Americans Will Pay 87% of Income Tax
Households with $150,000 or more in income make up 52% of total income nationally but pay large portion of total taxes.
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