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re: Hell of a fall we’re having.
Posted on 10/4/26 at 9:43 am to tigerinthebueche
Posted on 10/4/26 at 9:43 am to tigerinthebueche
quote:To me, it's been this way for a year or so. The more technology we have, the worse the weather forecasts become.
The weather forecasts have been off for the last two months. I realize it’s nature and it’s impossible to get exactly right. But they’ve been dead arse wrong by a lot lately.
Edit: I'm referring to the rain forecasts. They usually get the temperatures right.
This post was edited on 10/4/26 at 9:44 am
Posted on 10/4/26 at 9:53 am to bayoubengals88
66 here today with the full on fall colors in effect.
Posted on 10/4/26 at 9:58 am to Joshjrn
Could be worse, north central LA hasn’t gotten any rain in like 3 months. It’s killing the guys trying to cut hay
Posted on 10/4/26 at 10:04 am to soccerfüt
quote:
75°F at 5:00am this morning when I went out to run.
Quite a contrast from the 77°F it is at 5:00am in August.
In central Oklahoma I run every morning at 6 am. It has been 80+ all summer. We finally got a break and had a few mornings in the 60s. It felt so good.
Then, September 29th I go out to run and see that it is 80 degrees and humid. Found out that it was the highest morning low ever recorded on that date.
Posted on 10/4/26 at 10:06 am to bayoubengals88
Posted on 10/4/26 at 10:13 am to bayoubengals88
It's raining this morning in TIm McGraw Country 
Posted on 10/4/26 at 10:23 am to Joshjrn
quote:
I’m tired of living in south Louisiana and somehow consistently not getting enough fricking rain
There’s something you don’t hear often!
Posted on 10/4/26 at 10:29 am to Spankum
quote:
There’s something you don’t hear often!
The last five years or so have been something fricking else when it comes to the lack of rain down here. I assume it’s some El Niño/La Niña bullshite I don’t understand
Posted on 10/4/26 at 10:32 am to upgrayedd
quote:
I’m just trying to get some rain. Haven’t had any in over a month.
Same here in Alabama. Need the rain. was promised we'd get quite a bit, but every updated forecast from the NWS reduces the rainfall totals.
Posted on 10/4/26 at 10:37 am to LSU4LIFEo85
quote:
I can’t fricking stand meteorologists. I could never keep my job if I was objectively wrong 80% of the time.
We know you don’t work for the government.
Posted on 10/4/26 at 10:40 am to LSU4LIFEo85
quote:
I could never keep my job if I was objectively wrong 80% of the time.
It's not 80%. Because from June through August, their forecast will be accurate......
Partly cloudy, high in the 90s, chance of afternoon thunderstorms.
Every day in the summer...
Posted on 10/4/26 at 10:56 am to TaderSalad
quote:
we don't hate news and weather people enough as a society.
The problem is the models. All these “weather guys” get phd’s and sell their souls to the models. They have no skin in the game. If they are wrong they blame science.
In the old days they had to lock themselves in smoke filled rooms and not come out until they legged something down. And if they were wrong they could expect a fistfight when they took their family out to dinner on Friday night.
Now it’s just “Oh gee, sorry. El Niño”.
Posted on 10/4/26 at 11:02 am to Marciano1
quote:
The weather forecasts have been off for the last two months.
quote:
To me, it's been this way for a year or so. The more technology we have, the worse the weather forecasts become.
Surprised it hadn't been mentioned. NOAA and the national weather service took a staffing hit under DOGE last year and lost 17% of their staff.
There were claims from NOAA that it was going to affect the accuracy of their forecasts.
"Legislators and administrators" it says have started hiring back some of the staffing so maybe they cut too deep there. I didn't know they had started trying to hire some of the layoffs back but don't care enough to dig further.
Posted on 10/4/26 at 11:03 am to Jim Rockford
quote:
The Front Day hot chocolate will be all the more satisfying in late November.
Not as satisfying as Mother’s warm embrace
Posted on 10/4/26 at 11:05 am to OysterPoBoy
AI models are developed by humans, right? Could the AI models be biased to predict the worst possible outcomes? Weather people are devotees of climate change. And the NWS isn’t bashful about its climate change agenda. Maybe they’re purposely forecasting doom and gloom and it just ain’t happening.
How’s that for a conspiracy theory ?
How’s that for a conspiracy theory ?
Posted on 10/4/26 at 11:09 am to bayoubengals88
Bitching about it not being cool enough a week into fall. Never change OT.
Complaining about the weather is such a female trait that men do. Its the weather. what the frick are you going to do about other than bitch to bitch? you mad at God? Nature?
Complaining about the weather is such a female trait that men do. Its the weather. what the frick are you going to do about other than bitch to bitch? you mad at God? Nature?
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