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re: Helene - Recovery Begins...Devastating Flash Flooding in Western NC and Eastern TN

Posted on 9/22/24 at 5:24 pm to
Posted by Tarps99
Lafourche Parish
Member since Apr 2017
12661 posts
Posted on 9/22/24 at 5:24 pm to
quote:

Don’t you also have a private meteorologist certification?


I have one that I found in a Cracker Jack Box after studying this board.

But in all seriousness, I do not have a degree in meteorology but love the field. I wouldn’t mind going back to school for a certificate of full degree if I had more time.
Posted by X123F45
Member since Apr 2015
29822 posts
Posted on 9/22/24 at 5:28 pm to
if you want give me 10 minutes as admin and I can really clean this place up.

And I promise to only ban like three people who don't deserve it
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
75115 posts
Posted on 9/22/24 at 5:46 pm to
Stole this from @webberweather (Eric Webb) because I like it.

This is not a look that gives the warm and fuzzies.

Posted by LSUJML
Central
Member since May 2008
56382 posts
Posted on 9/22/24 at 5:47 pm to
quote:

if you want give me 10 minutes as admin and I can really clean this place up.


He’s gonna ignore you like he does me during baseball season
Posted by ned nederlander
Member since Dec 2012
5896 posts
Posted on 9/22/24 at 5:49 pm to
Amazing how time flies. Feels like it was just a couple weeks ago I left the dome only to find a potential major hurricane in the gulf days away.
Posted by Aspercel
Member since Jan 2009
117492 posts
Posted on 9/22/24 at 5:50 pm to
quote:

Only in private dancing…




What are you wearing?
Posted by Chad504boy
4 posts
Member since Feb 2005
178918 posts
Posted on 9/22/24 at 5:50 pm to
90% chance 20% chances become 100%
Posted by GeauxldMember
Member since Nov 2003
5690 posts
Posted on 9/22/24 at 5:50 pm to
quote:




Oof…
This post was edited on 9/22/24 at 5:51 pm
Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
43295 posts
Posted on 9/22/24 at 5:50 pm to
Yeah if it can get an inner core developed before entering the Gulf look out
Posted by wasteland
City of peace
Member since Apr 2011
5918 posts
Posted on 9/22/24 at 5:53 pm to
That’s not scary at all
Posted by NorthEndZone
Member since Dec 2008
14281 posts
Posted on 9/22/24 at 6:09 pm to
GFS Ensembles mostly coming into agreement on Gulf Shores to Big Bend with only a few possibilities outside of that. Timing in less in agreement. The image is for Thursday morning 7 AM CDT with many nearing landfall but another group still in east-central Gulf.



Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 9/22/24 at 6:12 pm to


Yikes.

This is gonna have a pretty high ceiling it looks like. Hope it doesnt reach its potential.
Posted by bnmathm
Member since Nov 2007
69 posts
Posted on 9/22/24 at 6:18 pm to
Can you ELI5 this image please? Is this showing 80 knot winds in Baton Rouge and nothing in the eye?
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 9/22/24 at 6:22 pm to
Those are the winds from like 35,000 feet above your head.
Posted by tide06
Member since Oct 2011
23301 posts
Posted on 9/22/24 at 6:31 pm to
quote:

And we just got back to normal around here. I may be done after this

I think insurance will have a lot to say about that for many people depending on where this ends up.
Posted by tide06
Member since Oct 2011
23301 posts
Posted on 9/22/24 at 6:35 pm to
quote:

Yikes. This is gonna have a pretty high ceiling it looks like. Hope it doesnt reach its potential.

Yikes is not what I want to hear from Duke as I’m sitting here on 30A.
Posted by wasteland
City of peace
Member since Apr 2011
5918 posts
Posted on 9/22/24 at 6:38 pm to
It’s not going to be a well developed storm with strong winds.
Posted by nicholastiger
Member since Jan 2004
55927 posts
Posted on 9/22/24 at 6:39 pm to
With the way it’s been built up from gulf shores all the way thru 30a the insurance costs could be staggering and not good for coastal insurance

Hopefully a lot of these beachfront properties were built to sustain hurricanes

These areas have been very fortunate the last decade or so
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 9/22/24 at 6:42 pm to
quote:

It’s not going to be a well developed storm with strong winds


Thats a bold statement with the upper levels Im looking at.

Not that there arent some wrenches. TD in Pac will probably provide a little shear as it moves up. Maybe it doesnt organize as fast initially. But if you see that 2PVU map, youre concerned.

Posted by NorthEndZone
Member since Dec 2008
14281 posts
Posted on 9/22/24 at 6:49 pm to
The first HMON run on 97L does not like Tampa.
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