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re: Helene - Recovery Begins...Devastating Flash Flooding in Western NC and Eastern TN

Posted on 9/25/24 at 9:35 pm to
Posted by ned nederlander
Member since Dec 2012
5903 posts
Posted on 9/25/24 at 9:35 pm to
quote:

However, the vast majority of people that I have ever met who stayed during Laura, Ida, etc. say they’d never do it again. I think it’s the psychological part that’s rough, and then the absolute inconvenience of the immediate aftermath.


I also find the vast majority of people who say they have always stayed and will stay have in fact never been near the eye wall of major hurricane. That’s a one and done human experience for most people.
Posted by jlnoles79
Member since Jan 2014
14475 posts
Posted on 9/25/24 at 9:36 pm to
quote:

They might not be on for long. Hoping for the best for that area even though it’s not looking great, Mexico Beach-Carrabelle and beyond is an incredible little part of the world.


Yep

My aunt and uncle bought a place there 3 years ago
Posted by RummelTiger
Official TD Sauces Club Member
Member since Aug 2004
93626 posts
Posted on 9/25/24 at 9:37 pm to
I believe Bay decided to focus on real life.
Posted by TheRouxGuru
Member since Nov 2019
14276 posts
Posted on 9/25/24 at 9:38 pm to
quote:

Agree. They are also over exaggerating the surge, which they have done ever since they missed on Katrina


They have reports of 36 feet of water in port sulphur from Katrina

Not sure if that was urban legend or not, but I know for a fact that on Milan, my buddy’s house floated over the power lines before it got set back down on the opposite side of the street. Somehow, the power lines were still erect (giggidy) after the storm passed and the water went down. Absolutely insane
Posted by RummelTiger
Official TD Sauces Club Member
Member since Aug 2004
93626 posts
Posted on 9/25/24 at 9:38 pm to
quote:

They are also over exaggerating the surge, which they have done ever since they missed on Katrina.


Wrong.
Posted by Oates Mustache
Member since Oct 2011
26630 posts
Posted on 9/25/24 at 9:39 pm to
quote:

real life.


Wtf is that?
Posted by tiger91
In my own little world
Member since Nov 2005
40230 posts
Posted on 9/25/24 at 9:39 pm to
But was he a weather expert or a serious hobby?

I do remember when bay posted, it was like EF Hutton .. everybody listened.

To me he worked at/with Keesler???
This post was edited on 9/25/24 at 9:41 pm
Posted by RummelTiger
Official TD Sauces Club Member
Member since Aug 2004
93626 posts
Posted on 9/25/24 at 9:40 pm to
I believe he was in the business. Maybe not a meteorologist, but a professional in the field.
Posted by RummelTiger
Official TD Sauces Club Member
Member since Aug 2004
93626 posts
Posted on 9/25/24 at 9:41 pm to
Waveland had 30’.
Posted by RummelTiger
Official TD Sauces Club Member
Member since Aug 2004
93626 posts
Posted on 9/25/24 at 9:45 pm to
quote:

Wtf is that?


Posted by Purple Spoon
Hoth
Member since Feb 2005
20882 posts
Posted on 9/25/24 at 9:48 pm to
quote:

Waveland had 30’



I saw the concrete slab where Waveland used to be post Katrina. Anyone that thinks they over exaggerated the storm surge needs to get out more.
Posted by nicholastiger
Member since Jan 2004
55986 posts
Posted on 9/25/24 at 9:50 pm to
Go drive thru bay St. Louis where empty lots are still plentiful and how high houses are that did rebuild
Posted by TheRouxGuru
Member since Nov 2019
14276 posts
Posted on 9/25/24 at 9:51 pm to
Man… I know it got basically zero coverage, but I saw some shite down in the lower end of plaquemines parish after Katrina that would blow your mind. If there’s EVER a serious storm headed my way, I’m getting the frick out of town.

I have an album online somewhere with like 175 pics. I’ll have to figure out where it is and how I can share it here
Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
43295 posts
Posted on 9/25/24 at 9:52 pm to
On IR Helene is trying it's damnest to wrap that red all way around now
Posted by udtiger
Over your left shoulder
Member since Nov 2006
115431 posts
Posted on 9/25/24 at 9:52 pm to
quote:

I saw the concrete slab where Waveland used to be post Katrina. Anyone that thinks they over exaggerated the storm surge needs to get out more


At the Kiln exit on I-10, they have a marker on the overpass on the south side marking the top of the surge at that location. Frightening to think about.
Posted by NorthEndZone
Member since Dec 2008
14298 posts
Posted on 9/25/24 at 9:54 pm to
quote:

Hurricane Helene Advisory Number 11
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092024
1000 PM CDT Wed Sep 25 2024

...HELENE EXPECTED TO BRING CATASTROPHIC WINDS AND STORM SURGES TO
THE NORTHEASTERN GULF COAST...
...PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO
COMPLETION...


SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.1N 86.6W
ABOUT 425 MI...680 KM SW OF TAMPA FLORIDA
ABOUT 465 MI...750 KM SSW OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...972 MB...28.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The government of Mexico has discontinued the Hurricane and
Tropical Storm Warnings for the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico.

The government of Cuba has discontinued the Hurricane Watch for the
Cuban province of Pinar del Rio.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for...
* Mexico Beach eastward and southward to Flamingo
* Tampa Bay
* Charlotte Harbor

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Anclote River to Mexico Beach

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* Englewood to Anclote River, including Tampa Bay

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Florida Keys, including the Dry Tortugas
* Flamingo to Anclote River, including Tampa Bay
* West of Mexico Beach to the Okaloosa/Walton County Line
* Flamingo northward to Little River Inlet
* Lake Okeechobee
* Cuban provinces of Artemisa, Pinar del Rio, and the Isle of Youth


quote:

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 26/0300Z 23.1N 86.6W 75 KT 85 MPH
12H 26/1200Z 25.4N 86.1W 95 KT 110 MPH
24H 27/0000Z 29.5N 84.5W 115 KT 130 MPH
36H 27/1200Z 34.3N 84.7W 50 KT 60 MPH...INLAND
48H 28/0000Z 36.7N 87.1W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
60H 28/1200Z 36.8N 88.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
72H 29/0000Z 36.7N 87.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
96H 30/0000Z 36.7N 84.9W 15 KT 15 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
120H 01/0000Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Pasch
This post was edited on 9/25/24 at 9:57 pm
Posted by RummelTiger
Official TD Sauces Club Member
Member since Aug 2004
93626 posts
Posted on 9/25/24 at 9:56 pm to
From the 4:00 PM on Sunday, Aug 28, advisory for Katrina.

NHC pretty much nailed it:

quote:

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 18 TO 22 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...LOCALLY AS HIGH AS 28 FEET...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. SOME LEVEES IN THE GREATER NEW ORLEANS AREA COULD BE OVERTOPPED. SIGNIFICANT STORM SURGE FLOODING WILL OCCUR ELSEWHERE ALONG THE CENTRAL AND NORTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO COAST.
Posted by TheRouxGuru
Member since Nov 2019
14276 posts
Posted on 9/25/24 at 9:56 pm to
I’m not trying to be a dick, because I do believe you, but where? Just looked and I can’t find one.
Posted by RummelTiger
Official TD Sauces Club Member
Member since Aug 2004
93626 posts
Posted on 9/25/24 at 9:59 pm to
As your coming to 10 from BSL it’s on the overpass support.
Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
43295 posts
Posted on 9/25/24 at 9:59 pm to
No threat to USA but Isaac has formed in North Atleantic
This post was edited on 9/25/24 at 10:01 pm
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