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Message
re: Harvey ***Catastrophic Flooding Event***
Posted on 8/24/17 at 1:43 pm to Chad504boy
Posted on 8/24/17 at 1:43 pm to Chad504boy
quote:
models don't appear its stalling that long over LA, moving through at normal rate right...? I mean i get LA would be on Eastern side of this storm as it hits which is not good for sure.
it's not the stall, it's that the eastern side basically goes from west to east along the coast.
just the worst case scenario.
1
Posted on 8/24/17 at 1:43 pm to slackster
Why don't one of you bastards explain to me why the Euro sucks and has never been right. And make it snappy. TIA.
Posted on 8/24/17 at 1:44 pm to slackster
quote:
To suggest it will be much worse is a bit much at this point.
:sigh:
you're still not understanding the difference in track associated with the chance to add to rainfall and local flooding.
Posted on 8/24/17 at 1:44 pm to tLSU
Relatively same in path but not intensity levels. Still a long ways to go before it makes that path...a lot can change.
Posted on 8/24/17 at 1:44 pm to OldSouth
whats a link to see the full euro model?
Posted on 8/24/17 at 1:45 pm to deuce985
quote:
What made it so bad was
the 18 foot storm surge and 180 MPH gust measured in Hackberry.
Rita was an absolute beast that is overshadowed by Katrina and NOLA.
Posted on 8/24/17 at 1:45 pm to CptBengal
at what point should we be worried in S Central to S East Louisiana if at all?
This post was edited on 8/24/17 at 1:46 pm
Posted on 8/24/17 at 1:45 pm to CE Tiger
Posted on 8/24/17 at 1:45 pm to deuce985
quote:
before it makes that path...a lot can change.
that high pressure ridge pushing it back out is really stable.
this is why the Euro keeps saying it's going to happen.
Posted on 8/24/17 at 1:45 pm to Duke
quote:
Tl;dr: If the conditions are right, a storm will pretty much bomb out as much as the energy content of the water below it will allow.
Hurricane Lili did this in 2002.
Posted on 8/24/17 at 1:46 pm to Chad504boy
According to Wiki...
Katrina's barometric pressure was 920 MB at the time of landfall in Buras, Louisiana
Katrina's barometric pressure was 920 MB at the time of landfall in Buras, Louisiana
Posted on 8/24/17 at 1:46 pm to PapaPogey
quote:
at what point should we be worried in S Central to S East Louisiana if at all?
we'll know by saturday/saturday night if we boned.
Posted on 8/24/17 at 1:46 pm to slackster
Yup, and my dad was telling me during that period was working relief over there and they couldn't get the resources they needed due to it being as you said completely overshadowed by NOLA's damage.
Posted on 8/24/17 at 1:46 pm to GEAUXmedic
quote:
944
Damn.
Posted on 8/24/17 at 1:47 pm to tiger91
quote:
Hurricane Lili did this in 2002.
frick that storm.
Posted on 8/24/17 at 1:47 pm to tiger91
Lily lost steam as she made landfall. Thank God. Still had plenty of bite.
Posted on 8/24/17 at 1:48 pm to CptBengal
quote:
you're still not understanding the difference in track associated with the chance to add to rainfall and local flooding.
I get all of that. Harvey would be pushing water into Cameron parish for a few days before it makes landfall, but it doesn't get much worse for SWLA than Rita.
I'm not trying to diminish the potential problems with Harvey, just pointing out that Rita was about as bad as you can imagine, and suggesting this would be 20x worse is irresponsible at best.
Posted on 8/24/17 at 1:48 pm to CptBengal
Right.
The approach has the center close enough to stack up water for a longer time and over a larger area. Not only that, it brings the storm in such a way that the winds will be coming out of the south and east.
That'll back up the tidal lakes and other outlets Louisiana drains into. It's a nasty nasty scenario.
The approach has the center close enough to stack up water for a longer time and over a larger area. Not only that, it brings the storm in such a way that the winds will be coming out of the south and east.
That'll back up the tidal lakes and other outlets Louisiana drains into. It's a nasty nasty scenario.
Posted on 8/24/17 at 1:49 pm to slackster
quote:
I'm not trying to diminish the potential problems with Harvey, just pointing out that Rita was about as bad as you can imagine, and suggesting this would be 20x worse is irresponsible at best.
I said 20 times than Katrina.
you keep saying Rita.
why just make shite up, go back to the rant at this point.
Posted on 8/24/17 at 1:50 pm to Duke
quote:
That'll back up the tidal lakes and other outlets Louisiana drains into. It's a nasty nasty scenario.
Agreed. Like I said, if it is just as bad as Rita, it will be catastrophic. Rita is a pretty high bar to overcome, but this could be worse.
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