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Message

re: Harvey ***Catastrophic Flooding Event***

Posted on 8/24/17 at 1:38 pm to
Posted by CptBengal
BR Baby
Member since Dec 2007
71661 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 1:38 pm to
quote:


can you explain this a bit more.


the storm would be pulling TONS of warm moist air onshore and whipping a consistent and sustained storm surge over a number of days on the Eastern side.

massive rain, long lasting storm surge.

nightmare scenario.
Posted by Nado Jenkins83
Land of the Free
Member since Nov 2012
66054 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 1:38 pm to
I gotta drive back to west Texas tomorrow night and sat.

How bad is this gonna be for me
Posted by deuce985
Member since Feb 2008
27660 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 1:38 pm to
Also, these models are consistently changing every 24 hours I wouldn't freak over something 5-6 days out...they can't even predict 3 days out. Be concerned if 2-3 days now they stayed on the same path.
This post was edited on 8/24/17 at 1:40 pm
Posted by CptBengal
BR Baby
Member since Dec 2007
71661 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 1:38 pm to
quote:

but I don't seen any reason so suggest this storm would be even worse.


it's the path of the storm.

not the strength that's the nightmare.
Posted by tigersbh
Baton Rouge
Member since Oct 2005
13108 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 1:38 pm to
quote:

Exactly where are they gonna go???


Brownsville, but probably not many hotel rooms there.
Posted by 50_Tiger
Arlington TX
Member since Jan 2016
43447 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 1:39 pm to
From where?

You taking 10 or 20?

20 you have 0 problems.
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 1:39 pm to
It's the approach that is problematic.

Drives water in from the SE while dumping rain. The flood threat is increased under this scenario.
Posted by Powerman
Member since Jan 2004
173512 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 1:40 pm to
Nightmare situation for my area too. We're going to get wrecked
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91837 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 1:40 pm to
quote:

Everyone says the EURO is tGOAT. Well were hoping its wrong this time.




The Euro is pretty damn stubborn.

This was the projected location on Tuesday @ 192 hours:



This was the projected location yesterday @ 168 hours:



This is the projected location today @ 144 hours:



That consistency is very concerning, to say the least.
Posted by Nado Jenkins83
Land of the Free
Member since Nov 2012
66054 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 1:41 pm to
Nola. I'm was planning on going through dallas
Posted by deuce985
Member since Feb 2008
27660 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 1:41 pm to
Rita was pretty bad from what I remember. I live on the Northshore and it wasn't too bad over here but I heard horror stories from my dad what Rita did over in W. LA where he worked. What made it so bad was it was right after Katrina where the resources were still being scrambled around apparently. This would be a lot different due to how slowly it approaches.
Posted by tke857
Member since Jan 2012
12195 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 1:41 pm to
Katrina lowest mb was 902 at landfall it was 920 i believe
Posted by Chad504boy
4 posts
Member since Feb 2005
178833 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 1:41 pm to
quote:



the storm would be pulling TONS of warm moist air onshore and whipping a consistent and sustained storm surge over a number of days on the Eastern side.

massive rain, long lasting storm surge.

nightmare scenario.


models don't appear its stalling that long over LA, moving through at normal rate right...? I mean i get LA would be on Eastern side of this storm as it hits which is not good for sure.
Posted by tgrbaitn08
Member since Dec 2007
148031 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 1:41 pm to
quote:

That consistency is very concerning, to say the least.



Very...I hope the Gov and the rest of La state officials are paying attention to this model and it's consistency..
Posted by 50_Tiger
Arlington TX
Member since Jan 2016
43447 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 1:41 pm to
Then you need to get to 20 as soon as possible tm.

You will be okay from there.
Posted by tLSU
Member since Oct 2007
8683 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 1:42 pm to
quote:

Also, these models are consistently changing every 24 hours I wouldn't freak over something 5-6 days out...they can't even predict 3 days out. Be concerned if 2-3 days now they stayed on the same path.


This model has been the same for several days.
Posted by LSUsmartass
Scompton
Member since Sep 2004
82740 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 1:42 pm to
Euro has not really changed for a while now
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91837 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 1:42 pm to
quote:

it's the path of the storm.

not the strength that's the nightmare.


I understand that, but Rita's storm surge was no joke either. If this storm is just as bad as Rita, it will be a major problem. To suggest it will be much worse is a bit much at this point.
Posted by bnb9433
Member since Jan 2015
14827 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 1:42 pm to
Posted by Nado Jenkins83
Land of the Free
Member since Nov 2012
66054 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 1:43 pm to
Screw that. I'm not going early. They can find someone else to drill surface. It's straight hole
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