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Message

re: Harvey ***Catastrophic Flooding Event***

Posted on 8/24/17 at 1:50 pm to
Posted by CptBengal
BR Baby
Member since Dec 2007
71661 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 1:50 pm to
quote:

That'll back up the tidal lakes and other outlets Louisiana drains into. It's a nasty nasty scenario.


and drop tons of rain.

the water wont go anywhere.

places will just back up and flood.
Posted by tke857
Member since Jan 2012
12195 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 1:50 pm to
regardless if monday night we see this thing getting pushed back out to GoM it's time to freak out.
Posted by bigberg2000
houston, from chalmette
Member since Sep 2005
70733 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 1:50 pm to
Can we stop with fighting over what storm was/will be worse? frick.
Posted by Chad504boy
4 posts
Member since Feb 2005
178832 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 1:50 pm to
quote:



I said 20 times than Katrina.


as far as water being pushed, Katrina's reputation is from levee blowing out. City made out fairly well until the breaches.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91837 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 1:50 pm to
quote:

I said 20 times than Katrina.

you keep saying Rita.


In your opinion, in what areas will Harvey be 20 times worse than Katrina?
Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
50592 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 1:51 pm to
Holy frick that would be bad for SELA and the BR area. Rivers would rise with the rainfall and strong southerly winds pushing water back. At least it would be moving faster at that point.
Posted by tgrbaitn08
Member since Dec 2007
148031 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 1:51 pm to
Lily hit as a CAT 1 but it had gotten up to a CAT 4 briefly at one point
Posted by CptBengal
BR Baby
Member since Dec 2007
71661 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 1:51 pm to
quote:

regardless if monday night we see this thing getting pushed back out to GoM it's time to freak out.


we just need to watch that ridge over the weekend in central texas.

if it stays strong, be proactive and get ahead of the news.
Posted by Ed Osteen
Member since Oct 2007
59225 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 1:51 pm to
Or wiping bay St. Louis off the map
Posted by deuce985
Member since Feb 2008
27660 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 1:53 pm to
Mitch better have a full armed PMC force guarding him if that thing hits like the Euro is showing.
Posted by Chad504boy
4 posts
Member since Feb 2005
178832 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 1:53 pm to
quote:

Or wiping bay St. Louis off the map



nobody cares about them.
Posted by St James Infirmary
too far from Storyville
Member since Apr 2015
145 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 1:54 pm to
Some of these models showing intensification up to Cat 4 before landfall in Texas.

Posted by CptBengal
BR Baby
Member since Dec 2007
71661 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 1:54 pm to
quote:


In your opinion, in what areas will Harvey be 20 times worse than Katrina?


most of the fricking coast.

when a storm makes landfall from south going north, the EAST side of the storm stacks a storm surge and pushed rain, while the WEST side has wind, but little rain and almost no surge and helps to alleviate potential flooding.

When a storm along the GOM coast approaches from a WEST to EAST and scrapes the coast like this model shows, there will be almost no reprieve that you normally experience due to the rotational structure of the storm.

Moreover, instead of riding onto land and losing access to energy, the Eastern side will have a longer time to access warm ,moist, gulf air.
Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
43292 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 1:54 pm to
pressure is still dropping in Harvey down to 977MB.
This post was edited on 8/24/17 at 1:56 pm
Posted by LSUFanHouston
NOLA
Member since Jul 2009
40978 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 1:55 pm to
quote:

as far as water being pushed, Katrina's reputation is from levee blowing out. City made out fairly well until the breaches.


St Bernard parish says hello, where the water heights were almost twice the levee heights
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91837 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 1:55 pm to
FWIW, the HWRF ran right before the Euro -



It follows the same exit scenario as the Euro, but the HWRF took Harvey 60 miles inland, and as a result, it isn't nearly as developed when it gets to the Sabine River.

The end game is starting to consolidate between the models. The biggest difference will be how far inland Harvey gets, if at all, and ultimately how strong it is entering LA.
Posted by Ed Osteen
Member since Oct 2007
59225 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 1:55 pm to
Typical chad post
Posted by Chad504boy
4 posts
Member since Feb 2005
178832 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 1:57 pm to
quote:



St Bernard parish says hello, where the water heights were almost twice the levee heights



I said City made out fairly well until breaches.
Posted by tgrbaitn08
Member since Dec 2007
148031 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 1:57 pm to
quote:

St Bernard parish says hello


nobody cares about them


His comment was about the City of New Orleans...not St Bernard, not Slidell
This post was edited on 8/24/17 at 1:58 pm
Posted by Jim Rockford
Member since May 2011
105235 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 1:58 pm to
Rds, where are you?
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