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re: Harvey ***Catastrophic Flooding Event***

Posted on 8/23/17 at 11:19 pm to
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21626 posts
Posted on 8/23/17 at 11:19 pm to
quote:

Models aside, give us a guess Do you think this thing intensifies like some are saying?


I'm not an operational met and stuff like that is beyond my skill level. All I can say, the models show the potential for rapid intensification before landfall but it is almost impossible to forecast RI. It happens sometimes, but more often than not. setups that look favorable for RI in the models don't produce in real life.
Posted by jlntiger
Member since Feb 2011
1614 posts
Posted on 8/23/17 at 11:21 pm to
First I appreciate your post in these threads every time there is a storm. When do you think the forecast will be solid as far a land fall area ?
This post was edited on 8/23/17 at 11:25 pm
Posted by Ponchy Tiger
Ponchatoula
Member since Aug 2004
49931 posts
Posted on 8/23/17 at 11:24 pm to
Thanks for the work you put into for us.
Posted by deuce985
Member since Feb 2008
27660 posts
Posted on 8/23/17 at 11:26 pm to
Wow. That would be bad...
Posted by OldSouth
Folsom, LA
Member since Oct 2011
11026 posts
Posted on 8/23/17 at 11:26 pm to
quote:

Has the projected track shifted to the East some?



No, not in the 11:00 advisory
Posted by GRTiger
On a roof eating alligator pie
Member since Dec 2008
71752 posts
Posted on 8/23/17 at 11:27 pm to
quote:

Houston is pushing 30" of rain by the morning of the 30th.


Well shite.
Posted by texag7
College Station
Member since Apr 2014
41596 posts
Posted on 8/23/17 at 11:32 pm to
Posted by Jim Rockford
Member since May 2011
105865 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 2:08 am to
Anybody who went to bed thinking Louisiana is out ofthe woods had better take a shot of bourbon in their coffee. This shite aint over
Posted by rmnldr
Member since Oct 2013
40375 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 2:41 am to
Why say that?
Posted by BananaManCan
Member since Sep 2009
4353 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 3:43 am to
You are retarded.
Posted by Ponchy Tiger
Ponchatoula
Member since Aug 2004
49931 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 4:13 am to
Who thinks this is over? It hasn't even gotten started yet. Just have to be prepared and wait it out. No way of knowing impact on Louisiana at this point.
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
178246 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 4:16 am to
Moving north at 10

I like when the direction a storm is heading doesn't even match the predicted path
Posted by dukesilver72
Texas
Member since Feb 2015
1254 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 4:28 am to
It's moving north @ 10 mph? Wtf
Posted by St James Infirmary
too far from Storyville
Member since Apr 2015
145 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 5:13 am to
From that GOES Floater image on page one it is starting to look more symmetric. Has shear decreased overnight?
Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
43310 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 5:17 am to
Harvey starting to get that buzz saw look.
Posted by Placebeaux
Bobby Fischer Fan Club President
Member since Jun 2008
51852 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 5:25 am to
I would not be surprised if this thing is over 100 miles an hour at landfall
Posted by BigHoss
Offshore
Member since Apr 2010
3366 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 5:26 am to
I said the same thing.

If he was able to do that in the past 3-4 hours. Today should be interesting once it heats up
Posted by GEAUXmedic
Premium Member
Member since Nov 2011
42053 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 5:28 am to
Overnight:

00z Euro:


00z NAVGEM:
Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
43310 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 5:29 am to
Depending how much more Harvey develops today I would not rule out a Major at landfall especially if it continues the North movement longer than expected.
Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
43310 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 5:31 am to
Euro has been relentless on that Northeast turn into Louisiana. Also Hurricane Hunters flying back to Harvey at the moment be interesting what they find.
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