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Started By
Message
re: Harvey ***Catastrophic Flooding Event***
Posted on 8/23/17 at 5:06 pm to TDsngumbo
Posted on 8/23/17 at 5:06 pm to TDsngumbo
quote:this is not exactly showing with any likely probability
Why do people keep saying this? Is everyone just ignoring the fact that models are beginning to come together on the idea of Harvey reentering the gulf, strengthening, and heading to Vermillion Bay, moving inland to near BR? This could eventually be a big deal here too.
1
Posted on 8/23/17 at 5:07 pm to TDsngumbo
quote:
Why do people keep saying this? Is everyone just ignoring the fact that models are beginning to come together on the idea of Harvey reentering the gulf, strengthening, and heading to Vermillion Bay, moving inland to near BR? This could eventually be a big deal here too.
Because the 3 days it spends in Texas is a bigger deal in SWLA than a tropical storm moving through Vermillion Parish and out of the state in 24 hours is to SE LA.
SE LA doesn't have the disaster marker cornered. Share the wealth pal.
Posted on 8/23/17 at 5:07 pm to lsupride87
Sure seems like a trek into central Texas after landfall
Posted on 8/23/17 at 5:11 pm to NorthEndZone
quote:
18Z GFS is rolling out now and it's good news..so far. Well inland along the Rio Grande River at 102 hours. Quite a bit SW of last run.
It's a much better story for everyone north of Corpus Christi thus far. Still a rainfall disaster between Corpus and Brownsville now.
Posted on 8/23/17 at 5:13 pm to slackster
great run for Louisiana so far with this GFS run, I'll wait until the data with the models tonight into tomorrow to get a better idea though.
Posted on 8/23/17 at 5:13 pm to NorthEndZone
quote:
18Z GFS is rolling out now and it's good news..so far. Well inland along the Rio Grande River at 102 hours. Quite a bit SW of last run.
Posted on 8/23/17 at 5:13 pm to slackster
quote:
It's a much better story for everyone north of Corpus Christi thus far. Still a rainfall disaster between Corpus and Brownsville now.
I may have spoken too soon.
Accumulated totals through 150 hours.
Posted on 8/23/17 at 5:14 pm to rds dc
I have to fly out of IAH on monday.
am i screwed or no?
am i screwed or no?
Posted on 8/23/17 at 5:14 pm to RummelTiger
That image is a day old.
Posted on 8/23/17 at 5:14 pm to RummelTiger
That's August 22 18z Rummy.
Posted on 8/23/17 at 5:15 pm to TigerstuckinMS
Gotcha thanks, never really kept up with thing thing from the start...
Posted on 8/23/17 at 5:16 pm to slackster
This post was edited on 8/23/17 at 5:18 pm
Posted on 8/23/17 at 5:16 pm to slackster
what cycle will have the new hurricane aircraft upper level dropsonde in their runs?
Posted on 8/23/17 at 5:17 pm to slackster
Sloshing down the RioG back towards the Gulf at 156...
Posted on 8/23/17 at 5:17 pm to slackster
Y'all invest too much time into watching these shitty models that never pan out.
Posted on 8/23/17 at 5:17 pm to tLSU
Wow, is that a second storm hitting the northeast?!
Posted on 8/23/17 at 5:18 pm to slackster
Am certainly no weatherman but the front which moved thru here yesterday, Wichita Falls, looks to be dissipating over the next day or two and wonder if that will allow Harvey to head more northerly, into central Texas, than previously thought
Misinterpreted the model, nevermind
Misinterpreted the model, nevermind
This post was edited on 8/23/17 at 7:07 pm
Posted on 8/23/17 at 5:20 pm to slackster
44" north of Brownsville over the next week, and the storm is still projected to be near Brownsville at that point.
Posted on 8/23/17 at 5:21 pm to The Boat
quote:
Y'all invest too much time into watching these shitty models that never pan out.
Probably so.
Posted on 8/23/17 at 5:23 pm to slackster
When does 18z Euro start rolling out?
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