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re: Frontal Low Nestor - Nearing Landfall in the Panhandle - The End of Hurricane Season?

Posted on 10/17/19 at 11:06 am to
Posted by LaBR4
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2005
53970 posts
Posted on 10/17/19 at 11:06 am to


All storm preparations should come to conclusion as soon as possible as conditions will start to deteriorate across the warned area. Once winds reach tropical storm force emergency vehicles will not be able to go out and render help if needed.
This post was edited on 10/17/19 at 11:13 am
Posted by LaBR4
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2005
53970 posts
Posted on 10/17/19 at 11:08 am to
Posted by Cowboyfan89
Member since Sep 2015
13057 posts
Posted on 10/17/19 at 12:12 pm to
I have just one question...






















Has Florida postponed the 2020 game against LSU yet?
Posted by nicholastiger
Member since Jan 2004
57227 posts
Posted on 10/17/19 at 12:36 pm to
No but wondering if they make that trip to South Carolina now
Posted by deuce985
Member since Feb 2008
27660 posts
Posted on 10/17/19 at 1:10 pm to
They probably want a rematch of LSU from last week since they clearly were distracted and had to prep for this storm.
Posted by Bedhog
Denham Springs
Member since Apr 2019
3741 posts
Posted on 10/17/19 at 4:11 pm to
Anyone know what kind of surge Fourchon may get? Buddy has a camper by Morans.
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21676 posts
Posted on 10/17/19 at 4:28 pm to
Posted by Tarps99
Lafourche Parish
Member since Apr 2017
13397 posts
Posted on 10/17/19 at 5:21 pm to
quote:

Anyone know what kind of surge Fourchon may get? Buddy has a camper by Morans


I wouldn’t keep anything movable outside the Hurricane protection system, so your buddy could be a moron if he left it at Morans.

Seriously though, they are expecting higher than normal tides. At 1-2 feet he should be okay as the marina is built up to about the road level.

Anything higher, he could have some problems. Especially, just trying to to get in and out of there. The road just below the floodgate in Golden Meadow typically floods before Fourchon because it is lower. That is why they need to finish the bridge.

In hindsight, maybe they should have built the section between Golden Meadow and Leeville first.

The system may stay far enough to the south and east of the area and it may not be an issue. So far no one is calling for an evacuation yet.
This post was edited on 10/17/19 at 6:37 pm
Posted by ChenierauTigre
Dreamland
Member since Dec 2007
34743 posts
Posted on 10/17/19 at 6:07 pm to
This burns my arse up. Pensacola area.
Posted by tgrbaitn08
Member since Dec 2007
148031 posts
Posted on 10/17/19 at 6:18 pm to
quote:

so your buddy would be a moron if he left it at Morans.


To be fair Moran is a moron
Posted by Champagne
Sabine Free State.
Member since Oct 2007
56181 posts
Posted on 10/17/19 at 7:19 pm to
This is a very interesting storm.
Posted by No Colors
Sandbar
Member since Sep 2010
13774 posts
Posted on 10/17/19 at 7:20 pm to
quote:

Moran is a moron



That guy...
Posted by OmniPundit
Florida
Member since Sep 2018
1440 posts
Posted on 10/17/19 at 8:20 pm to
Per normal, the weather channel was awfulizing at noon today.

As long as it's no worse here than the actual forecast, I would welcome it - my irrigation water bill needs it.

"Minor" catch is present forecast puts central FL in the NE quadrant.
This post was edited on 10/17/19 at 8:27 pm
Posted by redfishfan
Baton Rouge
Member since Oct 2015
5550 posts
Posted on 10/17/19 at 10:02 pm to
My question is they are calling for 20-25 mph NE winds in Fourchon area Friday night. Will the surge we able to get that high with that hard of a wind ripping?
Posted by Icansee4miles
Trolling the Tickfaw
Member since Jan 2007
32320 posts
Posted on 10/17/19 at 10:08 pm to
Meh. We left ours at Moran’s for Barry, it had higher surge than predicted here and water never even got over the bulkhead. Just plot out where my October beach rental is, it’s a more accurate prediction of landfall than a Cantore visit. 3 straight years now.
Posted by Icansee4miles
Trolling the Tickfaw
Member since Jan 2007
32320 posts
Posted on 10/17/19 at 10:09 pm to
GFY dude. Did he frick your woman? He’s a great guy.
Posted by NorthEndZone
Member since Dec 2008
14616 posts
Posted on 10/18/19 at 9:59 am to
60 mph winds and 1001 mb pressure but still not a well-defined center...Stay safe Floridians...

quote:

The satellite presentation of the system features an area of very
deep convection with cloud tops colder than -80C within the eastern
part of a rather broad and elongated surface circulation seen in
visible satellite imagery and data from an Air Force Reserve
Hurricane Hunter aircraft. A NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft found
flight-level winds as high as 72 kt and SFMR winds of 45-50 kt
southeast of the ill-defined center, and based on these data the
initial intensity is set to 50 kt. The NOAA aircraft also measured a
pressure of around 1001 mb
. While the cyclone has deepened, the
circulation is still quite elongated and not well defined, so the
system is maintained as a Potential Tropical Cyclone for now.

This post was edited on 10/18/19 at 9:59 am
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 10/18/19 at 10:07 am to
It's as much a midlat cyclone as a tropical one. Got a front on the east side and getting some spin help from the upper low moving out of Texas.

That being said, the convection near the center is stout. Going to bring a healthy surge into the eastern panhandle.
Posted by Champagne
Sabine Free State.
Member since Oct 2007
56181 posts
Posted on 10/18/19 at 10:27 am to
quote:

It's as much a midlat cyclone as a tropical one. Got a front on the east side and getting some spin help from the upper low moving out of Texas. That being said, the convection near the center is stout. Going to bring a healthy surge into the eastern panhandle.


Indubitably, Good Sir.
Posted by Klingler7
Houston
Member since Nov 2009
12620 posts
Posted on 10/18/19 at 11:55 am to
At New Orleans international KMSY, the highest wind gust this Friday morning has been 19 knots (22 mph) from the ENE (060 degrees).

Lowest pressure has been 1010.6 mb (29.84 inches). PCPN since midnight : trace
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