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re: Frontal Low Nestor - Nearing Landfall in the Panhandle - The End of Hurricane Season?

Posted on 10/16/19 at 3:18 pm to
Posted by redneck
Los Suenos, Costa Rica
Member since Dec 2003
54202 posts
Posted on 10/16/19 at 3:18 pm to
quote:

Develops it off the coast of Louisiana. This thing is going to run into a lot of shear the closer to land it gets. Right now it has lots of shear all the way to Florida and it won't be hanging around long either it's moving fast.


So just some rain and higher tides than normal for coastal Louisiana and Mississippi?
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 10/16/19 at 3:43 pm to
quote:

So just some rain and higher tides than normal for coastal Louisiana and Mississippi?



Higher tides for sure, precip depends on path.

It's probably going to be subtropical and put most of the rain to the east side of the center.
Posted by redneck
Los Suenos, Costa Rica
Member since Dec 2003
54202 posts
Posted on 10/16/19 at 3:44 pm to
quote:

Higher tides for sure, precip depends on path.

It's probably going to be subtropical and put most of the rain to the east side of the center.


Thanks, I'll keep an eye on it to decide if I need to go move the boats before leaving town Friday
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21676 posts
Posted on 10/16/19 at 8:01 pm to
Really not much to see here but it will eventually bring a quick hitter of rain to portions of Florida. In fact, the Nor'easter this evening in the NE is more impressive.

Posted by deaconjones35
Thibodaux
Member since Sep 2009
9900 posts
Posted on 10/16/19 at 8:16 pm to
Always enjoy your threads, I just hope this is the last one for the year! We don’t need a Hurricane Juan type storm this year.
Posted by Legion of Doom
Old Metry
Member since Jan 2018
5776 posts
Posted on 10/16/19 at 8:42 pm to
rds do you post year round or just do hurricanes?
Posted by tketaco
Sunnyside, Houston
Member since Jan 2010
21809 posts
Posted on 10/16/19 at 10:18 pm to
Is it coming in over the weekend?
Posted by CuseTiger
Member since Jul 2013
9104 posts
Posted on 10/16/19 at 10:22 pm to
quote:

the Nor'easter this evening in the NE is more impressive

It's been an interesting day up here. Glad its hitting now and not in 2 months with snow
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 10/16/19 at 10:28 pm to
Going to be a hell of a stormy night up around Cape Ann and up the coast of Maine.
Posted by Jim Rockford
Member since May 2011
106059 posts
Posted on 10/16/19 at 10:37 pm to
I hope S's staff has secured the croquet court.
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21676 posts
Posted on 10/17/19 at 7:11 am to
During the summer we typically look for disturbances in the mid-level flow up towards Canada, as these can break down the summer ridges and allow systems to turn north. Now that we are into October we see a 500mb low coming out of Texas and 96L will basically merge with this feature over the next couple of days. The mid & upper level flow associated with the system coming out of Texas will keep most of the weather on the eastern side of 96L.





Posted by deuce985
Member since Feb 2008
27660 posts
Posted on 10/17/19 at 8:53 am to
wet weekend for florida inb4whatgamescanceledcomments
Posted by Thracken13
Aft Cargo Hold of Serenity
Member since Feb 2010
19009 posts
Posted on 10/17/19 at 9:13 am to
well shite was hoping for some rain here in Central AL - been dry for a while
Posted by biggsc
Member since Mar 2009
34777 posts
Posted on 10/17/19 at 9:26 am to
Bring the rain
Posted by Icansee4miles
Trolling the Tickfaw
Member since Jan 2007
32320 posts
Posted on 10/17/19 at 9:28 am to
Nothing draws a storm to a Gulf landfall quite like me planning a Florida beach trip. This is a trifecta. Nate, Michael and this one.
Posted by deuce985
Member since Feb 2008
27660 posts
Posted on 10/17/19 at 10:04 am to
Posted by Tarps99
Lafourche Parish
Member since Apr 2017
13397 posts
Posted on 10/17/19 at 10:27 am to
Is it sticky time?

I had to look pretty far down to find this.
Posted by biggsc
Member since Mar 2009
34777 posts
Posted on 10/17/19 at 10:53 am to
Any idea of the Gulf water temperatures and any shear?
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 10/17/19 at 10:55 am to
Plenty of shear.

Really it's going to get caught up in a shortwave coming off Texas and be a hybrid tropical/non tropical low. Going to put the weather offset to the east.

Could still throw out some pretty solid winds.
Posted by biggsc
Member since Mar 2009
34777 posts
Posted on 10/17/19 at 10:59 am to
Thanks.
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