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re: Francine - Landfall in Terrebonne Parish as CAT 2 100 mph

Posted on 9/11/24 at 7:07 pm to
Posted by DhanTigers212
Member since Dec 2014
10497 posts
Posted on 9/11/24 at 7:07 pm to
The bottom half of this storm is being eroded like predicted. Love to see that.
Posted by Jh22586
Member since Oct 2019
674 posts
Posted on 9/11/24 at 7:07 pm to
My mom just called she over on Jefferson hwy by hoo shoo too rd in Baton Rouge (st George) said her lights been flickering and went out for about 5ish mins and came back on
Posted by TH03
Mogadishu
Member since Dec 2008
172004 posts
Posted on 9/11/24 at 7:07 pm to
quote:

NOLA is gonna it rough.


huh? new orleans is absolutely missing the brunt of this

Posted by LSUdude247
Member since Oct 2014
7945 posts
Posted on 9/11/24 at 7:07 pm to
quote:

Link your brother to the nothingburger posts a few hours ago...



You ain't lying

He got a few trees down by his house too
Posted by LSUfan4444
Member since Mar 2004
57068 posts
Posted on 9/11/24 at 7:08 pm to
quote:

Had 4 flickers on Mandeville High grid in last 15 minutes.


West St Tammany is out in my subdivision but Cleco is still good (Mandeville)
Posted by DhanTigers212
Member since Dec 2014
10497 posts
Posted on 9/11/24 at 7:08 pm to
quote:

NOLA is gonna it rough.


You mean the River Parishes
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91838 posts
Posted on 9/11/24 at 7:08 pm to
quote:

It most certainly did change. After 4pm it was crossing I-10 around west of Sorrento.


I'm excited to use this post for the 3rd time in 24 hours...

They don't predict the center line - they just predict the location of the storm at certain intervals. People freak out over where the line is, but it is literally just connect the dots once they put down the center forecast. Every 6 hours they update the intervals, so a 4 mile west movement of the line doesn't mean they've shifted the track west at all - it could just be the angle between the intervals. See below:


Imagine you live at the red star and the storm is expected to take the green line. Now you're tasked with updating the position along that green line at 12 and 24 hours - the 1st and 3rd dot. 6 hours later as the storm progresses you do the same - the 2nd and 4th dot. If you just connect each of those dots, the path will seem like it went from going south of you to going north of you, when reality is that it was always going south of you, but your intervals aren't close enough to show it.
This post was edited on 9/11/24 at 7:10 pm
Posted by TH03
Mogadishu
Member since Dec 2008
172004 posts
Posted on 9/11/24 at 7:09 pm to
quote:

I didn't say anything about the cone.
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 9/11/24 at 7:09 pm to
Rainfall rate is an amazing proxy for who's getting fricked.

River Parishes
Posted by 4cubbies
Member since Sep 2008
61388 posts
Posted on 9/11/24 at 7:09 pm to
It’s a cat 1 now and will continue to weaken.
Posted by TigrrrDad
Member since Oct 2016
8111 posts
Posted on 9/11/24 at 7:09 pm to
Just got my power back in Folsom
Posted by Demshoes
Up in here
Member since Aug 2015
10729 posts
Posted on 9/11/24 at 7:09 pm to
Multiple flickers in the Ridge.
Posted by urinetrouble
Member since Oct 2007
20640 posts
Posted on 9/11/24 at 7:09 pm to
quote:

no it didn't. literally the only thing that changed in this update was the location of the storm.


Which changes the track on the NHC interactive map.

quote:

stop being fricking idiots for once in your lives



Stop being a fussy a-hole to random strangers on the internet for once.
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
75140 posts
Posted on 9/11/24 at 7:09 pm to
quote:

I'm excited to use this post for the 3rd time in 24 hours...


I told you that you'd have to......
Posted by Fox McLeod
Chocolate City
Member since Jul 2013
893 posts
Posted on 9/11/24 at 7:10 pm to
Lights out in the Irish Channel. Outage seems small and similar to one a few weeks back, so hopefully restoration isn’t too long after 30mph winds die down. Stay safe, everyone.
Posted by 4cubbies
Member since Sep 2008
61388 posts
Posted on 9/11/24 at 7:10 pm to
quote:

huh? new orleans is absolutely missing the brunt of this


Somehow power is still out in neighborhoods across the city already.
Posted by lsupride87
Member since Dec 2007
111458 posts
Posted on 9/11/24 at 7:10 pm to
quote:

How is the weather down there? Radar seems to be easing up a bit.
99.9% sure we are in the eye currently
Posted by Oates Mustache
Member since Oct 2011
26630 posts
Posted on 9/11/24 at 7:10 pm to
quote:

this the longest thread ever?

Bend over and I'll show ya


My English isn't the best but I'm pretty sure he didn't ask to see your micro-peen.
Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
131569 posts
Posted on 9/11/24 at 7:10 pm to
Im too lazy to go back and check exact coordinate predictions and actual plot points

But I guarantee its been 20 miles east or so all day

Again, not that 20 miles matters for planning but when all models are east why not keep nudging it a bit east to make yourself look good?
This post was edited on 9/11/24 at 7:11 pm
Posted by lsudave1
Baton Metairie
Member since Jan 2005
12269 posts
Posted on 9/11/24 at 7:10 pm to
I’ve already lost fricking power one of the only grids in BR that’s down. So gay.
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