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re: Francine - Landfall in Terrebonne Parish as CAT 2 100 mph

Posted on 9/11/24 at 11:57 am to
Posted by SWLA92
SWLA
Member since Feb 2015
5054 posts
Posted on 9/11/24 at 11:57 am to
True lol
Posted by LSURussian
Member since Feb 2005
134919 posts
Posted on 9/11/24 at 11:57 am to
quote:

The strongest winds will be on the north and west side of the eye wall.
Your thoughts about will there still be an "eye wall" when the storm is closest to Baton Rouge? Or will it be like a huge thunderstorm passing by?
Posted by hendersonshands
Univ. of Louisiana Ragin Cajuns
Member since Oct 2007
160203 posts
Posted on 9/11/24 at 11:59 am to
Thanks, gangster. I checked out when the track shifted way East.
Posted by roguetiger15
Member since Jan 2013
17563 posts
Posted on 9/11/24 at 11:59 am to
Looks like the eye shifted nne in the last couple of frames
Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
131590 posts
Posted on 9/11/24 at 11:59 am to
Northern eyewall looking like its breaking down some on radar
Posted by FCP
Delta State Univ. - Fightin' Okra
Member since Sep 2010
5172 posts
Posted on 9/11/24 at 12:01 pm to
quote:

About to have my first beer
Pouring a bloody mary right now. Would have started earlier but had errands to run in town. Back home now and ready to get this mutha started.
Posted by Impotent Waffle
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2007
10129 posts
Posted on 9/11/24 at 12:02 pm to
quote:

About to have my first beer and look forward to updating you folks as long as I can…


Just made my first drink, looking forward to a good thread with minimal damage as possible for everyone
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
177328 posts
Posted on 9/11/24 at 12:03 pm to
quote:

Your thoughts about will there still be an "eye wall" when the storm is closest to Baton Rouge? Or will it be like a huge thunderstorm passing by?

It should erode pretty quickly but there will be a core band that hangs on inland. For inland areas consistent moderate winds, if that descriptor makes any sense, then a pretty quick blast when the band moves through a location. It'll be a lot like a big rain shield out in front of a narrow line of intense thunderstorms.
Posted by NorthEndZone
Member since Dec 2008
14298 posts
Posted on 9/11/24 at 12:03 pm to
quote:

Hurricane Francine Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL062024
1200 PM CDT Wed Sep 11 2024

...CONDITIONS BEGINNING TO DETERIORATE IN SOUTHERN LOUISIANA...
...1200 PM CDT POSITION UPDATE...

Rainbands of Francine continue to move onshore and spread
inland into southern Louisiana. Tropical-storm-force winds are just
offshore, and conditions will continue to deteriorate throughout the
afternoon. Ensure you are in a safe location before the onset of
these strong winds or possible flooding, and have multiple ways to
receive warnings.

An oil platform north of the center recently reported sustained
winds of 85 mph (137 km/h) and a gust of 100 mph (161 km/h)
at an elevation of 98 ft (30 m).

SUMMARY OF 1200 PM CDT...1700 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...28.3N 92.3W
ABOUT 120 MI...190 KM SW OF MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA
ABOUT 180 MI...285 KM SW OF NEW ORLEANS LOUISIANA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 40 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...976 MB...28.82 INCHES

$$
Forecaster Kelly
Posted by Ponchy Tiger
Ponchatoula
Member since Aug 2004
49686 posts
Posted on 9/11/24 at 12:04 pm to
quote:

don't even look at models right now, just follow radar/satellite. It's close enough


Exactly, you could do that 4 hours ago. I been telling ppl this thing will go east of the projection and they all have been swearing by the NHC. To. hell with them. I don't need the NHC to follow what is happening on radar.
Posted by upgrade
Member since Jul 2011
15077 posts
Posted on 9/11/24 at 12:04 pm to
I’m debating on what time to crack my first beer.
Wish I had bourbon for this occasion.
Posted by fifthdeadlyvenom
Member since Nov 2016
1267 posts
Posted on 9/11/24 at 12:04 pm to
Shout out to early-mid 2000's thick-arse Dawn Brown with those slutty school teacher vibes:






Posted by TH03
Mogadishu
Member since Dec 2008
172004 posts
Posted on 9/11/24 at 12:05 pm to
EVERYONE SHHHHHH TEEDY IS SPEAKING
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
75163 posts
Posted on 9/11/24 at 12:05 pm to
quote:

An oil platform north of the center recently reported sustained
winds of 85 mph (137 km/h) and a gust of 100 mph (161 km/h)
at an elevation of 98 ft (30 m).

Good. I was wondering how high that anemometer is.
Posted by LSUFanHouston
NOLA
Member since Jul 2009
41063 posts
Posted on 9/11/24 at 12:05 pm to
quote:

They seem to have gone downhill since Lil' Bob Breck retired.


Ole Zebrecki was the OG when it came to hysterics and going against the NHC.

He loved his VIPIR model.
Posted by LSURussian
Member since Feb 2005
134919 posts
Posted on 9/11/24 at 12:05 pm to
Posted by Impotent Waffle
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2007
10129 posts
Posted on 9/11/24 at 12:06 pm to
quote:

I’m debating on what time to crack my first beer. Wish I had bourbon for this occasion.
.

Stop debating and do it…
Posted by tgrbaitn08
Member since Dec 2007
148031 posts
Posted on 9/11/24 at 12:06 pm to
quote:

EVERYONE SHHHHHH TEEDY IS SPEAKING


I’m going clean out my storm drains and drain my pool
Posted by N2cars
Member since Feb 2008
39640 posts
Posted on 9/11/24 at 12:06 pm to
Have an upvote, sir.
Posted by TH03
Mogadishu
Member since Dec 2008
172004 posts
Posted on 9/11/24 at 12:06 pm to
quote:

Wish I had bourbon for this occasion.


you didn't prepare??
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