Started By
Message

re: Francine - Landfall in Terrebonne Parish as CAT 2 100 mph

Posted on 9/10/24 at 7:35 pm to
Posted by Adam Banks
District 5
Member since Sep 2009
37786 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 7:35 pm to
quote:

slackster







Quit taking up for big weather
Posted by BOSCEAUX
Where the Down Boys go.
Member since Mar 2008
52401 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 7:35 pm to
Bitch is blowing up. Shear at the coast should take her down a notch before landfall.
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 7:35 pm to
quote:

If Ole Troy was as far out of spec in his job as the NHC is on a regular basis, he would have been fired years ago.


Posted by lsurulz1515
Member since Mar 2007
8256 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 7:35 pm to
quote:

B) Going east of New Orleans (which isn't the forecast) is irrelevant if you can read a map and understand angles.


Get em Slack!

And you just baited 10,000 TD users, undoubtedly intentionally (or maybe you're feeling as froggy as the dumbasses this AM)

Thanks, and keep it up!
Posted by LSUGrad9295
Baton Rouge
Member since May 2007
37911 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 7:36 pm to
I don't have my TV on, but did Jay for real come out of retirement to get the band back together on Channel 9 for one more hurricane ride?
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
177321 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 7:36 pm to
quote:

At 4:00 they got it passing right over Morgan City and passing over Baton Rouge. I haven't seen the 7:00 update

Between Franklin and Patterson at 4 pm. Shifting to Morgan city at 10 pm.
Posted by Alt26
Member since Mar 2010
35609 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 7:37 pm to
quote:

What color Jeans?!?!


This is equally as important. I feel so lost with the sleeves/jeans index.

If I see a post of him in black jeans I will be officially on high alert
Posted by fallguy_1978
Best States #50
Member since Feb 2018
53525 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 7:38 pm to
quote:

I don't have my TV on, but did Jay for real come out of retirement to get the band back together on Channel 9 for one more hurricane ride?

I'm not watching either.
Posted by iluvlsusports
Somewhere in South Louisiana
Member since Aug 2006
3673 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 7:38 pm to
He works at Gohsep now. Saw him at the Governors press conference today with sleeves rolled up.

Steve was in a suit jacket today - wonder if he’s gonna roll his sleeves up tomorrow.
Posted by fightin tigers
Downtown Prairieville
Member since Mar 2008
78388 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 7:39 pm to
quote:

What color Jeans?!?!!


Also, are the sleeves at half mast or merely 3/4?
This post was edited on 9/10/24 at 7:40 pm
Posted by Havoc
Member since Nov 2015
39262 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 7:39 pm to
What’s your storm plans?
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
75134 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 7:39 pm to
quote:

Ole Jay is getting up there. There's one local station that has a weather dude with braces who looks 15. I think to myself every time I see him that he's got to be an intern and about to head off to Geometry class after doing the weather.

You want another funny age check like that? Look up Matt Laubhan WTVA on 4/27/11 and realize that was his first full day on the job as chief met. Talk about baptism by fire.
Posted by iluvlsusports
Somewhere in South Louisiana
Member since Aug 2006
3673 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 7:40 pm to
Jeans were medium blue not black.
Posted by tunechi
Member since Jun 2009
10576 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 7:40 pm to
quote:

I don't have my TV on, but did Jay for real come out of retirement to get the band back together on Channel 9 for one more hurricane ride?


He’s the meteorologist for GOHSEP now. Sends a daily email with the same maps/images that the national weather service sends. Usually within 15 minutes of each other. Complete redundancy
Posted by Mr Roboto
Seattle
Member since Jan 2023
8153 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 7:41 pm to
quote:

He works at Gohsep now

I thought I heard where he was the new state climatologist. He’s a good one to have cause he doesn’t really buy in to the CC agenda
Posted by Ingeniero
Baton Rouge
Member since Dec 2013
23014 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 7:41 pm to
quote:

Jeans were medium blue not black.

I'm cracking open a beer then
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91838 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 7:42 pm to
quote:

If they'd just admit a lot of it is guesswork, they'd be better off. If you claim rigorous scientific exactitude, you'd better deliver or people will be pissed.


First forecast discussion on Sunday @ 4:

quote:

The initial motion is highly uncertain given the fact that a
well-defined center does not yet exist, but our best estimate is
320/4 kt. ...Given the current
structure, the track forecast is of lower confidence than usual.


Second discussion Sunday @ 10pm:

quote:

The NHC track forecast has been
nudged eastward toward the latest runs of the GFS and ECMWF models.
It should be noted that confidence in the track forecast is lower
than normal since the system does not have a well-defined center.


Third discussion Monday @ 4am:

quote:

Since the center is still not well defined, the initial motion is a
rather uncertain, but slow, 340/4 kt. ... It should be noted that confidence in
the track forecast is lower than normal since the system lacks a
well-defined center.


Fourth discussion Monday @ 10am when it became a tropical storm:

quote:

The estimated motion is still tricky given the center only recently
formed but is estimated still off to the north-northwest at 340/4
kt. ... There remains a decent
amount of track uncertainty with the GEFS and EPS ensembles showing
along-track spread implying some speed differences near landfall.



I mean IDK what y'all want them to do. They've "missed" by 80 or so miles from there.


Posted by FutureMikeVIII
Houston
Member since Sep 2011
1777 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 7:42 pm to
quote:

If you claim rigorous scientific exactitude, you'd better deliver or people will be pissed.


You should probably educate yourself on what they actually claim before spouting off
Posted by nugget
Abrego Garcia Fan
Member since Dec 2009
15732 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 7:43 pm to
Starting to get some pretty bad showers here in the woodlands and it’s still a day from landfall. Knew I shoulda evacuated
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
177321 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 7:44 pm to
If they didn’t do Potential Tropical Cyclone advisories now they’d be way better than the standard error for this one. I don’t even like NHC and people got me defending them.
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