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re: Francine - Landfall in Terrebonne Parish as CAT 2 100 mph

Posted on 9/10/24 at 4:52 pm to
Posted by Ancient Astronaut
Member since May 2015
37331 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 4:52 pm to
I will only leave for 3+
Posted by lsugolfredman
Member since Jun 2005
1941 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 4:53 pm to
The 18z GFS illustrates exactly why the NHC is slow to shift left or right. It swung back a hair west on this run.









Posted by Draconian Sanctions
Markey's bar
Member since Oct 2008
88509 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 4:53 pm to
quote:

Teban54 is Keeping the Faith


what the frick is wrong with those people? seriously asking.
Posted by xBirdx
Member since Sep 2018
2625 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 4:53 pm to
lol feels like it… mortgage prices
Comparable with the rates now though!
Posted by Impotent Waffle
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2007
10129 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 4:54 pm to
quote:

we've established that it shifted east by an arse hair



Gotcha I missed it, just checking in almost ready for night shift
Posted by choupiquesushi
yaton rouge
Member since Jun 2006
35019 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 4:54 pm to
quote:


Pretty damn close to right over my house if that holds.
roger that on contact
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 4:54 pm to
quote:

because the models are tools humans use to determine the forecast.


Exactly and they're just a little left of consensus model blend at this point anyway. Room to nudge at 10 pm but at this point, the region under the gun knows it and is preparing.

Posted by Festus
With Skillet
Member since Nov 2009
86127 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 4:56 pm to
Duke, can you 100% guarantee me that I will not lose power in Denham Springs? And if not, why not? Please explain in detail. Use graphs.
Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
131545 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 4:57 pm to
That run is still east of the current NHC track
Posted by TH03
Mogadishu
Member since Dec 2008
172004 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 4:57 pm to
quote:

Exactly and they're just a little left of consensus model blend at this point anyway.


yeah I'd say this looks pretty good



Posted by Jake88
Member since Apr 2005
79924 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 4:58 pm to
quote:

They're wishcasting so hard for this thing to get going on storm2k
They've done that for 15 years at least. Always hoping for destruction yet covering up with "It's just, I find them so beautiful and interesting." Then why aren't fish storm threads full of salivating about any possible ramp up?
Posted by LSUMANINVA
West Virginia
Member since Sep 2004
9517 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 4:59 pm to
Although I’m from Morgan City, I live in West Virginia now. Can anyone tell me if it will rain in Berkeley County on Saturday?
Posted by SWLA92
SWLA
Member since Feb 2015
5047 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 5:00 pm to
Yes it is but it’s west of the 12z GFS slightly. Plus on that run the heaviest rains looks to be on the west side of the storm.
This post was edited on 9/10/24 at 5:07 pm
Posted by SomethingLikeA
Member since Jul 2013
1232 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 5:00 pm to
This thing may not even be a hurricane for a long
Posted by Bayouboogaloocrew
Dixie
Member since Jul 2013
5726 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 5:01 pm to
Yeah you’re right. Ida gave me PTSD. Never thought I would have to deal with anything like that this far away from the coast.
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 5:03 pm to
quote:

can you 100% guarantee me that I will not lose power in Denham Springs? And if not, why not? Please explain in detail. Use graphs.


My brother in christ, you have seen the high quality infrastructure of the state of Louisiana.

It is not 100% in a drizzle you will keep power.
Posted by Bayouboogaloocrew
Dixie
Member since Jul 2013
5726 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 5:03 pm to
quote:

xBirdx


God you are such a douchebag
Posted by cgrand
HAMMOND
Member since Oct 2009
48872 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 5:05 pm to
I’m 58 been thru them all since Camille…Ida was the worst. Hammond USA got fricked up and I’m still cleaning up the mess at my place

please not again
Posted by Neaux Sheaux
Gods Country
Member since Apr 2016
423 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 5:06 pm to
As an LP representative…we don’t claim him.
Posted by back9Tiger
Island Coconut Salesman
Member since Nov 2005
17950 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 5:07 pm to
quote:

Ida was the worst.


I stand by that Ida was worse than Katrina, take away the levee issue. That bitch was rough and mean. Hope I never see anything like that again.
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