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Message
re: Francine - Landfall in Terrebonne Parish as CAT 2 100 mph
Posted on 9/10/24 at 3:43 pm to The Boat
Posted on 9/10/24 at 3:43 pm to The Boat
4 PM is out early on NHC page...no graphic yet but looks to be only very small shift east. Landfall near mouth of Atchafalaya River.
TROPICAL STORM FRANCINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062024
2100 UTC TUE SEP 10 2024
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.7N 95.0W AT 10/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 35 DEGREES AT 9 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 0NW.
34 KT....... 60NE 120SE 100SW 80NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE 180SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.7N 95.0W AT 10/2100Z
AT 10/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.3N 95.3W
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 26.9N 94.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 30NE 40SE 30SW 20NW.
34 KT... 80NE 120SE 80SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 28.9N 92.0W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 50SE 40SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 120SE 80SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 31.0N 90.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 30SE 20SW 0NW.
34 KT... 60NE 120SE 60SW 40NW.
TROPICAL STORM FRANCINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062024
2100 UTC TUE SEP 10 2024
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.7N 95.0W AT 10/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 35 DEGREES AT 9 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 0NW.
34 KT....... 60NE 120SE 100SW 80NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE 180SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.7N 95.0W AT 10/2100Z
AT 10/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.3N 95.3W
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 26.9N 94.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 30NE 40SE 30SW 20NW.
34 KT... 80NE 120SE 80SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 28.9N 92.0W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 50SE 40SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 120SE 80SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 31.0N 90.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 30SE 20SW 0NW.
34 KT... 60NE 120SE 60SW 40NW.
This post was edited on 9/10/24 at 3:44 pm
Posted on 9/10/24 at 3:44 pm to Uncle JackD
He’s just a younger version of Perillo. Actually worst because Fradella will spew his BS ok stormcast and all the FB Karen’s. Perillo is pretty bad but not as bad
Posted on 9/10/24 at 3:44 pm to NorthEndZone
hurricane watch around the lake now. landfall now back to afternoon. peak down to 80kts so no cat 2 forecast anymore


This post was edited on 9/10/24 at 3:48 pm
Posted on 9/10/24 at 3:44 pm to NorthEndZone
So basically Morgan City?
Posted on 9/10/24 at 3:44 pm to MrLSU
quote:
Why is Jim Cantore on the Mandeville Lafefront?
Surge pushing north. Rivers draining south. Cantore may need a pirogue on the lakefront when it's all said and done.
Posted on 9/10/24 at 3:45 pm to TH03
did they move up landfall again?
Posted on 9/10/24 at 3:45 pm to PTLSU
New advisory has landfall as cat 1, not 2.
Posted on 9/10/24 at 3:45 pm to BottomlandBrew
(no message)
This post was edited on 1/12/25 at 10:03 am
Posted on 9/10/24 at 3:45 pm to Clockwatcher68
quote:
Clockwatcher68
WTf is this. how long were you waiting to use this gif? It sucks
Posted on 9/10/24 at 3:45 pm to LSUlefty
Posted on 9/10/24 at 3:46 pm to Motorboat
quote:
Clockwatcher68
WTf is this. how long were you waiting to use this gif? It sucks
Nasty hairy pits too. WTF
Posted on 9/10/24 at 3:47 pm to ragincajun03
quote:
Perillo saying that GRAF model is shifting East again.
Shifting further away from BR and a weaker storm than initially predicted.
Going to be some serious coping in this thread that BR isn’t going to get the weather event everyone was excited about.
Posted on 9/10/24 at 3:47 pm to ragincajun03
quote:
Perillo saying that GRAF model is shifting East again.
The thing with that model is it landfalls outside of the cone. Not happening
Posted on 9/10/24 at 3:48 pm to ragincajun03
And the NHC basically stayed the same. Perillo cherry picks models that he shows the public. He uses the EURO the most for everyday use, but it doesn’t get the clicks that the GRAF does.
Posted on 9/10/24 at 3:48 pm to LSUWoodworker
quote:
Nasty hairy pits too. WTF
Ill frick her through you
Posted on 9/10/24 at 3:48 pm to MrLSU
quote:
Why is Jim Cantore on the Mandeville Lafefront?
Reporting live from Donz
Posted on 9/10/24 at 3:48 pm to GeorgeTheGreek
Let’s not start beating our chest just yet
Posted on 9/10/24 at 3:48 pm to Double Oh
quote:
So basically Morgan City?
Yeah. Roughly Patterson to Amelia (eastern St. Mary Parish) for eastern eyewall bad stuff at this point.
This post was edited on 9/10/24 at 3:49 pm
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