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Posted on 9/10/24 at 2:54 pm to NorthEndZone
quote:
Come on dry air.

This post was edited on 9/10/24 at 2:56 pm
Posted on 9/10/24 at 2:56 pm to SmogkDeizKnutz
this is pretty much the exact spot where the NHC forecasted it to reach cat 1
RI chances are low for now

RI chances are low for now

This post was edited on 9/10/24 at 3:01 pm
Posted on 9/10/24 at 2:56 pm to brass2mouth
So if the cone is the error spread from the track, and according to Fradella all the major models are now east of the track, do we see another cone shift east? Hurricane warning move east?
Posted on 9/10/24 at 2:57 pm to PsychTiger
quote:So a 10% discount?
That would decimate crawfish prices.
Posted on 9/10/24 at 2:57 pm to SmogkDeizKnutz
Is Treyce Jones any good?
Posted on 9/10/24 at 2:58 pm to TH03
quote:
that brings up a good point for duke, slack, et al. if this isn't in fact a part of Francine, can it negatively affect Francine in terms of hogging precipitable water, etc?
Way above my pay grade but I appreciate the unfounded confidence.
Posted on 9/10/24 at 2:58 pm to SmogkDeizKnutz
quote:
Big Convection burst just happened. Francine just flipped the switch. Watch for rapid increasing
She heard everyone making fun of her blob. Now, she's pissed. Women don't forget.
Posted on 9/10/24 at 2:59 pm to SmogkDeizKnutz
quote:
Francine just flipped the switch. Watch for rapid increasing
Freaking hope not
Posted on 9/10/24 at 2:59 pm to LSUFanHouston
quote:Miami is now in play...
do we see another cone shift east? Hurricane warning move east?
Posted on 9/10/24 at 3:00 pm to LSUFanHouston
quote:
So if the cone is the error spread from the track, and according to Fradella all the major models are now east of the track, do we see another cone shift east? Hurricane warning move east?
Francine is not currently east of track. Models indicate that it may end up that way though. Suspect they tick the center line about 10-15 miles east to account for those models, but the 18z models may jump back west as well. Avoids the windshield wipering on center lines, which should be removed all together. Thats a subject worth discussing all by itself.
This post was edited on 9/10/24 at 3:02 pm
Posted on 9/10/24 at 3:02 pm to LSURussian
quote:
Miami is now in play..
Florida Gators just cancelled 2025 football season
Posted on 9/10/24 at 3:05 pm to LSUFanHouston
Fradella is good at what he does, but he can get a little carried away on the fear mongering. There’s a reason Fradella is at Fox 8 and not with the NHC. The NHC some of the most knowledgeable meteorologists in the world. They will put the 4pm track where they think it belongs.
Posted on 9/10/24 at 3:05 pm to slackster
quote:I wouldn't think a saturated atmosphere would help our cause
that brings up a good point for duke, slack, et al. if this isn't in fact a part of Francine, can it negatively affect Francine in terms of hogging precipitable water, etc?
Posted on 9/10/24 at 3:05 pm to TH03
quote:
RI chances are low for now
It’s all relative. The chart you posted shows RI chances are at least 30% higher than average, hence the 1.3x climb comment below the 20kt/12hr column, but only a 7% chance. 60% higher than normal for 25kt/24hr, but “only” an 18% overall chance.
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