Started By
Message

re: Francine - Landfall in Terrebonne Parish as CAT 2 100 mph

Posted on 9/9/24 at 5:50 pm to
Posted by sledgehammer
SWLA
Member since Oct 2020
7194 posts
Posted on 9/9/24 at 5:50 pm to
quote:

just came to the realization *smack* that we won’t have to hear *smack* anymore

Don’t forget to prepare for the hurricane by getting your COVID shot!
Posted by SWLA92
SWLA
Member since Feb 2015
5053 posts
Posted on 9/9/24 at 5:51 pm to
Yep pretty much same area. I think it went into Vermillon Bay. It weakened upon landfall substantially. Hopefully we can have a repeat
Posted by maisweh
Member since Jan 2014
4222 posts
Posted on 9/9/24 at 5:52 pm to
quote:

What was posted earlier was the "Early Cycle" guidance, which are combo of simplistic stat models and adjusted prior cycle data. So, the 12z GFS is adjusted to produce the 18z Early Cycle track. However, it is not the same as the 18z op run.

So which are we supposed to listen to?
After watching all of yall posts I'm fully expecting a yuge shift to MC and my wife to shite herself
Posted by buford4LSU
Thibodaux, LA
Member since Jan 2008
2643 posts
Posted on 9/9/24 at 5:53 pm to
Fox 8 hi-res radar shows a Morgan city landfall Wednesday afternoon. Like the GFS Model
Posted by BigB0882
Baton Rouge
Member since Nov 2014
5422 posts
Posted on 9/9/24 at 5:54 pm to
Just wait until the 10pm update. If NHC goes back east it will tell you they noticed these new runs, if not they are waiting a bit longer and want more than one model run back east.
Posted by stout
Porte du Lafitte
Member since Sep 2006
182360 posts
Posted on 9/9/24 at 5:55 pm to
quote:

This will be a weakening 2 or maybe low end 3



The latest GFS shows it as barely a 2 at landfall. Are we really thinking it will get to a cat 3?
Posted by SWLA92
SWLA
Member since Feb 2015
5053 posts
Posted on 9/9/24 at 5:56 pm to
I’m pretty sure those Hi Res Radar are pretty much the same as the GRAF model
Posted by Drop4Loss
Birds Eye Of Deaf Valley
Member since Oct 2007
3967 posts
Posted on 9/9/24 at 5:56 pm to
Whats the elevation at those wind speeds ?

Makes a big diff that the media loves
Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
131566 posts
Posted on 9/9/24 at 5:57 pm to
quote:

Are we really thinking it will get to a cat 3?


Before shear hits it its possible I suppose
Posted by Impotent Waffle
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2007
10129 posts
Posted on 9/9/24 at 5:58 pm to
quote:

Hey man… GFY…. That’s my very ill wife you are talking about. That’s NOT funny.


In no way am I talking about your wife. If you took offense, my bad. It was a joke.. Not sure how you took offense but aight
This post was edited on 9/9/24 at 6:00 pm
Posted by MWP
Kingwood, TX via Monroe, LA
Member since Jul 2013
11057 posts
Posted on 9/9/24 at 6:00 pm to
quote:

Houston told me CenterPoint is the worst electric provider in the history of the universe and only Houston loses power for absolutely no reason.


This is partially true. There is usually a reason. It is usually a gentle breeze that knocks out our power.
Posted by fallguy_1978
Best States #50
Member since Feb 2018
53534 posts
Posted on 9/9/24 at 6:00 pm to
quote:

For reference, Gustav brought a peak wind gust of 91mph at BTR

We didn't have power for 7-8 days and I knew people down for 2-3 weeks. We don't live in the same house so hoping for a better outcome.
Posted by Mr Roboto
Seattle
Member since Jan 2023
8153 posts
Posted on 9/9/24 at 6:00 pm to
quote:

Whats the elevation at those wind speeds ?

Not sure, you could try replying to the tweet and asking Steve
Posted by Zephyrius
Wharton, La.
Member since Dec 2004
9574 posts
Posted on 9/9/24 at 6:03 pm to
quote:

Did you verify that it was putting out electricity. Sometimes when portable generators sit up for a while either the brushes are the magnets get stuck and they won’t produce electricity

Yeah... umm. Hold on...

/plugs in a lamp/

We Good!!!
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21522 posts
Posted on 9/9/24 at 6:04 pm to
18z HAFS-B makes a run at Major before weakening to 969mb at landfall

ETA: Don't look at the HMON
This post was edited on 9/9/24 at 6:07 pm
Posted by BigPerm30
Member since Aug 2011
32059 posts
Posted on 9/9/24 at 6:05 pm to
quote:

18z HAFS-B makes a run at Major before weakening to 969mb at landfall


What’s your take on this?
Posted by Kingpenm3
Xanadu
Member since Aug 2011
9921 posts
Posted on 9/9/24 at 6:05 pm to
Having nothing to do with nothing, just looking at the Brownsville radar, this storm appears to be moving due West. How anyone can count on any specific landfall location seems crazy at this point.
Posted by stout
Porte du Lafitte
Member since Sep 2006
182360 posts
Posted on 9/9/24 at 6:05 pm to
quote:

Yeah... umm. Hold on...

/plugs in a lamp/

We Good!!!



I just finished the most important part of hurricane prep...I got my grass cut.

Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21522 posts
Posted on 9/9/24 at 6:07 pm to
quote:

quote:
18z HAFS-B makes a run at Major before weakening to 969mb at landfall


What’s your take on this?


It's probably on the upper end of the spread of possibilities.
Jump to page
Page First 135 136 137 138 139 ... 492
Jump to page
first pageprev pagePage 137 of 492Next pagelast page

Back to top
logoFollow TigerDroppings for LSU Football News
Follow us on X, Facebook and Instagram to get the latest updates on LSU Football and Recruiting.

FacebookXInstagram