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Started By
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Posted on 9/9/24 at 5:51 pm to friendlyobservation
Yep pretty much same area. I think it went into Vermillon Bay. It weakened upon landfall substantially. Hopefully we can have a repeat
Posted on 9/9/24 at 5:52 pm to rds dc
quote:
What was posted earlier was the "Early Cycle" guidance, which are combo of simplistic stat models and adjusted prior cycle data. So, the 12z GFS is adjusted to produce the 18z Early Cycle track. However, it is not the same as the 18z op run.
So which are we supposed to listen to?
After watching all of yall posts I'm fully expecting a yuge shift to MC and my wife to shite herself
Posted on 9/9/24 at 5:53 pm to sledgehammer
Fox 8 hi-res radar shows a Morgan city landfall Wednesday afternoon. Like the GFS Model
Posted on 9/9/24 at 5:54 pm to maisweh
Just wait until the 10pm update. If NHC goes back east it will tell you they noticed these new runs, if not they are waiting a bit longer and want more than one model run back east.
Posted on 9/9/24 at 5:55 pm to Cosmo
quote:
This will be a weakening 2 or maybe low end 3
The latest GFS shows it as barely a 2 at landfall. Are we really thinking it will get to a cat 3?
Posted on 9/9/24 at 5:56 pm to buford4LSU
I’m pretty sure those Hi Res Radar are pretty much the same as the GRAF model
Posted on 9/9/24 at 5:56 pm to Mr Roboto
Whats the elevation at those wind speeds ?
Makes a big diff that the media loves
Makes a big diff that the media loves
Posted on 9/9/24 at 5:57 pm to stout
quote:
Are we really thinking it will get to a cat 3?
Before shear hits it its possible I suppose
Posted on 9/9/24 at 5:58 pm to dukke v
quote:
Hey man… GFY…. That’s my very ill wife you are talking about. That’s NOT funny.
In no way am I talking about your wife. If you took offense, my bad. It was a joke.. Not sure how you took offense but aight
This post was edited on 9/9/24 at 6:00 pm
Posted on 9/9/24 at 6:00 pm to jclem11
quote:
Houston told me CenterPoint is the worst electric provider in the history of the universe and only Houston loses power for absolutely no reason.
This is partially true. There is usually a reason. It is usually a gentle breeze that knocks out our power.
Posted on 9/9/24 at 6:00 pm to Mr Roboto
quote:
For reference, Gustav brought a peak wind gust of 91mph at BTR
We didn't have power for 7-8 days and I knew people down for 2-3 weeks. We don't live in the same house so hoping for a better outcome.
Posted on 9/9/24 at 6:00 pm to Drop4Loss
quote:
Whats the elevation at those wind speeds ?
Not sure, you could try replying to the tweet and asking Steve
Posted on 9/9/24 at 6:03 pm to fallguy_1978
Posted on 9/9/24 at 6:03 pm to Miketheseventh
quote:
Did you verify that it was putting out electricity. Sometimes when portable generators sit up for a while either the brushes are the magnets get stuck and they won’t produce electricity
Yeah... umm. Hold on...
/plugs in a lamp/
We Good!!!
Posted on 9/9/24 at 6:04 pm to rds dc
18z HAFS-B makes a run at Major before weakening to 969mb at landfall
ETA: Don't look at the HMON
ETA: Don't look at the HMON
This post was edited on 9/9/24 at 6:07 pm
Posted on 9/9/24 at 6:05 pm to rds dc
quote:
18z HAFS-B makes a run at Major before weakening to 969mb at landfall
What’s your take on this?
Posted on 9/9/24 at 6:05 pm to friendlyobservation
Having nothing to do with nothing, just looking at the Brownsville radar, this storm appears to be moving due West. How anyone can count on any specific landfall location seems crazy at this point.
Posted on 9/9/24 at 6:05 pm to Zephyrius
quote:
Yeah... umm. Hold on...
/plugs in a lamp/
We Good!!!
I just finished the most important part of hurricane prep...I got my grass cut.
Posted on 9/9/24 at 6:07 pm to BigPerm30
quote:
quote:
18z HAFS-B makes a run at Major before weakening to 969mb at landfall
What’s your take on this?
It's probably on the upper end of the spread of possibilities.
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