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Started By
Message
re: Francine - Landfall in Terrebonne Parish as CAT 2 100 mph
Posted on 9/9/24 at 6:07 pm to Impotent Waffle
Posted on 9/9/24 at 6:07 pm to Impotent Waffle
0
Posted on 9/9/24 at 6:07 pm to Kingpenm3
quote:
How anyone can count on any specific landfall location seems crazy at this point.
This isn't 1957 with Hurricane Audrey surprise approaching Cameron. Modern tracking and predictions are pretty damn good.
Posted on 9/9/24 at 6:11 pm to rds dc
woof
This post was edited on 9/9/24 at 6:12 pm
Posted on 9/9/24 at 6:11 pm to stout
Isn’t modern tracking is still based off historical data some?
And with a TS forming this late in the game, it’s unpredictable as hell.
Still, it’s incredible that we can nail down a cone of uncertainty like we can
And with a TS forming this late in the game, it’s unpredictable as hell.
Still, it’s incredible that we can nail down a cone of uncertainty like we can
Posted on 9/9/24 at 6:13 pm to Mr Roboto
quote:what’s the average height down in his hood?
Already got the rain jacket on
5’6”?
This post was edited on 9/9/24 at 6:14 pm
Posted on 9/9/24 at 6:13 pm to VermilionTiger
Frick this run
Posted on 9/9/24 at 6:13 pm to DVinBR
Posted on 9/9/24 at 6:15 pm to Mr Roboto
It’s weird that that run basically goes east instead of north east
Posted on 9/9/24 at 6:16 pm to Mr Roboto
Thats a few model runs in this 18z slot with a 40-50 mile east shift
Posted on 9/9/24 at 6:16 pm to Mr Roboto
Yea don’t like that one. I’ve been reading the more it strengthens the greater tendency it has to shift east when accounting for the steering forces. Seeing these forecasts going to cat 2 and possibly 3 has me shocked that it’s not shifting straight through BR
Posted on 9/9/24 at 6:18 pm to Mr Roboto
Please delete. Don’t like it one bit
Posted on 9/9/24 at 6:18 pm to Cosmo
quote:
Thats a few model runs in this 18z slot with a 40-50 mile east shift
What's the reasoning
Posted on 9/9/24 at 6:18 pm to TitleistProV1X
All models shift east. We will see if it sticks
Posted on 9/9/24 at 6:19 pm to Cosmo
Yea one of the HAFS is all the way to Houma
Posted on 9/9/24 at 6:21 pm to stout
quote:
just finished the most important part of hurricane prep...I got my grass cut.
I dunno if I’m even going to cut mine… rain totals aren’t that bad
Posted on 9/9/24 at 6:22 pm to stout
quote:
got my grass cut.
Same here.
I’m expecting this to be a minor event, so I’ll probably lose my roof.
Posted on 9/9/24 at 6:24 pm to stout
quote:
The latest GFS shows it as barely a 2 at landfall. Are we really thinking it will get to a cat 3?
Maybe before landfall. Not for long though
This post was edited on 9/9/24 at 6:25 pm
Posted on 9/9/24 at 6:24 pm to stout
Got mine done yesterday and just got all my porch furniture brought in, hurricane shudders done and zip tied with 10 of the huge ones just to be safe and this mother fricker done shifted back away from LC. 
Posted on 9/9/24 at 6:24 pm to shiftworker
Posted on 9/9/24 at 6:27 pm to lsu777
"tonight thank God it's them insateaaaad of you"
--bono
--bono
This post was edited on 9/9/24 at 6:28 pm
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