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Started By
Message
1
Posted on 9/9/24 at 5:21 pm to m57
quote:
Seems like there is a pretty good chance with that last update that Nola Metro/Jeff Parish doesn't even lose power
A bird can fart and you'll loose power baw
Posted on 9/9/24 at 5:21 pm to dukke v
quote:BR has been losing power lately for absolutely no reason
Pretty much this… power outage will be a bummer.
Posted on 9/9/24 at 5:21 pm to Swagga
Yea in all serious it’s way too early for anyone on the coast to let their guard down
Posted on 9/9/24 at 5:22 pm to m57
New Orleans loses power because of a rat every other week
Posted on 9/9/24 at 5:23 pm to DhanTigers212
quote:
DhanTigers212
You just made me throw up in my mouth a little bit with that run between Baton Rouge and Hammond
Posted on 9/9/24 at 5:23 pm to 50_Tiger
Those models keep it west of Marsh Island. They were run the same time as the 18z GFS that had a noticeable shift east to St. Mary's parish. What is the difference in the data put into the models? Does one have reconnaissance data that the others do not?
Posted on 9/9/24 at 5:24 pm to m57
quote:
Seems like there is a pretty good chance with that last update that Nola Metro/Jeff Parish doesn't even lose power?, no?
The last official update? Sure
The current state of affairs 90 minutes later? Not as good.
This is partially why the NHC only updates the forecast every 6 hours and not based on the whims of the most recent model run.
Posted on 9/9/24 at 5:25 pm to maisweh
Bruh. Do you have no recollection of the hell we went through with Laura, Delta, Freeze, Flood? We've done our time here in the Chuck.
Posted on 9/9/24 at 5:26 pm to slackster
quote:
current state of affairs
please stop judging the current state of affairs based off one model run. you need to do better
Posted on 9/9/24 at 5:29 pm to GreenRockTiger
I know… well the one good thing about this is that Mrs.PJ is safe in a sturdy place. With a generator….
Posted on 9/9/24 at 5:29 pm to Slippery Joe
quote:
please stop judging the current state of affairs based off one model run. you need to do better
Well two technically ICON was also east this run
Posted on 9/9/24 at 5:29 pm to Slippery Joe
Has that guy that asked where all the hurricanes were showed up?
Posted on 9/9/24 at 5:31 pm to Slippery Joe
Hoping this storm dies down soon and may everyone be safe and be spared from any property damage.
Posted on 9/9/24 at 5:31 pm to buffbraz
quote:
Has that guy that asked where all the hurricanes were showed up?
We got him tied to the statue of Pierre in downtown Geydan as a sacrifice
This post was edited on 9/9/24 at 5:32 pm
Posted on 9/9/24 at 5:32 pm to North Dallas Tiger
quote:
Hoping this storm dies down soon and may everyone be safe and be spared from any property damage.
Me too! This is looking like a fast moving nothing event,
Posted on 9/9/24 at 5:32 pm to Jake88
quote:
Those models keep it west of Marsh Island. They were run the same time as the 18z GFS that had a noticeable shift east to St. Mary's parish. What is the difference in the data put into the models? Does one have reconnaissance data that the others do not?
What was posted earlier was the "Early Cycle" guidance, which are combo of simplistic stat models and adjusted prior cycle data. So, the 12z GFS is adjusted to produce the 18z Early Cycle track. However, it is not the same as the 18z op run.
Posted on 9/9/24 at 5:32 pm to slackster
Probably worth bookmarking for those interested in model times.
Posted on 9/9/24 at 5:33 pm to Slippery Joe
quote:
please stop judging the current state of affairs based off one model run. you need to do better
Not sure if you read the entire post but I said as much.
Posted on 9/9/24 at 5:34 pm to dukke v
quote:
well the one good thing about this is that Mrs.PJ is safe in a sturdy place. With a generator….
Can you let me the general area you are referring to so I can stay the F away from there….
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