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re: Flip a coin 6 times. What are the odds for exactly 5 tails?
Posted on 8/30/23 at 10:35 pm to Ziippy
Posted on 8/30/23 at 10:35 pm to Ziippy
quote:
6 ways of getting exactly 5 tails. So 6 out of 2 to the 6th or 6 / 64. Just under 10 percent
This is the correct answer. No idea why you're getting downvoted.
2
Posted on 8/30/23 at 10:40 pm to GumboPot
Each event is an independent 50/50 chance. So .5 to the 6th power ! Very low odds !
This post was edited on 8/30/23 at 10:42 pm
Posted on 8/30/23 at 10:40 pm to Ingeniero
quote:
This is the correct answer. No idea why you're getting downvoted.
Yeah I am with this answer too. Not sure how 3/29 got declared correct.
Posted on 8/30/23 at 10:40 pm to GumboPot
The same as getting exactly one heads out of six flips
Posted on 8/30/23 at 10:42 pm to NYNolaguy1
quote:
Not sure how 3/29 got declared correct.
quote:
The odds are defined as the probability that the event will occur divided by the probability that the event will not occur.
Posted on 8/30/23 at 10:43 pm to GumboPot
(no message)
This post was edited on 8/30/23 at 10:46 pm
Posted on 8/30/23 at 10:43 pm to Ingeniero
He calculated probability.
Odds = Probability/(1-Probability)
O = (6/64) / (1-(6/64))
O = (3/32)/(29/32)
O = 96/928
0 = 3/29
Odds = Probability/(1-Probability)
O = (6/64) / (1-(6/64))
O = (3/32)/(29/32)
O = 96/928
0 = 3/29
Posted on 8/30/23 at 10:49 pm to GRTiger
Oh I see now. Yeah 3/29 is correct for odds, about 9.4% is the probability
ETA although thinking about it, it's counterintuitive to describe odds in a fraction like that. You'd describe it as a ratio. 3/29 is 10.something percent, which is not the likelihood of flipping exactly 5 tails
ETA although thinking about it, it's counterintuitive to describe odds in a fraction like that. You'd describe it as a ratio. 3/29 is 10.something percent, which is not the likelihood of flipping exactly 5 tails
This post was edited on 8/30/23 at 10:58 pm
Posted on 8/30/23 at 10:56 pm to Ingeniero
I just thought it was an interesting question because people talk about probability and odds meaning the same thing. They don’t. Also math odds usually have no similarity to sports betting odds.
This post was edited on 8/30/23 at 10:58 pm
Posted on 8/30/23 at 11:04 pm to GumboPot
Congrats on posting a second math thread on the first page.
Posted on 8/30/23 at 11:16 pm to GumboPot
Whatever the odds are, they are much higher than going to Vegas and consecutively betting 6 times on "Red" on the roulette wheel and winning 5 times. Amazingly the house has much greater odds of beating you 5 out of 6 times on a basically 50/50 bet. It's really uncanny.
Posted on 8/30/23 at 11:22 pm to GumboPot
Other way of looking at it:
You're playing a sucker game and that shite is rigged.
You're playing a sucker game and that shite is rigged.
Posted on 8/30/23 at 11:25 pm to UnitedFruitCompany
It's always 50%
Posted on 8/30/23 at 11:26 pm to Ingeniero
quote:
ETA although thinking about it, it's counterintuitive to describe odds in a fraction like that. You'd describe it as a ratio. 3/29 is 10.something percent, which is not the likelihood of flipping exactly 5 tails
3/29 is a ratio. It's the number of successes per number of failures.
Take a probability of 3/4. The odds would be calculated as (3/4)/(1-3/4) = 3/1 (3 successes for every 1 failure).
Posted on 8/30/23 at 11:27 pm to Ingeniero
quote:
it's counterintuitive to describe odds in a fraction like that.
It is. I think it's better represented 3:29 so that it's clear that it means 3 to 29 and not 3 out of 29 as the fraction form implies.
Posted on 8/30/23 at 11:28 pm to GumboPot
The mother is the doctor.
Posted on 8/31/23 at 12:51 am to GumboPot
stop playing street games...
Posted on 8/31/23 at 4:55 am to GumboPot
With a two-headed coin?
Exactly Zero.
Exactly Zero.
Posted on 8/31/23 at 6:07 am to GumboPot
Is “exactly” supposed to mean only, as in not 6 and no heads?
If so, I’d say zero.
If so, I’d say zero.
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