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Started By
Message
re: ESPN: If LSU wins out, they have an 89% chance of making playoffs
Posted on 10/19/18 at 11:43 am to LSUsmartass
Posted on 10/19/18 at 11:43 am to LSUsmartass
10384738% IN
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Posted on 10/19/18 at 11:44 am to OldManRiver
quote:
it's hard to see how a 12-1 LSU could be considered behind any other one loss team
They wouldn’t.
12-1 with a slew of ranked and top 10 wins with one loss by 8 on the road. They would not be left out.
Posted on 10/19/18 at 11:44 am to LSUsmartass
That's kind of a tautology. Win out and the only obstacle is four undefeateds.
Posted on 10/19/18 at 11:45 am to LSUsmartass
Yeah, I don't see how it isn't higher... Notre Dame would have to go undefeated to take a spot, and then every other conference would have to have an undefeated or 1-loss champ, and only Ohio State and Clemson are currently undefeated, so would a 12-1 Oklahoma or Texas jump over a 12-1 LSU? I don't think so. Or a 12-1 Oregon? Not a chance.
And UCF isn't taking a spot away from a 1-loss power 5 champ.
And UCF isn't taking a spot away from a 1-loss power 5 champ.
Posted on 10/19/18 at 11:46 am to LSUsmartass
Seems obvious.
Posted on 10/19/18 at 11:46 am to Bestbank Tiger
quote:but this is not accurate. The odds of having four undefeateds is less than 11%, I would imagine.
Win out and the only obstacle is four undefeateds.
Which means they also have some one loss teams ahead.
Posted on 10/19/18 at 11:47 am to memphis tiger
quote:
Although I still see a scenario that LSU wins out but gets excluded from the playoff in favor of a 1 loss (to LSU) Alabama. It would piss me off like nothing else, but would not surprise me.
They wouldn't exclude LSU, but they would find a way to include Bama.
Posted on 10/19/18 at 11:49 am to LSUsmartass
Wat?
If they win out, they will have beaten Alabama, A&M, and the East champ (probably Georgia) in addition to their current wins.
How exactly does a team in fifth place win out, including beating one of the top four teams in the process, and still miss the playoffs?
If they win out, they will have beaten Alabama, A&M, and the East champ (probably Georgia) in addition to their current wins.
How exactly does a team in fifth place win out, including beating one of the top four teams in the process, and still miss the playoffs?
Posted on 10/19/18 at 11:50 am to LSUsmartass
If the Tigers win out, they will win the natty.
Posted on 10/19/18 at 11:51 am to tigerfan88
quote:
How the hell is it not 100%?
Have to allow for Bama to get their bye week
Then maybe we can be one of the 3 other teams
Posted on 10/19/18 at 11:51 am to teke184
Honestly, I would argue if they win out and lose to Georgia in SECG they still deserve a spot with 2 losses
Posted on 10/19/18 at 11:54 am to castorinho
quote:
but this is not accurate. The odds of having four undefeateds is less than 11%, I would imagine.
Especially since one of them is on our schedule
Someone has to lose between NC State and Clemson this week
There are 3 undefeated teams in the AAU and none of those will sniff the playoff
Ohio St, ND and Clemson are the only relevant schools that have a shot at being undefeated
Posted on 10/19/18 at 12:02 pm to LSUsmartass
quote:
If LSU wins out
Posted on 10/19/18 at 12:03 pm to Powerman
They must think that a 12-1 Oklahoma would have a chance at taking the 4th spot after the three undefeated teams.
Also probably a 12-1 Ohio State would also be above LSU.
Also probably a 12-1 Ohio State would also be above LSU.
Posted on 10/19/18 at 12:26 pm to tigerfan88
quote:
How the hell is it not 100%?
Posted on 10/19/18 at 12:31 pm to mylsuhat
quote:
Is "win out" just the regular season?
Nope. Gotta include SEC title game because it says if Florida "finish[es] 12-1, there's an 83 percent chance the Gators will reach the playoff." For 13 games, that has to include the SEC title game.
If Gators win out, Georgia wins out, LSU wins out, or Alabama wins out...100% lock to make playoff.
Posted on 10/19/18 at 12:33 pm to LSUsmartass
79,000 posts into this and you cannot where to post this 
Posted on 10/19/18 at 12:34 pm to LSUBoo
quote:
They must think that a 12-1 Oklahoma would have a chance at taking the 4th spot after the three undefeated teams.
Why not texas?
Posted on 10/19/18 at 12:34 pm to LSUsmartass
If LSU wins out and doesn't make the playoff, I'm joining Antifa and renouncing every belief I've ever had. This entire society would need to be burned to the ground.
Posted on 10/19/18 at 12:34 pm to tigerfan88
quote:
How the hell is it not 100%?
Because Bama. duh.
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