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re: ESPN: If LSU wins out, they have an 89% chance of making playoffs

Posted on 10/19/18 at 1:21 pm to
Posted by el Gaucho
He/They
Member since Dec 2010
60099 posts
Posted on 10/19/18 at 1:21 pm to
People still pull for the failing lsjw. Sad!

The university of Louisiana is looking like a lock to go to the division 3 mid south conference division rhino lining gumbo bowl and take it all!
Posted by Ace Midnight
Between sanity and madness
Member since Dec 2006
96240 posts
Posted on 10/19/18 at 1:22 pm to
FFS - if we "win out" it means we're a 1-loss SEC Champion, which means 104% chance of making the playoffs.
Posted by OweO
Plaquemine, La
Member since Sep 2009
122525 posts
Posted on 10/19/18 at 1:23 pm to
quote:

el Gaucho


Any predictions on who will be playing in the fleshlight.com bowl this year?
Posted by Big Floppy TDs
Where the beer flows like wine
Member since Sep 2012
2912 posts
Posted on 10/19/18 at 1:24 pm to
You people are delusional.

If LSU wins out they are guaranteed to be in the playoffs. The only way Alabama sneaks in would be if one of Notre Dame, Ohio State, & Clemson lose a game. If they all win out too, tough shite Bama
Posted by moneyg
Member since Jun 2006
63648 posts
Posted on 10/19/18 at 1:27 pm to
quote:

if they do, there's an 89 percent chance they will reach the playoff.


That makes no sense.

LSU is 100% to make the playoffs if they won out.
Posted by tigercross
Member since Feb 2008
5075 posts
Posted on 10/19/18 at 1:48 pm to
I think they are saying there is an 11% chance that the committee would put an undefeated UCF in over a 1 loss LSU.
Posted by OweO
Plaquemine, La
Member since Sep 2009
122525 posts
Posted on 10/19/18 at 2:08 pm to
Is this number based on the FPI? Per game, against FBS vs FBS matchups the FPI predicts the winner 75% of the time (or around 75%).

A few weeks ago, the team that had the best chance of beating Bama was LSU (which I am sure is still the case), I want to say Bama had an 86% chance of beating LSU. Everyone else on Bama's schedule was 90%+.

If we happen to beat both MSU & Bama, the A&M game will be a concern to me. Because after Bama is Arkansas & Rice.. They are going to win both of those games with no problem and during that time LSU will be getting a lot of attention.. A lot of people saying they like LSU's chances to win the SEC and get into the playoffs. So the biggest challenge they will face is preparing to play a TA&M team that could possibly be 9-2 coming into that game..
Posted by SuperflyLSU
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2014
1130 posts
Posted on 10/19/18 at 2:23 pm to
quote:

 Notre Dame has the largest nationwide fanbase.


Bama is quickly covering ground to rival that. May be mostly bandwagon fans, but fans nonetheless. Hell I just went to the mall of Louisiana to get my wife a Pelicans hat, and they had just as much Bama gear as LSU gear at Champs and some other sports store (can't remember the name). Less than 10 miles from Tiger Stadium.
Posted by Mudflap
Under the porch
Member since Feb 2008
47 posts
Posted on 10/19/18 at 2:37 pm to
I think the 11% chance of not making the playoffs is for the possible loss in the championship game after "winning out" in the regular season.

I almost want to see the Tigers win out and lose a rematch in Atlanta against the pound puppies to:

A. See if they get in.

B. See the Bama melt when they do.

Posted by TigerFan4040
Member since Sep 2013
4392 posts
Posted on 10/19/18 at 2:37 pm to
With 3 ranked opponents on our schedule, one being the #1 team in the country, this analysis is 100% bullshite.
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