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re: Delta Moves On...Cleanup Begins

Posted on 10/6/20 at 8:27 am to
Posted by Pedro
Geaux Hawks
Member since Jul 2008
39093 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 8:27 am to
RIP st mary parish
Posted by LSUJML
Central
Member since May 2008
55751 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 8:28 am to
quote:

That map really nails Lake Pontchartrain.


Getting a fishing trip in tomorrow
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91836 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 8:29 am to
Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
131393 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 8:30 am to
Gonna be a nice eye around lunchtime
Posted by SlidellCajun
Slidell la
Member since May 2019
16356 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 8:30 am to
Ref-Tarps

Depends how they’re Installed. I had tarps on my roof after Katrina and through Rita and they held up fine through 45mph winds and @60 gusts. They were not installed that well either. Loud as hell though.
So it just depends
This post was edited on 10/6/20 at 8:51 am
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
177195 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 8:31 am to
quote:

I can't recall the last time I've seen all spaghetti models this tight together on a storm that far out

Steering currents get much clearer in the fall compared to the doldrums of the summer. Look at how this thing is going to be humming as it makes landfall.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91836 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 8:31 am to
quote:

then of course Andrew was a bastard


Andrew is basically the baseline for Delta on this current forecast. Very similar landfall, intensity, etc.
Posted by LSUFanHouston
NOLA
Member since Jul 2009
40972 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 8:32 am to
I don't know who runs the "Hurricane Tracker" page on facebook, but they are some serious fear mongers.

They posted this update last night.

quote:

Meteorologists often refer to the very strongest of hurricanes as "buzzsaws" in a reference to their circular structure.
Seeing high-resolution model guidance depicting that structure for #Delta near land Tue-Wed, especially when the environment supports it, is quite concerning. We are talking a Major Cat 2 or 3 Hurricane just South of New Orleans, LA. I sure hope and pray that the Big Easy is Ready for this one.



First off, the "near land Tue-Wed" is the Yucatan, not the norther gulf coast, yet a lot of people were commenting freaking out. Second, there is no Major Cat 2 hurricane.
Posted by yomamak
Member since Feb 2008
591 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 8:33 am to
Can someone give me a rundown on when the models run everyday? what is 00z, 06z and so forth? also are some model runs more important than others?
Posted by tgrbaitn08
Member since Dec 2007
148031 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 8:34 am to
Maybe just wishful thinking but I am really hoping the Yucatan gives it hell and it breaks up and has trouble reorganizing.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91836 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 8:35 am to
quote:

don't know who runs the "Hurricane Tracker" page on facebook, but they are some serious fear mongers.



They are wording it in such a way that it drives fear, but they actually undercooked it.

We’re probably going to have a Cat 4 sitting in the central GOM by Thursday.
Posted by Mattgobear
New Orleans, LA
Member since Sep 2007
3335 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 8:36 am to
It would depend if it hits it more south and west thus going over more land.
Posted by glassman
Next to the beer taps at Finn's
Member since Oct 2008
118204 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 8:36 am to
quote:

Maybe just wishful thinking but I am really hoping the Yucatan gives it hell


It is. Nothing but mangrove swamps and bays.
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
177195 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 8:36 am to
quote:

Maybe just wishful thinking but I am really hoping the Yucatan gives it hell and it breaks up and has trouble reorganizing.

It’s going to be over the flat dinosaur killing asteroid Yucatan long enough to watch an episode of breaking bad. It’s not going to be over land long enough to have any impact.
Posted by tgrbaitn08
Member since Dec 2007
148031 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 8:37 am to
quote:

It would depend if it hits it more south and west thus going over more land.



this is what I hoping for
Posted by tgrbaitn08
Member since Dec 2007
148031 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 8:37 am to
quote:

episode of breaking bad.


tGOAT
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91836 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 8:38 am to
quote:

Can someone give me a rundown on when the models run everyday?


The big global models run every 6 hours starting at 5AM or so. They’re the best catch all models.

The z time is Zulu time, either 5-6 hours ahead of CDT, I can’t remember.

NHC gives full guidance updates every 6 hours starting at 4am.
This post was edited on 10/6/20 at 8:38 am
Posted by TigerNAtux
Louisiana
Member since Dec 2007
18622 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 8:38 am to
Is that thing even gonna’ touch the Yucatan with it’s eye?
Posted by Thib-a-doe Tiger
Member since Nov 2012
36747 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 8:39 am to
quote:


i can see the “redundancy” levee behind Montegut while i type this.

as a lifelong resident here that has been through 5 flood




good chance I know you or know of you baw
Posted by tiger91
In my own little world
Member since Nov 2005
40226 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 8:39 am to
Slack why does it show pink in Vermilion Parish and yellow over Iberia? How would it be worse the further out? Yes, I'm weather stupid.
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