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Posted on 10/7/20 at 1:11 pm to Large Farva
quote:
Only a slow restrengthening rate rest of today seems likely
And then........rapid intensification?

This post was edited on 10/7/20 at 1:12 pm
Posted on 10/7/20 at 1:13 pm to lsugolfredman
Let the east shifts begin
Posted on 10/7/20 at 1:13 pm to rds dc
We should move everyone out of LA and then blowup the levees. Let mother nature do its thing for 20 years and assess rebuilding locations... This would be the New New Orleans
Posted on 10/7/20 at 1:13 pm to lsugolfredman
The East trend begins again.
October is a different animal compared to August and September.
October is a different animal compared to August and September.
Posted on 10/7/20 at 1:14 pm to AmosMosesAndTwins
Lake Charles with all the debris. Could be a mess even if it’s just tropical storm forced winds.
Posted on 10/7/20 at 1:15 pm to lsugolfredman
quote:
Euro caves to the GFS.
I wouldn't put it like that so much. Yesterday morning GFS had it going into MC while Euro was just west of LC.
More like they met in the middle (if anything GFS caved more to EURO).
Posted on 10/7/20 at 1:15 pm to lsugolfredman
That hardly looks like a shift east
Posted on 10/7/20 at 1:15 pm to deltaland
quote:
I know a black guy that died that way who worked for my former employer
Ok I don’t usually do this. But what does him being black add to this story?
This post was edited on 10/7/20 at 1:16 pm
Posted on 10/7/20 at 1:15 pm to loogaroo
quote:
October is a different animal compared to August and September.
Yep the Westerly winds
Posted on 10/7/20 at 1:16 pm to Impotent Waffle
quote:
I would say think more along the lines of Gustav, maybe even a little stronger depending on where it actually ends up
Wut?
Based on current track, Delta coming in between Lafayette and Lake Charles.
Gustav was basically direct hit to BR.
And you believe we should expect the same wind speeds?
Posted on 10/7/20 at 1:16 pm to loogaroo
It shifted east? looks more west. Clearly I can not read maps and hurricane tracking. 
Posted on 10/7/20 at 1:16 pm to gerkin
quote:
Yes but according that, wind speeds are much lower than what Everyone is saying (?)
Yeah, they are lower than first estimated. Keep in mind, though, we haven't had a plane in Delta since before landfall on the Yucatan. The plane in it now is giving us the first concrete data since that time last night. Also, the weakening trend was expected after it made landfall.
Posted on 10/7/20 at 1:16 pm to Large Farva
quote:
That hardly looks like a shift east
Are you paying attention?
Posted on 10/7/20 at 1:17 pm to BallsEleven
MC is barely in the cone if at all with this new shift
Posted on 10/7/20 at 1:17 pm to LegendInMyMind
Was it supposed to not strengthen much today?
Posted on 10/7/20 at 1:17 pm to Large Farva
Yep...the track will start to turn back to the East. Probably back to Vermilion Bay when all is said and swine
Posted on 10/7/20 at 1:18 pm to LegendInMyMind
Looking at similar maps, it appears this is t showing wind speed but rather the percent probability of tropical force winds. Hence the numbers being from 0-100.
Posted on 10/7/20 at 1:19 pm to TDsngumbo
Yes. I actually went to the NHC site and looked at the interactive map. And looked at the 10 am track and the 1 pm. If anything it looks the same. Sorry that I’m not seeing it.
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