re: Delta Moves On...Cleanup Begins

Posted by LSUlefty

Youngsville, LA

Member since Dec 2007

28516 posts

Posted on 10/7/20 at 10:49 am to boxcarbarney

quote:
NOLA area out of the woods then?

Almost, but not yet.

Posted by stout

Porte du Lafitte

Member since Sep 2006

182029 posts

Posted on 10/7/20 at 10:50 am to EveryoneGetsATrophy

quote:
That was Mobile.

Man, I wish there was a sarcasm font on this board

Posted by ABucks11

Baton Rouge

Member since Jan 2012

1236 posts

Posted on 10/7/20 at 10:50 am to jac1280

1st advisory - Sunday 4pm - no landfall
#2 - Elmers Island
#3 - Point Aux Chene - 23 miles West
#4 - Dulac - 29 miles West
#5- Bayou Black - 14 miles West
#6- Bayou Delarge - 13 miles East
#7 - Morgan City - 20 miles West
#8 - Centerville - 21 miles West
#9 - Erath - 40 miles West
#10 - Jeanerette - 18 miles East
#11 - Delcambre - 15 miles West
Latest - Rockefeller Refuge - 40 miles West

Net movement of 172 miles West. NHC 5 day track error is 200 miles. They are still within that.

Posted by OldSouth

Folsom, LA

Member since Oct 2011

11006 posts

Posted on 10/7/20 at 10:50 am to Pedro

Posted by DiamondDog

Louisiana

Member since Nov 2019

13229 posts

Posted on 10/7/20 at 10:50 am to tgrbaitn08

Real talk. Anybody from LC evacuating for this? Wife is pressuring me to book rooms in Houston but I think we are too far West of its track

4 ...

Posted by tokenBoiler

Lafayette, Indiana

Member since Aug 2012

5046 posts

Posted on 10/7/20 at 10:51 am to PhillyTiger90

quote:
Incredibly sad for Lake Charles area I have no clue how folks will recover out there

First, you make a roux.

But seriously, good luck. It seems like all the malevolent forces in the universe have saved up all their premium shite for 2020. Good luck and stay safe out there.

Posted by Tyga Woods

South Central Jupiter Island, FL

Member since Sep 2016

42260 posts

Posted on 10/7/20 at 10:51 am to stout

HATERZ WILL SAY IT’S FAKE

2 ...

Posted by SlowFlowPro

With populists, expect populism

Member since Jan 2004

476287 posts

Posted on 10/7/20 at 10:52 am to DiamondDog

quote:
Anybody from LC evacuating for this?

current track? it's a maybe

if it goes ANY futher west, then i'm going to see my mom and sister in TX and pray debris doesn't take out a bunch of windows and that the tree east of my mom's property, which has roots on the neighbor's property but he didn't remove after Laura, doesn't wreck shite

Posted by stout

Porte du Lafitte

Member since Sep 2006

182029 posts

Posted on 10/7/20 at 10:52 am to DiamondDog

quote:
Real talk. Anybody from LC evacuating for this?

Yes as of now I plan to leave in the morning

4 ...

Posted by hashtag

Comfy, AF

Member since Aug 2005

33545 posts

Posted on 10/7/20 at 10:53 am to stout

How many more Hs does this need to move West for Baton Rouge to be fairly safe?

Posted by GumboPot

Member since Mar 2009

140573 posts

Posted on 10/7/20 at 10:53 am to slackster

quote:
NHC? Nah.

I disagree. I'm not talking about a political bias. I'm talking about a calculated risk bias. It totally makes sense that high risk population centers would receive more cone bias layered on the scientific models than low risk small population areas.

I see a dual role from NHS. Science and public safety.

Posted by lsugolfredman

Member since Jun 2005

1941 posts

Posted on 10/7/20 at 10:53 am to stout

12z GFS makes big jump eastward on approach to the coast to avoid Lake Charles.

Same landfall as 6z, just slower.

This post was edited on 10/7/20 at 10:56 am

2 ...

Posted by OldSouth

Folsom, LA

Member since Oct 2011

11006 posts

Posted on 10/7/20 at 10:54 am to SlowFlowPro

12Z GFS 60 hrs out.

Posted by Hulkklogan

Baton Rouge, LA

Member since Oct 2010

43482 posts

Posted on 10/7/20 at 10:54 am to rt3

I definitely don't have any idea what I'm talking about either.

But I won't let that stop me

. The basic most level-header approach here imo: they're not going to nail down a very landfall location for another 48hrs or so. Anywhere from lake Charles to New Orleans should be getting prepared for tropical storm winds and anywhere from Jennings to Baton Rouge should probably prepare for hurricane winds.

Posted by deltaland

Member since Mar 2011

102561 posts

Posted on 10/7/20 at 10:55 am to stout

quote:
That being said, Lake Charles had sharks in power lines after Laura

Sharknado!

Posted by PsychTiger

Member since Jul 2004

109154 posts

Posted on 10/7/20 at 10:55 am to stout

quote:
That being said, Lake Charles had sharks in power lines after Laura

Probably form a sharknado triggered by the hurricane. That happened in California once, and then New York.

Posted by fightin tigers

Downtown Prairieville

Member since Mar 2008

78321 posts

Posted on 10/7/20 at 10:56 am to stout

quote:
Yes as of now I plan to leave in the morning

You mind going to Houston or something? Not saying you got bad luck this year, but it would be interesting to see if it follows you instead of coming here.

Posted by stout

Porte du Lafitte

Member since Sep 2006

182029 posts

Posted on 10/7/20 at 10:56 am to fightin tigers

quote:
You mind going to Houston or something? Not saying you got bad luck this year, but it would be interesting to see if it follows you instead of coming here.

I kept Sally out of NOLA