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re: Delta Moves On...Cleanup Begins

Posted on 10/7/20 at 10:18 am to
Posted by NorthEndZone
Member since Dec 2008
11481 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 10:18 am to
Even if it's just 7 feet in that 7 to 11 foot surge zone, that's going to cause a lot of problems outside of areas protected by significant levees.

Posted by VermilionTiger
Member since Dec 2012
37615 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 10:18 am to
Posted by jimbeam
University of LSU
Member since Oct 2011
75703 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 10:18 am to
Holy shite!!
Posted by LSUlefty
Youngsville, LA
Member since Dec 2007
26501 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 10:19 am to
So the faster it moves the more west it will go?
Posted by ell_13
Member since Apr 2013
85169 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 10:19 am to
Duke and rds are the only ones people should pay attention to when it comes to actual data and explanations. Most people know that. A few others join in and make some good points and can further the discussion, but none of them pretend to be experts...
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
54987 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 10:19 am to
Both HWRF and HMON now look to have that hook to the northeast before landfall that puts it on approach from the southwest with landfall between Pecan Island and Vermilion Bay. That hook, and the timing of it, will be big on impacts for Lake Charles. Last night, both of those models weren't in agreement on approach to landfall.
This post was edited on 10/7/20 at 10:20 am
Posted by purple18
Lafayette
Member since Aug 2009
923 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 10:20 am to
quote:

My friend sent me this off the highway 30 mi south of Cancun


That picture is used during every hurricane. Its so old it has dinosaur shite on it.
Posted by ell_13
Member since Apr 2013
85169 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 10:20 am to
quote:

no one is still sure what it’s going to do.
That's kind of the point we are making by calling out the guy who said it was "dead wrong" for someone to claim it could go west of Laffy.
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
19824 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 10:20 am to
quote:


I think Jay Grimes said the other night that the cone would only shift East (when it was projected to go around Grand Isle) maybe slightly west, he was wrong on that one.



That was a popular opinion at the time even though there was really nothing to support that thinking other than climo.
Posted by PTLSU
New Orleans
Member since Jun 2012
1623 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 10:20 am to
The Euro model seems to have had the right grasp on this one from the start. It’s been more west of all the other projections for days now.
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
164364 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 10:20 am to
quote:

Even if it's just 7 feet in that 7 to 11 foot surge zone, that's going to cause a lot of problems outside of areas protected by significant levees.


>

Posted by HoLeInOnEr05
Middle of the fairway
Member since Aug 2011
16835 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 10:20 am to
quote:

I'm sitting in North AL looking at a field of soy beans that needs to be harvested now, and we could get 4-8" of rain from this.


Lmao... why are you making shite up? No one has remotely suggested that we could get 4-8” of rain.
Posted by Palmetto08
Member since Sep 2012
4052 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 10:21 am to
quote:

At what water temp is the break even point for helping and hurting the strengthening of a hurricane?



79/80 degrees i think
Posted by Scooba
Member since Jun 2013
19999 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 10:21 am to
Crawfish prices just went up.
Posted by jac1280
Member since Dec 2007
5380 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 10:22 am to
Just for comparison.....the “new center line” is barely in the first advisory cone. NHC has some serious work to do.




Posted by jimbeam
University of LSU
Member since Oct 2011
75703 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 10:22 am to
SWLA gonna be so fricked
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
90924 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 10:22 am to
This thread is a shite show
Posted by real turf fan
East Tennessee
Member since Dec 2016
8732 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 10:22 am to
Was it Nash Roberts who said that when a hurricane went over the edge of the continental shelf, there would be a slight shift in track to the west?
Posted by tgrbaitn08
Member since Dec 2007
146214 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 10:23 am to
quote:


Like I said, the same douchebags as always.



Result to name calling when you get called out on your bullshite
Posted by ell_13
Member since Apr 2013
85169 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 10:23 am to
2 things. The "center" of a TD isn't always accurate or easily apparent. And 3 days is a long time in weather years. It's the whole reason the cone gets wider and wider.
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