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Posted on 10/7/20 at 10:19 am to LSURussian
So the faster it moves the more west it will go?
Posted on 10/7/20 at 10:19 am to The Pirate King
Duke and rds are the only ones people should pay attention to when it comes to actual data and explanations. Most people know that. A few others join in and make some good points and can further the discussion, but none of them pretend to be experts...
Posted on 10/7/20 at 10:19 am to slackster
Both HWRF and HMON now look to have that hook to the northeast before landfall that puts it on approach from the southwest with landfall between Pecan Island and Vermilion Bay. That hook, and the timing of it, will be big on impacts for Lake Charles. Last night, both of those models weren't in agreement on approach to landfall.
This post was edited on 10/7/20 at 10:20 am
Posted on 10/7/20 at 10:20 am to LaBR4
quote:
My friend sent me this off the highway 30 mi south of Cancun
That picture is used during every hurricane. Its so old it has dinosaur shite on it.
Posted on 10/7/20 at 10:20 am to LSU-MNCBABY
quote:That's kind of the point we are making by calling out the guy who said it was "dead wrong" for someone to claim it could go west of Laffy.
no one is still sure what it’s going to do.
Posted on 10/7/20 at 10:20 am to BZ504
quote:
I think Jay Grimes said the other night that the cone would only shift East (when it was projected to go around Grand Isle) maybe slightly west, he was wrong on that one.
That was a popular opinion at the time even though there was really nothing to support that thinking other than climo.
Posted on 10/7/20 at 10:20 am to The Pirate King
The Euro model seems to have had the right grasp on this one from the start. It’s been more west of all the other projections for days now.
Posted on 10/7/20 at 10:20 am to NorthEndZone
quote:
Even if it's just 7 feet in that 7 to 11 foot surge zone, that's going to cause a lot of problems outside of areas protected by significant levees.
>
Posted on 10/7/20 at 10:20 am to LegendInMyMind
quote:
I'm sitting in North AL looking at a field of soy beans that needs to be harvested now, and we could get 4-8" of rain from this.
Lmao... why are you making shite up? No one has remotely suggested that we could get 4-8” of rain.
Posted on 10/7/20 at 10:21 am to roguetiger15
quote:
At what water temp is the break even point for helping and hurting the strengthening of a hurricane?
79/80 degrees i think
Posted on 10/7/20 at 10:21 am to The Boat
Crawfish prices just went up.
Posted on 10/7/20 at 10:22 am to purple18
Just for comparison.....the “new center line” is barely in the first advisory cone. NHC has some serious work to do.
Posted on 10/7/20 at 10:22 am to purple18
This thread is a shite show
Posted on 10/7/20 at 10:22 am to LSURussian
Was it Nash Roberts who said that when a hurricane went over the edge of the continental shelf, there would be a slight shift in track to the west?
Posted on 10/7/20 at 10:23 am to GEAUXmedic
quote:
Like I said, the same douchebags as always.
Result to name calling when you get called out on your bullshite
Posted on 10/7/20 at 10:23 am to jac1280
2 things. The "center" of a TD isn't always accurate or easily apparent. And 3 days is a long time in weather years. It's the whole reason the cone gets wider and wider.
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