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Posted on 10/6/20 at 6:09 pm to yurintroubl
quote:
** IF YOU ARE ENTERING THIS THREAD FOR THE 1ST TIME AND HAVE ??s - GO TO THE LATEST POST...THEN BACK ANOTHER 2 OR 3 PAGES AND START READING. 90% CHANCE YOUR ANSWER WILL BE IN THERE. **
That’s exactly what I do when I step away for a bit then come back
Posted on 10/6/20 at 6:09 pm to rocket31
quote:
why do people keep saying this?
Climatology suggests that hurricanes in October rarely make landfall in the Western Gulf. I believe only 3 named storms have made landfall in Texas in October since 1900.
Posted on 10/6/20 at 6:10 pm to yurintroubl
quote:
** IF YOU ARE ENTERING THIS THREAD FOR THE 1ST TIME AND HAVE ??s - GO TO THE LATEST POST...THEN BACK ANOTHER 2 OR 3 PAGES AND START READING. 90% CHANCE YOUR ANSWER WILL BE IN THERE. **
This is literally what I do every single time I get in this post.
Posted on 10/6/20 at 6:10 pm to yurintroubl
quote:
** IF YOU ARE ENTERING THIS THREAD FOR THE 1ST TIME AND HAVE ??s - GO TO THE LATEST POST...THEN BACK ANOTHER 2 OR 3 PAGES AND START READING. 90% CHANCE YOUR ANSWER WILL BE IN THERE. **
Literally what I do everytime I come check this thread.
ETA: I have a number of alters that I post on simultaneously.
This post was edited on 10/6/20 at 6:11 pm
Posted on 10/6/20 at 6:10 pm to Bobby OG Johnson
Awesome.
Posted on 10/6/20 at 6:11 pm to rocket31
quote:
why do people keep saying this?
honest question- is there a higher chance it will drift back east over west?
honest answer... there's a trough over Texas that is setting a western edge that the storm will not be able to go past
the only question is how strong is the high pressure to the east that keeps pushing the storm west
where is the road north for the storm between those 2 systems?
This post was edited on 10/6/20 at 6:16 pm
Posted on 10/6/20 at 6:11 pm to Keys Open Doors
quote:
but I think the idea of evacuating was such a foreign concept since Baton Rouge rarely gets a hurricane.
Baton Rouge looks to be escaping major effects at this point.
Fast moving storm, small zone of high winds and trending further and further west. Path will probably end up a little east of Laura.
Posted on 10/6/20 at 6:11 pm to LSUcdro
quote:
You texting and flying?
autopilot, baw
Posted on 10/6/20 at 6:12 pm to Mudminnow
I’d say 10% already left for good. If this storm hits, I’d say another 5% will be gone. I’m just glad the weather will be cooler for this one
Posted on 10/6/20 at 6:12 pm to The Pirate King
Not so fast my friend. They expect delta to significantly expand its wind field once it hits the gulf. Br isn’t out of the woods by any means.
Posted on 10/6/20 at 6:13 pm to madddoggydawg
quote:
Just a feeling or basing this off something?
The western shift has always been limited. Delta is hemmed in to a certain window by a HP ridge to its northeast and a LP trough to its west. A few things in meteorology are definites, and hurricane being steered by larger features is one of them.
That is unless you are in the habit of listening to Houston wish casters.
This post was edited on 10/6/20 at 6:15 pm
Posted on 10/6/20 at 6:14 pm to Mr. Hangover
Why does rob perillo stop his GRAF model Friday at 7am
This post was edited on 10/6/20 at 6:15 pm
Posted on 10/6/20 at 6:15 pm to Large Farva
I worked the aftermath in Baton Rouge following Gustav.
You are underestimating both the size and strength of this storm as well as the massive amount of tree canopy Baton Rouge has.
If this produces anything close to Gustav level winds, which the forecast has consistently suggested, I expect power outages for several days due to tree failures on infrastructure.
The looters targeting dark businesses without the security of alarms will be an added bonus for those of us in the business.
You are underestimating both the size and strength of this storm as well as the massive amount of tree canopy Baton Rouge has.
If this produces anything close to Gustav level winds, which the forecast has consistently suggested, I expect power outages for several days due to tree failures on infrastructure.
The looters targeting dark businesses without the security of alarms will be an added bonus for those of us in the business.
This post was edited on 10/6/20 at 6:20 pm
Posted on 10/6/20 at 6:15 pm to The Pirate King
quote:
Baton Rouge looks to be escaping major effects at this point.
Fast moving storm, small zone of high winds and trending further and further west. Path will probably end up a little east of Laura.
Please excuse your ignorance. 80+ gusts are major.
Posted on 10/6/20 at 6:17 pm to lsugolfredman
I swear people just look at the centerline and of its not on their town they think they’ve escaped the storm. I have a ton of friends who do this every single time.
Posted on 10/6/20 at 6:17 pm to lsugolfredman
quote:
Please excuse your ignorance. 80+ gusts are major.
Gusts of 80 should not have you abandoning your home and evacuating the city. That’s my definition of major effects
Posted on 10/6/20 at 6:18 pm to The Pirate King
quote:
Baton Rouge looks to be escaping major effects at this point. Fast moving storm, small zone of high winds and trending further and further west. Path will probably end up a little east of Laura.
Look to me you have no clue what you’re talking about.
Posted on 10/6/20 at 6:18 pm to Hamma1122
I think the GRAF is a short range model only goes out 36 hrs
Posted on 10/6/20 at 6:19 pm to The Pirate King
Downed trees and widespread power outages don’t meet your definitions standard?
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