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Posted on 1/20/25 at 3:49 pm to lsuman25
How is there this big strip of blue over Nola when everything else around it is a nice glob of purple. I’d be so mad if we got three inches and LaPlace gets 11 or something nuts
Posted on 1/20/25 at 3:51 pm to lsuman25
That model shows big drops north and south of Lake Ponchatrain
Rds, Is that a lake effect for both the north and south of lake?
Rds, Is that a lake effect for both the north and south of lake?
Posted on 1/20/25 at 3:52 pm to SWLA92
That much snow will cripple Lake Charles. 
This whole storm is setting up just like the one in Shreveport in Feb 2021. Beautiful fun snow then it melted and iced over. That is when all hell broke loose.
Good luck to everyone.
This whole storm is setting up just like the one in Shreveport in Feb 2021. Beautiful fun snow then it melted and iced over. That is when all hell broke loose.
Good luck to everyone.
This post was edited on 1/20/25 at 3:53 pm
Posted on 1/20/25 at 3:52 pm to rds dc
quote:
PSA: Use the hi-res models from here on out.
How does that differ for those of us that like looking at the pictures?
Posted on 1/20/25 at 3:54 pm to LSURoss
Yep everyone will get a rude awakening when the fun wears off if we get 6+ inches
This post was edited on 1/20/25 at 3:54 pm
Posted on 1/20/25 at 3:54 pm to rds dc
quote:
This yellow area was the sweet spot for significant snowfall of most of the model runs for an entire week leading up to the NWS issuing this graphic Saturday morning. Now the entirety of the yellow shaded area all seems at some risk of not seeing any significant snowfall at all. Definitely going to be some FOMO for some folks in this area who were hoping for snow.
Posted on 1/20/25 at 3:54 pm to moontigr
quote:
Yeah, people expecting 6+ are going to be disappointed. Of course folks will exaggerate and claim they got a foot
And let’s be honest how this will play out on here. For the areas that get more than predicted we might get five people on here bragging about being correct. For all the areas that don’t get near the top end of the forecast, there will be 50 chest beaters on here saying how they predicted it.
People are strange.
Posted on 1/20/25 at 3:54 pm to HighRoller
quote:
How does that differ for those of us that like looking at the pictures?
It doesn't. I still look at the snow maps even though I know they won't verify. It's a sickness
Posted on 1/20/25 at 3:56 pm to rds dc
So why use the high resolution ones instead of the globals now? What is the difference?
Also, I believe the GRAF high resolution is still showing upwards of 9"-10" in the BR area, right?
Also, I believe the GRAF high resolution is still showing upwards of 9"-10" in the BR area, right?
Posted on 1/20/25 at 3:58 pm to lsuman25
Seriously, just use the 10:1 assumption on the snowfall. This is going to be very close to that.
Posted on 1/20/25 at 4:06 pm to LaBR4
quote:
Expect 6 inches... if you get more, great
Something you frequently tell your wife, and she is constantly disappointed.
I just can't stop!
This post was edited on 1/20/25 at 4:08 pm
Posted on 1/20/25 at 4:08 pm to dgtiger3
I fall in the 6-8” range. I have a low graded metal carport and patio so I’m keeping my rock rake and ladder handy in case I need to start pushing snow off the roof. I’m worried about all the weight. Just a thought.
Posted on 1/20/25 at 4:14 pm to dgtiger3
quote:
This yellow area was the sweet spot for significant snowfall of most of the model runs for an entire week leading up to the NWS issuing this graphic Saturday morning. Now the entirety of the yellow shaded area all seems at some risk of not seeing any significant snowfall at all. Definitely going to be some FOMO for some folks in this area who were hoping for snow.
I applaud Lake Chuck for going big right out of the gate. It would have been easy to look at known model biases and climo for this setup, and just broad brushed a possible 2" and adjusted from there.
Posted on 1/20/25 at 4:15 pm to sledgehammer
quote:
I fall in the 6-8” range.
Posted on 1/20/25 at 4:16 pm to Roll Tide Ravens
Dead stop on I-10 east bound in sulfur. Any idea what the frick is going on?
Posted on 1/20/25 at 4:17 pm to TDsngumbo
quote:
So why use the high resolution ones instead of the globals now? What is the difference?
Also, I believe the GRAF high resolution is still showing upwards of 9"-10" in the BR area, righ
The smaller scale things that will drive snow location can't be resolved by the global models. I guess the GRAF is hi-res. I just know that it appears to be wrong more than it's right, based on what I see posted on here.
Posted on 1/20/25 at 4:17 pm to BigPerm30
quote:
Dead stop on I-10 east bound in sulfur. Any idea what the frick is going on?
Somebody threatening to throw a grocery cart full milk and bread off the bridge
Posted on 1/20/25 at 4:18 pm to LSURoss
quote:
Beautiful fun snow then it melted and iced over. That is when all hell broke loose.
When is it going to melt? Not on Wed
Thursday afternoon it will then it could ice up for Friday morning but that will be gone by Friday afternoon
Posted on 1/20/25 at 4:18 pm to BigPerm30
511.org cameras show red, but the closest camera traffic is still flowing.
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