re: Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) ***W.H.O. DECLARES A GLOBAL PANDEMIC***

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This is kind of embarassing

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Jack Ma about to make the US look like fools

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So fewer than the yearly flu cycle?

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Yep. Right in line with the annual RSV cycle

Although the RSV cycle has 3% of its deaths as children under 5, so not as worrisome as the elderly

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Let's not forget that over 20 of those came from a single nursing home.

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We know.

But thanks for the reminder.

I was about to go out and buy more TP, but your reminder stopped me.

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We know.

But thanks for the reminder.

I was about to go out and buy more TP, but your reminder stopped me.

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I think I like. I disagree with you, but you don’t seem like a pussy at least

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What do people like you not comprehend? Yes, it impacts the elderly far worse than you or I but the idea behind all the precautions is so that we don't accidentally spread it to the elderly. I guess it will take your own mother or father contracting the virus to appreciate the gravity of the situation.

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And I guess it will take your own child getting RSV and dying to care

STOP WITH THE EMOTIONAL STRAWMAN POON TANG

Your posting history indicates an obvious troll, just keep howling at the moon.

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People like me understand that tanking the economy over the equivalent to the flu is a bad idea.

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This is not the equivalent of the flu -- it's clearly far more communicable. But facts be damned.

I am not trolling in the least

Giving a death a face to make people emotional is not how you make decisions for a nation, so stop doing it

Speeding in your car can kill someone. It could kill your mom. Yet you still speed because statically the odds are very low

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Heat and humidity reduce spread

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This paper investigates how air temperature and humidity influence the transmission of COVID-19. After estimating the serial interval of COVID-19 from 105 pairs of the virus carrier and the infected, we calculate the daily effective reproductive number, R, for each of all 100 Chinese cities with more than 40 cases. Using the average R from January 21 to 23, 2020 as a proxy of non-intervened transmission intensity, we find, under a linear regression framework for 100 Chinese cities, high temperature and high relative humidity reduce the transmission of COVID-19 with a significance level of 1% and 5%, respectively, even after controlling for population density and GDP per capita of cities. One degree Celsius increase in temperature and one percent increase in relative humidity lower R by 0.0266 and 0.0106, respectively. This result is consistent with the fact that the high temperature and high humidity significantly reduce the transmission of influenza. It indicates that the arrival of summer and rainy season in the northern hemisphere can effectively reduce the transmission of the COVID-19.


Pre print article

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I want to come back to this study again. I decided to dig a little bit into the study. It's still good and encouraging, but I want to caution people to temper expectations.

The reason I say that is that in the study is that they only got temperatures between 0 and 20 degrees celcius inside of China, which is 32-68 fahrenheit. We don't know for sure that additional increases in temperature will have the same effect or not. It's possible that it'll die off at even faster rate at higher temps, or that it'll kind of "cap" at a certain point and temperature not affect it much more than we see in the study. Either way, that study does do a good job of showing that we do see a slower spread in warmer temps and that is ultimately a good thing for the USA, but we just don't know how anything above 68 degrees Fahrenheit will affect the virus' spread. We still have no data to show that the virus dies off in high temps.