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re: Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) ***W.H.O. DECLARES A GLOBAL PANDEMIC***
Posted on 3/13/20 at 10:01 am to SaintsandTigers
Posted on 3/13/20 at 10:01 am to SaintsandTigers
quote:
You are so afraid to say you agree with the mass cancellations.
I've literally told you multiple times I consider some to be an overreaction
Some I understand, mostly to my understating of risk assessment and liability
I don't view all of these things as equal, which is why I have a problem with your reductionist argument
quote:
you are somewhat embarrassed your emotion of fear/sorrow is overriding your logic
I have literally zero fear of this virus
My main fears are economic impacts
Posted on 3/13/20 at 10:01 am to Salmon
quote:
do you disagree, Rog?
No, it's just comical.
Posted on 3/13/20 at 10:01 am to Malik Agar
quote:
I'd bet money that Trump has it since bolsonaro tested positive
I hope he doesn't have it. Even with no other medical conditions, I'd guess the risk of developing into worse than the flu is pretty high for a 72 year old.
Posted on 3/13/20 at 10:02 am to MadDogs
Jesus Christ.
The CDC needs to get out of its own fricking way.
The CDC needs to get out of its own fricking way.
Posted on 3/13/20 at 10:02 am to RB10
quote:
I'm pointing out inaccurate statements. Is that not clear?
30 does not equal 40
You got me
Let's move on
Posted on 3/13/20 at 10:02 am to Salmon
quote:Well you need to pre lube your arse
My main fears are economic impacts
But I expect you will be fine from a macro perspective . But there are hourly workers who will not be fine. But if it saves one 84 year old it’s worth it
This post was edited on 3/13/20 at 10:03 am
Posted on 3/13/20 at 10:03 am to BCTigerFan
quote:
Something I’m curious about but are we potentially going to be dealing with this every winter/spring from here on out?
Based on the hysteria this year, absolutely.
Posted on 3/13/20 at 10:03 am to RogerTheShrubber
quote:
Seems to be two types of people who believe the media hype. Really low IQ types who believe anything and linear thinkers who put absolute trust in positions of authority and see a very narrow window of solutions.
I'm generally a the truth is somewhere in the middle type of person. I believe those that say "it's just a bad cold or the flu" are as delusional as the end of mankind as we know it crowd.
Posted on 3/13/20 at 10:04 am to SHOtime Tiger
quote:Its actually not. About a 90% chance it doesn’t develop into something worse than flu like for a 72 year old
I'd guess the risk of developing into worse than the flu is pretty high for a 72 year old.
But don’t let that fact get in the way of anything
Posted on 3/13/20 at 10:04 am to BCTigerFan
quote:
omething I’m curious about but are we potentially going to be dealing with this every winter/spring from here on out? I don’t see how world economies etc can handle this every year.
we will develop a vaccine and the population will eventually build up natural immunity
but it will probably come back next fall though
Posted on 3/13/20 at 10:04 am to VABuckeye
quote:
believe those that say "it's just a bad cold or the flu" are as delusional as the end of mankind as we know it crowd.
As do I.
There's a lot of middle ground to deal with here. You can understand something is somewhat serious and still think the overreactions are going to be worse than the disease.
Posted on 3/13/20 at 10:06 am to RB10
Does this graph mean anything to you?

Posted on 3/13/20 at 10:06 am to Ronaldo Burgundiaz
quote:
Glad the UK is putting out this information. Need more countries to do this.
This is helpful.
Still, assuming 4% are serious, and even 7% of the US population gets it (as did flu last year), you are still looking at 840,000+ hospitalizations, almost 4 times the normal flu.
Which leads me back to my real point here. Obviously thats not numbers to panic over, but I think it's worth it to pay attention and get ready in the event this thing spikes.
Posted on 3/13/20 at 10:06 am to RogerTheShrubber
Let’s go crazy here
Let’s say 1 million people die this year, with those 1 million people being heavily skewed to those who are old, well past working age
Grinding our lives and economy to a halt for 0.3% of our population(once again heavily skewed to older as well) makes no sense
And that’s going WITH shite HIT THE FAN NUMBERS
Let’s say 1 million people die this year, with those 1 million people being heavily skewed to those who are old, well past working age
Grinding our lives and economy to a halt for 0.3% of our population(once again heavily skewed to older as well) makes no sense
And that’s going WITH shite HIT THE FAN NUMBERS
Posted on 3/13/20 at 10:08 am to Paige
quote:
Does this graph mean anything to you?
It means the deaths in the US are statistically insignifican based on total population.
This post was edited on 3/13/20 at 10:10 am
Posted on 3/13/20 at 10:08 am to Malik Agar
quote:
I'd bet money that Trump has it since bolsonaro tested positive. I wonder what kind of treatments he's getting so that he can keep working his arse off.
Maybe we have it backwards. Since an Australian and a Brazilian have tested positive since visiting the WH, it's possible someone there is an asymptomatic spreader.
Posted on 3/13/20 at 10:09 am to Paige
quote:
Does this graph mean anything to you?
Sure. It doesn't mean as much as the 10 people in critical condition out of the 1,750 active cases though.
In case you're wondering, that's projecting out to a .5% mortality rate going forward.
Posted on 3/13/20 at 10:11 am to RB10
I think one thing the media/influencers or what ever you want to call it has done to help spread the fear is they gave death a face to people. “Your grandma” “your old mom” etc etc. So many “educational” memes on Facebook with cute little old people
Sure i would be a wrecked if a family member died from this, but your don’t make economic and commerce decisions by giving death a personality, it needs to be a blank face with a number
Sure i would be a wrecked if a family member died from this, but your don’t make economic and commerce decisions by giving death a personality, it needs to be a blank face with a number
This post was edited on 3/13/20 at 10:13 am
Posted on 3/13/20 at 10:12 am to RB10
You said he was wrong about the timeframe of deaths
The graph clearly shows 40 deaths in a week
The graph clearly shows 40 deaths in a week
Posted on 3/13/20 at 10:13 am to Paige
quote:
The graph clearly shows 40 deaths in a week
*2 weeks
it shows 30 deaths in a week
be sure to get this right, we don't want to cause too much of a panic
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