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re: Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) ***W.H.O. DECLARES A GLOBAL PANDEMIC***

Posted on 1/24/20 at 10:07 pm to
Posted by Dizz
Member since May 2008
16149 posts
Posted on 1/24/20 at 10:07 pm to
No one would bat an eye if they just had cops on the road. The dirt is more effective. It’s not like they are dynamiting the roads.
This post was edited on 1/24/20 at 10:13 pm
Posted by buckeye_vol
Member since Jul 2014
35381 posts
Posted on 1/24/20 at 10:08 pm to
quote:

I'm not sure quite what he means when he said diplomats looked into the Wuhan bio lab.
One interpretation that the conspiracy theorists have been running with is that they caused the outbreak, and one on the PT board says it was intentional.

The other interpretation is that they have experts on infectious diseases so they may have information to help contain and/or treat it.
Posted by Jim Rockford
Member since May 2011
105316 posts
Posted on 1/24/20 at 10:09 pm to
I've been thinking that gray pall in all the pictures was rain or fog. Now I realize it must be air pollution. It"s got to make any respiratory illness worse.
Posted by CivilTiger83
Member since Dec 2017
2525 posts
Posted on 1/24/20 at 10:15 pm to
quote:

Not sure that mortality is accurate. You’re assuming that no more of the 11k currently infected will die. Could be much higher.


Yes it should be taken with a grain of salt. Way too many unknowns at this point. We don’t know if they are not reporting deaths and it’s possible that the number of deaths climbs significantly soon from current infections.
Posted by buckeye_vol
Member since Jul 2014
35381 posts
Posted on 1/24/20 at 10:16 pm to
quote:

No one would bat an eye if they just had cops on the road. The dirt is more effective. It’s not like they are dynamiting the roads.
I mean it may have been “voluntary” but an entire US city went into lockdown while local, state, and federal law enforcement went into full military mode searching house by house because a 16 year-old terrorist, with little to no resources or help (since his brother was dead), was on the loose.
This post was edited on 1/24/20 at 10:17 pm
Posted by magildachunks
Member since Oct 2006
35884 posts
Posted on 1/24/20 at 10:17 pm to
quote:

Yes it should be taken with a grain of salt. Way too many unknowns at this point. We don’t know if they are not reporting deaths and it’s possible that the number of deaths climbs significantly soon from current infections.




Also to keep in mind: if its mutated to the point that early identification symptoms are being skipped,as has been reported, the mortality rate will probably climb.
Posted by buckeye_vol
Member since Jul 2014
35381 posts
Posted on 1/24/20 at 10:17 pm to
quote:

if its mutated to the point that early identification symptoms are being skipped,as has been reported,
Where is this report?
Posted by BuckyCheese
Member since Jan 2015
57778 posts
Posted on 1/24/20 at 10:19 pm to
quote:

It’s not like they are dynamiting the roads.


Posted by Poker_hog
Member since Mar 2019
3650 posts
Posted on 1/24/20 at 10:21 pm to
quote:

I’m sure more will die, but I’m guessing that those who have been identified are the ones most likely to have the most severe reactions and be at the greatest risk of dying. Not to mention, I’m guessing the early mortality rate is higher than the mortality rate as the seeking of treatment increases, people seek it earlier, the diagnosis of it gets more accurate, and the treatment gets more developed.


There’s a three day incubation period. Thousands are probably infected and don’t know it. I’d guess the final mortality falls somewhere between 0.1-1%.
Posted by magildachunks
Member since Oct 2006
35884 posts
Posted on 1/24/20 at 10:22 pm to
quote:

Where is this report?



Its somewhere in this thread
Posted by buckeye_vol
Member since Jul 2014
35381 posts
Posted on 1/24/20 at 10:28 pm to
quote:

Its somewhere in this thread
Aell the only place I saw it was based on that video from that lady that reported a reproductive rate of 14, which the study that led to our current discussion of the mortality rate estimated it to be 3.8.

So if the lady who inaccurately reported an implausible high (measles level) figure, then her replies of a mutation should be taken with a grain of salt.
Posted by TomTheGhost
Member since Dec 2018
852 posts
Posted on 1/24/20 at 10:28 pm to
What is a good r/ for this?
Posted by GEAUXmedic
Premium Member
Member since Nov 2011
42053 posts
Posted on 1/24/20 at 10:29 pm to
quote:

What is a good r/ for this?


R/china_flu
Posted by magildachunks
Member since Oct 2006
35884 posts
Posted on 1/24/20 at 10:32 pm to
quote:

which the study that led to our current discussion of the mortality rate estimated it to be 3.8.




The Harvard study using Chinese govt numbers?
This post was edited on 1/24/20 at 10:33 pm
Posted by buckeye_vol
Member since Jul 2014
35381 posts
Posted on 1/24/20 at 10:33 pm to
quote:

There’s a three day incubation period. Thousands are probably infected and don’t know it.
Sure, but the first cases not only didn’t know it, they didn’t know it while displaying the symptoms, and likely the healthcare professionals didn’t know much either.
quote:

I’d guess the final mortality falls somewhere between 0.1-1%.
Which is exactly the range where the current falls within 0.4%.

The poster who cited the figure (40/10000) did not correctly cite it as a percentage (didn’t multiply by 100).
Posted by GEAUXmedic
Premium Member
Member since Nov 2011
42053 posts
Posted on 1/24/20 at 10:34 pm to
This is a video of a doctor who worked in China for 2 years and still has doctor friends there who have fed him info. Good watch if you have the time.

LINK
Posted by buckeye_vol
Member since Jul 2014
35381 posts
Posted on 1/24/20 at 10:37 pm to
quote:

The Harvard study using Chinese govt numbers?
Exactly. They didn’t use any empirical evidence from biology, epidemiology, medicine, etc., or anything.
Posted by OysterPoBoy
City of St. George
Member since Jul 2013
44943 posts
Posted on 1/24/20 at 10:40 pm to
Does this virus make you bleed from your orifices like Ebola or did that Chinese baw in the 2nd gif bust his face when he passed out?
Posted by Poker_hog
Member since Mar 2019
3650 posts
Posted on 1/24/20 at 10:45 pm to
quote:

Which is exactly the range where the current falls within 0.4%.

The poster who cited the figure (40/10000) did not correctly cite it as a percentage (didn’t multiply by 100).


So 10x higher mortality than flu and more contagious.
Posted by 1BamaRTR
In Your Head Blvd
Member since Apr 2015
24837 posts
Posted on 1/24/20 at 10:45 pm to
quote:

Does this virus make you bleed from your orifices

No, it’s similar to pneumonia
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