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re: Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) ***W.H.O. DECLARES A GLOBAL PANDEMIC***

Posted on 2/21/20 at 9:33 pm to
Posted by WaWaWeeWa
Member since Oct 2015
15714 posts
Posted on 2/21/20 at 9:33 pm to
That’s interesting. Because every year the flu starts in the East but they never quarantine cities full of millions of people, build massive hospitals in 7 days, and order industrial size incinerators. How do you explain that even if you question the numbers.
Posted by PeteRose
Hall of Fame
Member since Aug 2014
18180 posts
Posted on 2/21/20 at 9:34 pm to
quote:

Meanwhile in the US, flu statistics:

29 million cases
280,000 hospitalizations
16,000 deaths including 105 children


Meanwhile other flu stats:
0 flights cancelled
0 cities quarantined
0 bats eaten
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21552 posts
Posted on 2/21/20 at 9:41 pm to
Either CBS is confused or they let the cat out of the bag

quote:

COSTA MESA (CBSLA) – Costa Mesa is trying to block as many as 70 confirmed coronavirus patients from being transferred to the city.

Federal court papers filed Friday state that the federal government plans to transfer the patients from Travis Air Force Base near Sacramento to the former Fairview Developmental Center on Sunday. Thursday night officials began hearing of the plan by the Department of Health and Human Services and the CDC to move between 30 and 7o patients to the state-owned land.
Posted by WaWaWeeWa
Member since Oct 2015
15714 posts
Posted on 2/21/20 at 9:42 pm to
JAMA case report

20 year old with asymptomatic spread after 19 day incubation period infected 5 people. No symptoms at all. Normal chest CT.
Posted by Kentucker
Rabbit Hash, KY
Member since Apr 2013
20055 posts
Posted on 2/21/20 at 9:45 pm to
quote:

That’s interesting. Because every year the flu starts in the East but they never quarantine cities full of millions of people, build massive hospitals in 7 days, and order industrial size incinerators. How do you explain that even if you question the numbers.


Again, we don’t know exactly what’s happening in China, a closed society. It could be an over-reaction or even an embarrassment for the government. Southeast Asia, especially China, is where many deadly viral outbreaks have originated in the past.

The communist government wants to tamp down the virus quickly as a demonstration of the effectiveness of their form of rule. That isn’t working, of course, so there is a real threat to their authoritarian government. Also, that there is yet another potentially lethal virus originating in China has to be a great embarrassment to them.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91838 posts
Posted on 2/21/20 at 10:38 pm to
quote:

You said that people with just a fever were possibly/likely included in the stated critical China coronavirus cases, and people with medical knowledge said that was incorrect. You then spent 2 pages arguing that fact and digging that hole even deeper. Even now you continue to dig...



fricking link?

Y'all are fricking hilarious.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91838 posts
Posted on 2/21/20 at 10:41 pm to
quote:

you had 29 mil coronavirus cases you would be looking at 300-600k dead (1-2% mortality)
So I’m not really sure what the point of your post is



If you had 29 million cases of coronavirus you'd have multiple posters sucking their own dick in excitement, so...
This post was edited on 2/21/20 at 10:42 pm
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91838 posts
Posted on 2/21/20 at 10:42 pm to
quote:

So COVID19 is a shitload more deadly is what you are saying



Exciting if you're clueless, isn't it?
This post was edited on 2/21/20 at 10:50 pm
Posted by DollaChoppa
I Simp for ACC
Member since May 2008
84774 posts
Posted on 2/21/20 at 10:45 pm to
It’s 2020 and we aren’t supposed to kink shame anymore. Pandemics are my fetish
Posted by WaWaWeeWa
Member since Oct 2015
15714 posts
Posted on 2/21/20 at 11:04 pm to
You and lsut have a weird obsession with thinking we want people to die. Does it make you feel better about yourself to see us as the bad guys?
Posted by Malik Agar
Member since Nov 2012
12076 posts
Posted on 2/21/20 at 11:57 pm to
I found slackster!

Posted by Pelican fan99
Lafayette, Louisiana
Member since Jun 2013
39556 posts
Posted on 2/22/20 at 1:14 am to
quote:

If it's rampant in Iran, Pak amd probably Afg are ate up with it, with Turkey and the rest of the ME soon to follow. My BIL is working in Irbil right now
How's the UAE looking?
Posted by PeteRose
Hall of Fame
Member since Aug 2014
18180 posts
Posted on 2/22/20 at 7:56 am to
quote:

You and lsut have a weird obsession with thinking we want people to die. Does it make you feel better about yourself to see us as the bad guys?


Imagine you being on the Titanic. Titanic hits iceberg.

You: Damn ship is going to go down, a lot of people are going to die.
Them: What an arse hole, you enjoying people dying?


If a person anticipates something bad is going to happen, it doesn’t mean they want it to happen.
Posted by TigerTatorTots
The Safeshore
Member since Jul 2009
82216 posts
Posted on 2/22/20 at 8:04 am to
Good analogy

Can't say anything bad or you are wish casting
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91838 posts
Posted on 2/22/20 at 8:51 am to
quote:

You and lsut have a weird obsession with thinking we want people to die. Does it make you feel better about yourself to see us as the bad guys?


You don't want people to die, you just want the numbers to be much higher so you can be right.

Many in this thread are the same way. They don't believe a lick of data that isn't doomsday-esque. Pretty miserable folks, in all honesty.
Posted by wdhalgren
Member since May 2013
5340 posts
Posted on 2/22/20 at 8:56 am to
quote:

Meanwhile in the US, flu statistics: 29 million cases 280,000 hospitalizations 16,000 deaths including 105 children


There's a different method of counting here. Most of these flu cases were diagnosed clinically, i.e. based on signs and symptoms. Covid-19 cases are diagnosed only when the presence of the virus is confirmed by lab test.

From what I've seen recently, the US appears to mainly be testing for Covid-19 when there's a history of known or suspected exposure to the virus. Maybe they exist, but I haven't seen any guidelines instructing physicians when to test for Covid-19 virus based on clinical signs and symptoms without history of exposure.

There's still a very low number of Covid cases in the US and it would be very expensive to test everyone with fever and a cough for the virus, but nevertheless the different methods of diagnosis and counting makes flu vs Covid data incompatible for comparison.
This post was edited on 2/22/20 at 9:06 am
Posted by TigerFanatic99
South Bend, Indiana
Member since Jan 2007
35969 posts
Posted on 2/22/20 at 9:10 am to
quote:

Maybe they exist, but I haven't seen any guidelines instructing physicians when to test for Covid-19 virus based on clinical signs and symptoms without history of exposure.


Other than correlation of travel to Hubei, are there really any unique symptoms that don't apply to other flu viruses before you get to the pneumonia stage?
Posted by Lsut81
Member since Jun 2005
85157 posts
Posted on 2/22/20 at 9:16 am to
quote:

You and lsut have a weird obsession with thinking we want people to die.


Well you aren’t happy unless the disease is spreading and killing people

You’re hoping for worst case scenario so you can say “I told you so”. Whereas a few people in this thread are remaining grounded.

You are the epitome of the Don Henley song “dirty laundry”
Posted by real turf fan
East Tennessee
Member since Dec 2016
11956 posts
Posted on 2/22/20 at 9:21 am to
Did we (among the 'developed' nations) join others with folks in China and on the ship in Japan decide that the only way to understand this disease was to obtain first hand knowledge by bringing it here?

So much frustration by trying to figure out what the number of cases in China mean, how they tied which tests and how often to symptoms, how they declared a confirmed infection, what info that govt is gathering, massaging and then releasing , much less how they declare someone is cured.

There are maybe two pre-juried scientific pubs following specific patients, and two more about numbers in a specific hospital. There are a lot of references that come up by Google Scholar, but few are tied to people and symptoms.

By bringing patients here, the patients presumably get better care. And that care is carefully recorded. Hopefully cross contamination due to a shortage of hospital gloves, masks, etc. is avoided. I'd guess the asymptomatic positives are being looked at very carefully as are the tests for the virus as well. I'd expect that reproducibility is being addressed. (And why some CDC test kits were said to be faulty.)

On an ELISA test for a plant disease, years ago, the statement was, "It will test positive when the disease is there, but a negative test may just mean that the disease antibody titer wasn't high enough."

Another comment "You can't prove a negative" also comes to mind.

Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21552 posts
Posted on 2/22/20 at 9:23 am to
Some changes overnight:

- SK number of confirmed cases up to 433
- Italy adds 34 more cases and another death
- Iran adds 10 more cases and 5 more deaths
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