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Message

re: Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) ***W.H.O. DECLARES A GLOBAL PANDEMIC***

Posted on 4/8/20 at 2:38 pm to
Posted by TheCaterpillar
Member since Jan 2004
76774 posts
Posted on 4/8/20 at 2:38 pm to
quote:

The majority of the country will have extremely low numbers come 5/1. I am not saying I have an opinion one way or the other but if the government expects people to stay inside after 5/1 when all of the data is showing very little infections/deaths they better have a strong message/plan as to why this makes sense. It was 75 in Chicago yesterday and half of the city was out walking around, people are not going to stay inside when the weather is nice and numbers are low.



Exactly.

And they know this.

And they know what will happen to the economy if this continues.

Posted by Scruffy
Kansas City
Member since Jul 2011
77890 posts
Posted on 4/8/20 at 2:42 pm to
You know, I just want to say that I find it funny how quickly people on this board have gone from “we can’t open anything up” to “we need to open things back up again to avoid economic collapse”.



Not you in particular, Cat, but just the general consensus feeling on here.

It has shifted heavily over the past week, hell, past few days.
Posted by wdhalgren
Member since May 2013
5645 posts
Posted on 4/8/20 at 2:42 pm to
quote:

The majority of the country will have extremely low numbers come 5/1.


You could be right, but I'm not sure about that yet. I made a few quick excel charts and the main curve that I see flattening, using data from the Covid Tracking Project, is the growth curve of number of US tests performed per day. At a time when our ability to test is supposedly increasing, the rate of growth in testing is declining. If that were due to fewer positive tests it might make sense (although I'd prefer to broaden the testing base and continue to ramp up), but the percentage of positives looks to be gradually trending higher. Hopefully this social isolation experiment will actually "flatten the curve" soon, but with the lag in testing growth that's hard to say for sure yet.

As far as the rest of your post, I agree that the lockdowns will start to lose effectiveness, unless effectiveness is perversely measured in terms of how much economic damage is about to ensue from a prolonged nationwide work stoppage and global trade slowdown. We're approaching, maybe past the point where big trouble begins to waft out of the festering sores in our economy that most people never notice until they start to smell bad.
This post was edited on 4/8/20 at 3:03 pm
Posted by slacker00
Member since Mar 2011
593 posts
Posted on 4/8/20 at 2:42 pm to
quote:

What about it?

Figure it is the same as previous.

Well, if we want to stay ahead of this, an easy method would be to be proactive with the testing. We would find some of the asymptomatic cases and catch other cases prior to symptoms developing.
Posted by STLhog
Dallas, TX
Member since Jan 2015
19542 posts
Posted on 4/8/20 at 2:46 pm to
quote:

Not you in particular, Cat, but just the general consensus feeling on here.

It has shifted heavily over the past week, hell, past few days.



Wonder why that is? Maybe the data?

If you still think leaving the country open completely all along was a good idea, you're clearly not that smart.

But go ahead and jerk yourself off with the "I told you so" chest thumping.

Honestly, no one cares.
Posted by Commander Data
Baton Rouge, La
Member since Dec 2016
7291 posts
Posted on 4/8/20 at 2:46 pm to
quote:

Figure it is the same as previous.



That's been the biggest short coming in a lot of areas. In my area alone to be tested you have to call and leave a message. A nurse calls you back with questions. If she deems it necessary she gets a second call made to you by a doctor and then after more questions he decides if you were at risk enough for a test. I have been in your camp since this started and I still am but testing needs to get better. It may be adequate in some cities or some states but I am guessing it's not good enough.
Posted by Scruffy
Kansas City
Member since Jul 2011
77890 posts
Posted on 4/8/20 at 2:47 pm to
quote:

If you still think leaving the country open completely all along was a good idea, you're clearly not that smart.

And I have said that when?
quote:

But go ahead and jerk yourself off with the "I told you so" chest thumping.

Honestly, no one cares.
It isn’t an I told you so, but take that from it if you want.

I can make no claim that what I state is the definitive choice to make or prove it is the correct one.

Merely a statement that public opinion is likely starting to shift.

Fear of the economy is starting to dominate fear of the virus, IMO, especially outside of heavily hit areas.
This post was edited on 4/8/20 at 2:54 pm
Posted by Lsut81
Member since Jun 2005
85719 posts
Posted on 4/8/20 at 2:48 pm to
quote:

Honestly, no one cares.


You cared enough to respond... Soooo
Posted by Commander Data
Baton Rouge, La
Member since Dec 2016
7291 posts
Posted on 4/8/20 at 3:09 pm to
Thanks brother and I hate that about your mom. I know my parents smoked when I was a child and I hated it. I would go to school smelling like smoke and have to ride in the backseat and have smoke in my face every time we went anywhere. Forget about watching television in the living room with them. It's one reason I didn't subject my kids to it because I remember how I felt as a kid. It's tough. I had a much easier time getting clean than I did with tobacco.
Posted by TheCaterpillar
Member since Jan 2004
76774 posts
Posted on 4/8/20 at 3:10 pm to
quote:

You know, I just want to say that I find it funny how quickly people on this board have gone from “we can’t open anything up” to “we need to open things back up again to avoid economic collapse”.



Not you in particular, Cat, but just the general consensus feeling on here.

It has shifted heavily over the past week, hell, past few days.



A lot of people also predicted that would happen as this went on longer.

I still think May 1 we star to re-open while continuing social distancing and capacity restrictions in buildings.

We have to.
Posted by Lsut81
Member since Jun 2005
85719 posts
Posted on 4/8/20 at 3:14 pm to
quote:

I still think May 1 we star to re-open while continuing social distancing and capacity restrictions in buildings.



Agree, if not sooner
Posted by lsupride87
Member since Dec 2007
112314 posts
Posted on 4/8/20 at 3:16 pm to
Louisiana is fricked. JBE has went full political today. 100% this will be milked to the very end
Posted by Scruffy
Kansas City
Member since Jul 2011
77890 posts
Posted on 4/8/20 at 3:18 pm to
quote:

Agree, if not sooner
I suspect it will be sooner for many areas.

They will start rolling back restrictions.
Posted by Lsut81
Member since Jun 2005
85719 posts
Posted on 4/8/20 at 3:20 pm to
quote:

I suspect it will be sooner for many areas.


If CDC announces what it sounds like Dr Blix has been floating today, that will start the snowball.

I think it will be:

Wear masks
No groups of larger than 10
Retail abides by the 6ft rule on the floor (like grocery stores are currently)

Movie Theaters, sports, large gatherings still on hold.
Posted by JohnnyKilroy
Cajun Navy Vice Admiral
Member since Oct 2012
41731 posts
Posted on 4/8/20 at 3:22 pm to
What he say?
Posted by lsu13lsu
Member since Jan 2008
11839 posts
Posted on 4/8/20 at 3:22 pm to
quote:

That's been the biggest short coming in a lot of areas. In my area alone to be tested you have to call and leave a message. A nurse calls you back with questions. If she deems it necessary she gets a second call made to you by a doctor and then after more questions he decides if you were at risk enough for a test. I have been in your camp since this started and I still am but testing needs to get better. It may be adequate in some cities or some states but I am guessing it's not good enough.


I agree with you. Testing is inadequate at the moment. Plus, we cannot open things back up if Facebook grandmas are making PPE.
Posted by Commander Data
Baton Rouge, La
Member since Dec 2016
7291 posts
Posted on 4/8/20 at 3:25 pm to
quote:

sports


Surely things will be ok before summer. If teams can't put together some sort of summer training for players you won't see college football this year. They can't expect to be in playing shape in just a short fall camp type deal.

Don't get me wrong, saving lives is more important than college football but if we don't have football this year, it is gonna suck.
Posted by uway
Member since Sep 2004
33109 posts
Posted on 4/8/20 at 3:26 pm to
I really didn't think I could be more disillusioned about politics, but seeing JBE play racial politics right now, on top of shutting down our lives for one minute longer than he needs to, has shown me I still had some naivete.
Posted by lsupride87
Member since Dec 2007
112314 posts
Posted on 4/8/20 at 3:29 pm to
JBE’s doctor just referenced sheltering in place for the next 120 days

Posted by Scruffy
Kansas City
Member since Jul 2011
77890 posts
Posted on 4/8/20 at 3:30 pm to
quote:

JBE’s doctor just referenced sheltering in place for the next 120 days
LA is fricked.

People may riot based on this alone.



This is fantastic.
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