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re: Connecticut gun controls estimated to have cut fatal shootings by 40%

Posted on 6/14/15 at 1:53 pm to
Posted by Clames
Member since Oct 2010
20013 posts
Posted on 6/14/15 at 1:53 pm to
Brady Law had an interesting interim period effect. It has also had virtually no real impact on firearm homicides.

This part seems to be glossed over by those that make arguments like you do.

quote:

From the inception of the NICS system in 1998 through 2014, more than 202 million Brady background checks have been conducted.[21] During this period approximately 1.2 million attempted firearm purchases were blocked by the Brady background check system, or about 0.5% percent.[22] The most common reason for denials are previous felony convictions.[22]

Prosecution and conviction of violators of the Brady Act, however, is extremely rare. During the first 17 months of the Act, only seven individuals were convicted. In the first year of the Act, 250 cases were referred for prosecution and 217 of them were rejected.[23]


I know the Brady Bunch touts the number of those blocked by the initial NICS check but fail to admit that many of those are later successfully appealed because the system is rather flawed. And since the law itself is so poorly enforced it's very difficult to argue that it has any real impact on criminal use of firearms since it's easily bypassed.
This post was edited on 6/14/15 at 1:59 pm
Posted by TheOcean
#honeyfriedchicken
Member since Aug 2004
46739 posts
Posted on 6/14/15 at 1:55 pm to
quote:

His posts are spot on.

And please, unless you're a teenage girl, stop saying " cringe worthy".


Maybe for a super biased Louisiana message board.

And your defending shorty is " cringe worthy".

How you like dem apples?
Posted by fightin tigers
Downtown Prairieville
Member since Mar 2008
79913 posts
Posted on 6/14/15 at 1:58 pm to
quote:

Damn you are clueless since that law expired almost 11 years ago and yet the same national trend has continued. Try again but put a few more brain cells into this time.



Could play into why they chose the time period they did.

quote:

It has also had virtually no real impact on firearm homicides.


That is an extremely obtuse view.
This post was edited on 6/14/15 at 1:59 pm
Posted by jbgleason
Bailed out of BTR to God's Country
Member since Mar 2012
20431 posts
Posted on 6/14/15 at 1:59 pm to
The funny thing about defensive gun uses, no matter how justified (i.e. Citizen shoots a guy about to murder a bus load of children), is that it is reported as a homicide for the FBI stats. The FBI stats are famously inaccurate. Plenty of reviews out there that show the reporting done by local governments is routinely manipulated for political purposes.

Also, Hopkins has been in bed with the Brady's and gun control folks for years. Look up who paid for this "study."

TO THE OP:

If you posted this as a troll on the OT. Bravo. 8/10

If you posted this because you believe any of it. You are a fool. 0/10
If
Posted by CptBengal
BR Baby
Member since Dec 2007
71661 posts
Posted on 6/14/15 at 2:02 pm to
so the same percentage as fatal shootings nationally....

neat. I guess their law works everywhere!

more pathetic hackery.
Posted by UpToPar
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2008
23149 posts
Posted on 6/14/15 at 2:02 pm to
quote:

Overall, the authors estimate that there were nearly 300 fewer firearm homicides in Connecticut between 1996 and 2005 compared to what would have occurred otherwise.


So, they are guessing.
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
178367 posts
Posted on 6/14/15 at 2:02 pm to
Crime is down in virtually every place in the US since 1995. That has nothing to do with Connecticut passing some gun law.
Posted by Clames
Member since Oct 2010
20013 posts
Posted on 6/14/15 at 2:04 pm to
quote:

That is an extremely obtuse view.


It's the truth. Two separate studies examining the effect of the 1994 AWB, one while it was in effect and one after it expired. Neither concluded that it was effective in accomplishing the goal stated by those that wrote the law. Why do you think that the law was effective? Just because it existed independent of any empirical evidence to support that notion? In fact, some studies support the idea that the Brady Law has actually been detrimental as a whole if reducing criminal use and saving lives was the goal.


ETA: Link to one of the DoJ studies.

LINK
This post was edited on 6/14/15 at 2:09 pm
Posted by fightin tigers
Downtown Prairieville
Member since Mar 2008
79913 posts
Posted on 6/14/15 at 2:07 pm to
So what is your belief on why gun homicides are plummeting in America?
Posted by Clames
Member since Oct 2010
20013 posts
Posted on 6/14/15 at 2:12 pm to
quote:

So what is your belief on why gun homicides are plummeting in America?


Same reason violent crimes as a whole have plummeted, which is incredibly complex but some of the more commonly cited reasons involved more effective police tactics, cultural shifts within urban gangs, more social efforts to target at-risk youth and deter them from gang memebership, vastly improved ER trauma procedures (being shot and living = not a gun homicide), etc. Touting a law is incredibly simplistic and no reflection on reality.
Posted by JEAUXBLEAUX
Bayonne, NJ
Member since May 2006
55376 posts
Posted on 6/14/15 at 2:12 pm to
Call me when a redneck state has real gun control. Yeah right cowboy
This post was edited on 6/14/15 at 2:24 pm
Posted by fightin tigers
Downtown Prairieville
Member since Mar 2008
79913 posts
Posted on 6/14/15 at 2:17 pm to
So in your theory access to guns has little to no bearing on gun violence/homicides.

Eliminating them (for all intents and purposes) would have a negligible effect on homicide by guns.
Posted by fightin tigers
Downtown Prairieville
Member since Mar 2008
79913 posts
Posted on 6/14/15 at 2:18 pm to
quote:

Call me a redneck state has real gun control? Yeah right cowboy


I need clarification or some punctuation, Joe.
Posted by wickowick
Head of Island
Member since Dec 2006
46427 posts
Posted on 6/14/15 at 2:18 pm to
quote:

by JEAUXBLEAUX
Call me a redneck state has real gun control? Yeah right cowboy



Didn't the gun laws in your state lead to the death of an lady recently...
Posted by CptBengal
BR Baby
Member since Dec 2007
71661 posts
Posted on 6/14/15 at 2:20 pm to
quote:

So what is your belief on why gun homicides are plummeting in America?




Because CONnecticut passed that law!

It's amazings! /s
Posted by ReauxlTide222
St. Petersburg
Member since Nov 2010
92431 posts
Posted on 6/14/15 at 2:23 pm to
quote:

So in your theory access to guns has little to no bearing on gun violence/homicides.

Yes, for law abiding citizens, yes.

quote:

Eliminating them (for all intents and purposes) would have a negligible effect on homicide by guns.
Eliminating them? Goddamn goddamn.

Why the frick does eliminating something always start with law abiding relatively good citizens?

If you took every single gun from every law abiding citizen how much would that cut gun ownership? Probably what, 95%? Do you think that would cut gun related crime? Do you think it would stay the same? Would it increase?
Posted by fightin tigers
Downtown Prairieville
Member since Mar 2008
79913 posts
Posted on 6/14/15 at 2:27 pm to
quote:

ReauxlTide222


Calm down Cletus, I am not advocating taking your guns.
Posted by ReauxlTide222
St. Petersburg
Member since Nov 2010
92431 posts
Posted on 6/14/15 at 2:32 pm to
I'm not a gun nut.

quote:

I am not advocating taking your guns.
Sounds exactly like it's what you want........
Posted by ReauxlTide222
St. Petersburg
Member since Nov 2010
92431 posts
Posted on 6/14/15 at 2:33 pm to
And you didn't answer the questions....?
Posted by Clames
Member since Oct 2010
20013 posts
Posted on 6/14/15 at 2:33 pm to
quote:

So in your theory access to guns has little to no bearing on gun violence/homicides.


Let me paint you a picture. Words don't seem to be your thing.



So it seems we are putting VASTLY more firearms in the hands of the public yet the number of firearm-related homicides isn't following the trend you seem to think it should. Why does my theory work and yours fail? Oh, and pay special attention to the trend in firearm homicides in 1998, the same time the NICS system (Brady Law) went into effect.


quote:

Eliminating them (for all intents and purposes) would have a negligible effect on homicide by guns.



Well that isn't going to happen. 300+ Million privately owned firearms in the US, there is nothing that is closing the barn door now. So instead of wasting your time on the mental masturbation of such an unrealistic scenario, how about you try and explain methods that do seem to not only curtail firearm homicides, but crimes of violence in general?
This post was edited on 6/14/15 at 2:38 pm
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