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re: Beryl Thread - the clean up begins...
Posted on 7/5/24 at 3:47 pm to VermilionTiger
Posted on 7/5/24 at 3:47 pm to VermilionTiger
Rob is probably cutting diamonds at the northern shift
1
Posted on 7/5/24 at 3:48 pm to rds dc
Might be the most important recon mission into Beryl see if mid and low level are stacked bc if are then watch out
Posted on 7/5/24 at 3:49 pm to lsuman25
Movement up to 295° at 4 pm
Hurricane watch posted for the Tx coast
Hurricane watch posted for the Tx coast
Posted on 7/5/24 at 3:50 pm to lsuman25
Beryl is already north of all the 12 Euro ensembles I believe
Posted on 7/5/24 at 3:53 pm to lsuman25
jeez this sucker is going to make a run at the LA/TX border isnt it
Posted on 7/5/24 at 3:53 pm to lsuman25
Everytime I look for an update it gets closer and closer to Louisiana
Posted on 7/5/24 at 3:54 pm to lsuman25
Glad I went and got groceries and other stuff this morning. Pandemonium about to start in SE Texas.
Posted on 7/5/24 at 3:54 pm to lsuman25
Northern shift at 4 pm as expected. N/S Texas coast can make a little shift the difference in 100 miles.
10 am cone
4 pm cone
10 am cone
4 pm cone
Posted on 7/5/24 at 3:56 pm to The Boat
official NHC track is now 90 mph hurricane right into Corpus Christi Bay.
Posted on 7/5/24 at 3:58 pm to NorthEndZone
Northern jog over the Yucatan. That 3 hour motion is basically dude NW.
Posted on 7/5/24 at 4:00 pm to The Boat
Looking more and more like this
Posted on 7/5/24 at 4:00 pm to stout
quote:
quote:
It hasn't?
It's shifted North yes but not a huge shift like you were alluding to. The models have been showing North Mexico to Galveston as potential landfall. That is still the case as of now but it could keep shifting north. It would take a hard shift to come straight to Lake Charles.
I guess that you didn't help muck mud out of camps in Hackberry after Carla in 1961. Just for clarification, I was the beer fetcher boy for the men doing the work.
Posted on 7/5/24 at 4:03 pm to CitizenK
quote:
I guess that you didn't help muck mud out of camps in Hackberry after Carla in 1961
Well considering that was 18 years before I even existed no I did not.
Posted on 7/5/24 at 4:04 pm to stout
quote:
It's shifted North yes but not a huge shift like you were alluding to. The models have been showing North Mexico to Galveston as potential landfall. That is still the case as of now but it could keep shifting north. It would take a hard shift to come straight to Lake Charles.
4 pm advisory kept the western target now at Corpus.
But yes the storm is spreading out and becoming elongated. There is still an upper Level low to the west that is pushing some southwesterly flow into the system’s western side.
I can remember a storm in 2002 named Isidore. It stalled out over the Yucatán and then eventually ran up to the Louisiana coast as a tropical storm. I remember that was a huge rain maker. The the next week on the same day of the week Lili came ashore near New Iberia and flooded a bunch of people in Terrebonne parish.
This post was edited on 7/5/24 at 4:06 pm
Posted on 7/5/24 at 4:04 pm to The Boat
That dude is the apex wish-caster
Posted on 7/5/24 at 4:08 pm to VermilionTiger
10PM advisory will put BR in the cone.
Posted on 7/5/24 at 4:10 pm to The Boat
These sons of bitches just moved the cone.
Posted on 7/5/24 at 4:11 pm to LSUlefty
quote:
Everytime I look for an update it gets closer and closer to Louisiana
The track regardless of the path the current exit trajectory to take the system out of the tropics and into the mid latitudes will have it curve and swing to Texas and eventually North and Northeast.
I am not liking that SE LA will have several days of Southernly winds.
Posted on 7/5/24 at 4:11 pm to IS_IT_GAMEDAY
The latest ICON run is, well, interesting. I don't think many people in Galveston or Houston are even thinking about anything tropical right now.
Posted on 7/5/24 at 4:12 pm to VermilionTiger
Trending more towards the right of the cone. Tomorrow that cone will be farther to the east. It's going to get picked up by that stalled out front over the Mid-South. If that happens it should speed up and be out of here faster.
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