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re: Beryl Thread - the clean up begins...

Posted on 7/5/24 at 11:11 am to
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
74979 posts
Posted on 7/5/24 at 11:11 am to
quote:

Are conditions in the Gulf favorable for Rapid Intensification? If so, the, it will rapidly intensify and continue to curve towards Galveston Bay and the Tx-La state line.

After the last few years anyone who claims to have a good handle on the "Ifs/Whens" of RI for hurricanes in the Gulf is either lying or overconfident.

There's a window for strengthening on approach to landfall that had been forecast for a while now. The conditions are ther for a strengthening storm into a US landfall.
Posted by alphaandomega
Tuscaloosa-Here to Serve
Member since Aug 2012
17087 posts
Posted on 7/5/24 at 11:24 am to
quote:

Now, if you want to redirect this energy toward the 75mph Cat. 3 Major Hurricane Idalia making landfall last year in the Big Bend of Florida I'd consider throwing my support behind you.


I have no idea about what the official stats were on Idalia but I can confirm there was a lot of damage. We responded to Madison FL and the numbers of trees down and home damage was really bad.

It was a much different type of damage than what we have seen in LA. LA is more open and doesnt have as many trees as the big bend has. Madison was just a huge jumbled mess of trees and debris all tied up with powerlines.

The structure damage was not as bad as we had seen in LA but with all the power outages we had plenty of people to feed. Florida has strong building codes but it seemed a lot of the structures in Madison were trailers and did not stand up to the winds. I believe that area had not had a significant storm in many years so the structures were substandard to todays codes (they had not been damaged in prior storms and rebuilt to current, stricter standards).
Posted by Mr Roboto
Seattle
Member since Jan 2023
8153 posts
Posted on 7/5/24 at 11:36 am to
Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
43290 posts
Posted on 7/5/24 at 11:49 am to
Satelite lops play with my head but sure looks like the center of Beryl wants to try and get to all that convection in the Gulf. Like it's trying to bring the center north
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
102524 posts
Posted on 7/5/24 at 11:49 am to
:thatsapenis:
Posted by Jwho77
cyperspace
Member since Sep 2003
84289 posts
Posted on 7/5/24 at 11:51 am to
quote:

Headed Towards Texas


Posted by Honest Tune
Louisiana
Member since Dec 2011
19285 posts
Posted on 7/5/24 at 11:53 am to
What’s our latest, Roboto? If I may speak freely, I’m getting married July 14th up in Ruston. My fiancé’s parents are living in Corpus Christi and driving out of there around Friday to head to Louisiana late next week. I live in south Louisiana. Just seems like we are all gonna be affected by this thing one way or another.
Posted by wfallstiger
Wichita Falls, Texas
Member since Jun 2006
15702 posts
Posted on 7/5/24 at 11:57 am to
Have rain here for the first time in a month...wouldn't hurt my feelings for a bit more
Posted by PGAOLDBawNeVaBroke
Member since Dec 2023
1051 posts
Posted on 7/5/24 at 11:58 am to
That was dumb on my part esp as a gulf coast lifer. Sorry everyone. Looks like I’ll be heading east if this holds.
Posted by LaBR4
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2005
53874 posts
Posted on 7/5/24 at 12:01 pm to
Brownsville to the Corpus area.possible strengthening Cat 2..shite, they don't want it, you take it, nooo..youu


This post was edited on 7/5/24 at 1:12 pm
Posted by Thracken13
Aft Cargo Hold of Serenity
Member since Feb 2010
18837 posts
Posted on 7/5/24 at 12:11 pm to
I applaud your braveness on that GIF sir....good luck
Posted by BRgetthenet
Member since Oct 2011
118250 posts
Posted on 7/5/24 at 12:12 pm to
Cat 5 rack
Posted by PGAOLDBawNeVaBroke
Member since Dec 2023
1051 posts
Posted on 7/5/24 at 12:14 pm to
That looks encouraging if it holds
Posted by dukke v
PLUTO
Member since Jul 2006
216435 posts
Posted on 7/5/24 at 12:14 pm to
There is nothing wrong with that gif….
Posted by AllDayEveryDay
The Sticks
Member since Jun 2015
9719 posts
Posted on 7/5/24 at 12:20 pm to
Ah the golden era of Devin brugman.
Posted by Jwho77
cyperspace
Member since Sep 2003
84289 posts
Posted on 7/5/24 at 12:29 pm to
Posted by SWLA92
SWLA
Member since Feb 2015
5025 posts
Posted on 7/5/24 at 12:45 pm to
12zEuro is caving towards the ICON. The 12z Euro is coming in between Lake Jackson and Matagorda bay
This post was edited on 7/5/24 at 12:46 pm
Posted by NorthEndZone
Member since Dec 2008
14258 posts
Posted on 7/5/24 at 12:49 pm to
HWRF - 90 knots into Port Aransas / Corpus Christi

Posted by TexasTiger08
Member since Oct 2006
30033 posts
Posted on 7/5/24 at 12:50 pm to
I live in Corpus Christi but am on vacation in Colorado right now. I’m not slated to fly back until Tuesday evening. That’s looking like a big question mark at this point.
Posted by Govt Tide
Member since Nov 2009
9565 posts
Posted on 7/5/24 at 1:01 pm to
This storm although forecasted to move quite a bit quicker is giving off some Hurricane Sally vibes. Some models showing it intensifying steadily and fairly rapidly making a run at a strong Cat 2/borderline major while slowing down in forward speed just before making landfall in Texas very similarly to Sally in Sept 2020.
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