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According to data and science, locking down increases chance of catching covid-19
Posted on 5/7/20 at 11:41 am
Posted on 5/7/20 at 11:41 am
Hey, don’t shoot the messenger. I am respecting the data from the governor of New York
I was told by him to listen to the data
LINK
I was told by him to listen to the data
LINK
quote:
Most new Covid-19 hospitalizations in New York state are from people who were staying home and not venturing much outside, a “shocking” finding, Gov. Andrew Cuomo said Wednesday.
The preliminary data was from 100 New York hospitals involving about 1,000 patients, Cuomo said at his daily briefing.
It shows that 66% of new admissions were from people who had largely been sheltering at home. The next highest source of admissions was from nursing homes, 18%
quote:
“This is a surprise: Overwhelmingly, the people were at home,” he added. “We thought maybe they were taking public transportation, and we’ve taken special precautions on public transportation, but actually no, because these people were literally at home.”
Cuomo said nearly 84% of the hospitalized cases were people who were not commuting to work through car services, personal cars, public transit or walking. He said a majority of those people were either retired or unemployed. Overall, some 73% of the admissions were people over age 51.
This post was edited on 5/7/20 at 11:42 am
Posted on 5/7/20 at 11:42 am to lsupride87
Well, when most cases are from nursing homes...
Posted on 5/7/20 at 11:43 am to lsupride87
quote:
I was told by him to listen to the data
Not that data! The other data!
Posted on 5/7/20 at 12:00 pm to lsupride87
Micheal Osterholm said it’s like stopping the ducking wind. Vaccine or herd immunity. That’s it. All the rest is just about slowing down the inevitable
This post was edited on 5/7/20 at 12:03 pm
Posted on 5/7/20 at 12:00 pm to lsupride87
quote:
Cuomo said nearly 84% of the hospitalized cases were people who were not commuting to work through car services, personal cars, public transit or walking. He said a majority of those people were either retired or unemployed. Overall, some 73% of the admissions were people over age 51.
The virus mainly affects older people. Older people don't get out as much, and even less so during the outbreak. They still come on contact with family members, delivery people, etc. It's not like the act of staying home causes them to get it.
Posted on 5/7/20 at 12:06 pm to lsupride87
Eh, I am no fan of how these lockdowns are progressing, but that's to be expected. There's going to be an enormous sample bias looking at hospitalizations.
Think of it like this:
- Most of the population is abiding by a lockdown
- The population that is not following the lockdowns or that is deemed essential and is still out and about working will very much tend to be on the younger and healthier side of things
- They will catch it and either be asymptomatic or mildly symptomatic
- They will spread it to friends and family who are following lockdowns
- Some of those friends and family will be more acutely vulnerable than those who are out and about
- That will be the population that is presenting to hospitals with severe cases
Think of it like this:
- Most of the population is abiding by a lockdown
- The population that is not following the lockdowns or that is deemed essential and is still out and about working will very much tend to be on the younger and healthier side of things
- They will catch it and either be asymptomatic or mildly symptomatic
- They will spread it to friends and family who are following lockdowns
- Some of those friends and family will be more acutely vulnerable than those who are out and about
- That will be the population that is presenting to hospitals with severe cases
Posted on 5/7/20 at 12:14 pm to lsupride87
quote:
It shows that 66% of new admissions were from people who had largely been sheltering at home.
Are they sheltering at home because they have underlying conditions and are more susceptible to catching it?
Your immune system isn't just going to magically tank during a few week shutdown if it didn't have issues pre-shutdown.
Posted on 5/7/20 at 12:16 pm to lsupride87
quote:
According to data and science, locking down increases chance of catching covid-19
that isn't even what the article says
maybe slow down a bit
Posted on 5/7/20 at 12:22 pm to Jim Rockford
quote:No I’m following the data
The virus mainly affects older people. Older people don't get out as much, and even less so during the outbreak. They still come on contact with family members, delivery people, etc. It's not like the act of staying home causes them to get it.
More cases from staying home. Staying home kills. That’s how the experts have been extrapolating data from very small data sources, so I will do the same
Posted on 5/7/20 at 12:28 pm to TutHillTiger
quote:
Micheal Osterholm said it’s like stopping the ducking wind. Vaccine or herd immunity. That’s it. All the rest is just about slowing down the inevitable
wait are YOU changing your position? Cause you've been one of the biggest sky screaming Karens on this board. You've done nothing BUT act like a sheeple touting Fauchi, the CDC and every other dooms day conventional wisdom of the MSM and taking issue with anyone who dared argue or suggest the contrary.
Posted on 5/7/20 at 12:30 pm to lsupride87
But we're told opening things back up will guarantee it will get bad again.
We have no proof of this, only an assumption
We have no proof of this, only an assumption
Posted on 5/7/20 at 12:33 pm to East Coast Band
We just got to stay locked down for 2 weeks then it will go away like a fart in the wind.
Posted on 5/7/20 at 12:35 pm to lsupride87
This is only because people are stupid and staying home gives them a false sense of confidence.
Posted on 5/7/20 at 12:36 pm to Ronaldo Burgundiaz
quote:
We just got to stay locked down for 2 weeks then it will go away like a fart in the wind.
We just need to catch up to Italy.
Posted on 5/7/20 at 12:39 pm to lsupride87
It seems pretty obvious to me. NYC is a vertical jungle. AC ventilation is shared by many people in vertical high rises. They share the same air. It's already been proven that Covid travels via this way.
It's not like a suburb where you have your own AC unit which is only circulating the air you are breathing.
Doesn't seem like it should be that unexpected for a city built like NYC, but then again what do I know.
It's not like a suburb where you have your own AC unit which is only circulating the air you are breathing.
Doesn't seem like it should be that unexpected for a city built like NYC, but then again what do I know.
Posted on 5/7/20 at 12:39 pm to Centinel
Hell, Italy is back up and running now. People have gone back to work and school. I wish we were still “two weeks behind Italy”. Funny how that narrative stopped
WE HAVE TO LISTEN TO THE DATA
WE HAVE TO LISTEN TO THE DATA
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