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According to data and science, locking down increases chance of catching covid-19

Posted on 5/7/20 at 11:41 am
Posted by lsupride87
Member since Dec 2007
112606 posts
Posted on 5/7/20 at 11:41 am
Hey, don’t shoot the messenger. I am respecting the data from the governor of New York

I was told by him to listen to the data

LINK
quote:

Most new Covid-19 hospitalizations in New York state are from people who were staying home and not venturing much outside, a “shocking” finding, Gov. Andrew Cuomo said Wednesday.

The preliminary data was from 100 New York hospitals involving about 1,000 patients, Cuomo said at his daily briefing.

It shows that 66% of new admissions were from people who had largely been sheltering at home. The next highest source of admissions was from nursing homes, 18%

quote:

“This is a surprise: Overwhelmingly, the people were at home,” he added. “We thought maybe they were taking public transportation, and we’ve taken special precautions on public transportation, but actually no, because these people were literally at home.”

Cuomo said nearly 84% of the hospitalized cases were people who were not commuting to work through car services, personal cars, public transit or walking. He said a majority of those people were either retired or unemployed. Overall, some 73% of the admissions were people over age 51.
This post was edited on 5/7/20 at 11:42 am
Posted by Oilfieldbiology
Member since Nov 2016
42786 posts
Posted on 5/7/20 at 11:41 am to
Ruh roh
Posted by ell_13
Member since Apr 2013
88462 posts
Posted on 5/7/20 at 11:42 am to
Well, when most cases are from nursing homes...
Posted by Centinel
Idaho
Member since Sep 2016
46755 posts
Posted on 5/7/20 at 11:43 am to
quote:

I was told by him to listen to the data


Not that data! The other data!
Posted by Smalls
Southern California
Member since Jul 2009
10307 posts
Posted on 5/7/20 at 11:57 am to
Water supply?
Posted by blueridgeTiger
Granbury, TX
Member since Jun 2004
22413 posts
Posted on 5/7/20 at 12:00 pm to
Looks like a STD.
Posted by TutHillTiger
Mississippi Alabama
Member since Sep 2010
49886 posts
Posted on 5/7/20 at 12:00 pm to
Micheal Osterholm said it’s like stopping the ducking wind. Vaccine or herd immunity. That’s it. All the rest is just about slowing down the inevitable
This post was edited on 5/7/20 at 12:03 pm
Posted by Jim Rockford
Member since May 2011
106129 posts
Posted on 5/7/20 at 12:00 pm to
quote:

Cuomo said nearly 84% of the hospitalized cases were people who were not commuting to work through car services, personal cars, public transit or walking. He said a majority of those people were either retired or unemployed. Overall, some 73% of the admissions were people over age 51.


The virus mainly affects older people. Older people don't get out as much, and even less so during the outbreak. They still come on contact with family members, delivery people, etc. It's not like the act of staying home causes them to get it.
Posted by AbuTheMonkey
Chicago, IL
Member since May 2014
8720 posts
Posted on 5/7/20 at 12:06 pm to
Eh, I am no fan of how these lockdowns are progressing, but that's to be expected. There's going to be an enormous sample bias looking at hospitalizations.

Think of it like this:
- Most of the population is abiding by a lockdown
- The population that is not following the lockdowns or that is deemed essential and is still out and about working will very much tend to be on the younger and healthier side of things
- They will catch it and either be asymptomatic or mildly symptomatic
- They will spread it to friends and family who are following lockdowns
- Some of those friends and family will be more acutely vulnerable than those who are out and about
- That will be the population that is presenting to hospitals with severe cases
Posted by Byron Bojangles III
Member since Nov 2012
52820 posts
Posted on 5/7/20 at 12:11 pm to
sheep you people are
Posted by BluegrassBelle
RIP Hefty Lefty - 1981-2019
Member since Nov 2010
109023 posts
Posted on 5/7/20 at 12:14 pm to
quote:

It shows that 66% of new admissions were from people who had largely been sheltering at home.


Are they sheltering at home because they have underlying conditions and are more susceptible to catching it?

Your immune system isn't just going to magically tank during a few week shutdown if it didn't have issues pre-shutdown.
Posted by Salmon
I helped draft the email
Member since Feb 2008
86738 posts
Posted on 5/7/20 at 12:16 pm to
quote:

According to data and science, locking down increases chance of catching covid-19


that isn't even what the article says

maybe slow down a bit
Posted by lsupride87
Member since Dec 2007
112606 posts
Posted on 5/7/20 at 12:22 pm to
quote:

The virus mainly affects older people. Older people don't get out as much, and even less so during the outbreak. They still come on contact with family members, delivery people, etc. It's not like the act of staying home causes them to get it.

No I’m following the data

More cases from staying home. Staying home kills. That’s how the experts have been extrapolating data from very small data sources, so I will do the same
Posted by tigerinthebueche
Member since Oct 2010
38241 posts
Posted on 5/7/20 at 12:28 pm to
quote:

Micheal Osterholm said it’s like stopping the ducking wind. Vaccine or herd immunity. That’s it. All the rest is just about slowing down the inevitable


wait are YOU changing your position? Cause you've been one of the biggest sky screaming Karens on this board. You've done nothing BUT act like a sheeple touting Fauchi, the CDC and every other dooms day conventional wisdom of the MSM and taking issue with anyone who dared argue or suggest the contrary.
Posted by East Coast Band
Member since Nov 2010
67021 posts
Posted on 5/7/20 at 12:30 pm to
But we're told opening things back up will guarantee it will get bad again.
We have no proof of this, only an assumption
Posted by Ronaldo Burgundiaz
NWA
Member since Jan 2012
6795 posts
Posted on 5/7/20 at 12:33 pm to
We just got to stay locked down for 2 weeks then it will go away like a fart in the wind.
Posted by lsuwontonwrap
Member since Aug 2012
34147 posts
Posted on 5/7/20 at 12:35 pm to
This is only because people are stupid and staying home gives them a false sense of confidence.
Posted by Centinel
Idaho
Member since Sep 2016
46755 posts
Posted on 5/7/20 at 12:36 pm to
quote:

We just got to stay locked down for 2 weeks then it will go away like a fart in the wind.



We just need to catch up to Italy.
Posted by Evolve
Texas
Member since Aug 2012
3450 posts
Posted on 5/7/20 at 12:39 pm to
It seems pretty obvious to me. NYC is a vertical jungle. AC ventilation is shared by many people in vertical high rises. They share the same air. It's already been proven that Covid travels via this way.

It's not like a suburb where you have your own AC unit which is only circulating the air you are breathing.

Doesn't seem like it should be that unexpected for a city built like NYC, but then again what do I know.
Posted by lsupride87
Member since Dec 2007
112606 posts
Posted on 5/7/20 at 12:39 pm to
Hell, Italy is back up and running now. People have gone back to work and school. I wish we were still “two weeks behind Italy”. Funny how that narrative stopped

WE HAVE TO LISTEN TO THE DATA
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