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re: Would you trade Hawk and a 1st for Walker Kessler?

Posted on 7/23/24 at 12:04 pm to
Posted by PELsu
Member since Oct 2021
1709 posts
Posted on 7/23/24 at 12:04 pm to
It's a roster with a lot of talent, but no doubt that projected starting lineup would be extremely devoid of shooting. Even if BI started shooting threes again, relying on the outside shooting of Murray, Herb and BI is a bit too rich for my blood.

However, if and when you find the BI deal you want, a lineup of Murray, Herb, Trey, Zion and Kessler with CJ as first sub is a very different beast IMO.
Posted by VOR
Member since Apr 2009
67440 posts
Posted on 7/23/24 at 12:44 pm to
BI will be on the roster this coming season! They’ll make it work. You can bookmark this page!
Posted by Epic Cajun
Lafayette, LA
Member since Feb 2013
36391 posts
Posted on 7/23/24 at 1:14 pm to
quote:

I see we’ve learned nothing

That starting lineup would be very good in the regular season, and with the correct rotations you could have ample shooting on the court during stretches and crunch time.

ETA: it’s obviously not optimal and I think you still try to trade BI to get either Trey or CJ in the starting lineup, but that team would still win a good number of games. I don’t see how you get around starting any of those players. Zion and DJ are locked in as starters, if BI is on the roster he has to start, a center has to start, and it would be dumb to bench our All NBA defender.
This post was edited on 7/23/24 at 1:23 pm
Posted by yaboidarrell
westbank
Member since Feb 2017
6311 posts
Posted on 7/23/24 at 1:36 pm to
I don't think Hawk will ever become a serviceable defender. He doesn't have the quickness to stay in front of most guards and makes a lot of bad decisions on help defense. Same goes for Kessler with spacing. His FT% is in the low 50s and idk if he's ever taken a shot outside of the paint.
Posted by RUFshreve
Shree'pote
Member since Jul 2016
3036 posts
Posted on 7/23/24 at 5:27 pm to
quote:

I need to see this "center" rotation fail before I make that kind of trade.


See, I'm the opposite. I don't need to see this center rotation to know it isn't gonna cut the snuff.

Missi won't be ready to touch an NBA court for awhile and Theis and Karlo are both backup level bigs. Karlo has potential, but anyone hoping he's gonna be a starting caliber 5, out of the gate, is setting themselves up for a major disappointment. Our rebounding and rim protection will be bottom 3 in the league with this roster. Make a move now and bring someone in.
Posted by Colonel Flagg
Baton Rouge
Member since Apr 2010
23376 posts
Posted on 7/23/24 at 7:43 pm to
I really like Hawkins, but with the addition of Murray alongside Herb and Trey there is no way he is a starter anytime soon.

So you might as well package him with a potential later 1st round pick for Kessler.

I think the Pels should be looking to build the team long term through assets from CJ and BI trades.
This post was edited on 7/23/24 at 7:44 pm
Posted by brmark70816
Atlanta, GA
Member since Feb 2011
11195 posts
Posted on 7/23/24 at 8:09 pm to
The crazy thing is if the Jazz trade us Kessler for Hawkins and the 2025 1st.

Then they trade Markannen to the Hawks for the package I mentioned, that includes the Lakers and Kings 2025 1st round picks.

That gives them 6 1st round picks in the 2025 draft, none of which belong to serious contenders (all top 20ish).

They still have Collins, Sexton and Clarkson that they can move at the deadline or next summer (big expiring deals). Ainge is set up to dominate next offseason and flip the roster big time..
Posted by slutiger5
Parroquias de Florida
Member since May 2007
11818 posts
Posted on 7/23/24 at 10:11 pm to
Hawkins showed impressive scoring flashes. But I don’t know if we have anything on the block to offer, does anyone want Hawkins? Unless Zion and Murray requesting another big man, why give up a pick for a slight upgrade?
Posted by Colonel Flagg
Baton Rouge
Member since Apr 2010
23376 posts
Posted on 7/23/24 at 10:57 pm to
It would be better than a slight upgrade.

The Pels do not need to be paying stupid big salaries for players off the bench.
Posted by LSUPilot07
Member since Feb 2022
7962 posts
Posted on 7/24/24 at 12:07 pm to
It’s way more than a slight upgrade. Hawk won’t see the floor much with Jose and CJ both first off the bench. Theis is only 6’9” and Karlo may be 6’10”-6’11” but he’s thin and he’s not a great rebounder. We need a guy that can play against other 7’+ centers and actually get rebounds and block shots. I don’t care about his offense but Kessler actually starting taking, and making corner 3s in games for Utah so he’s not strictly a defense/dunker guy. We will no doubt be a small ball team but we still have to have at least 1 true center on the roster. He may only play 17-20 minutes a night but those are important minutes. Imagine when we play Washington next year watching Karlo try to rebound against Jonas. If this team has any hope to compete as currently constructed then you’re talking about needing Zion average 9-10 rebounds a game and everyone else stepping up like Trey or Dejounte from the PG spot. Effort still only gets you so far when you’re so badly outsized.
Posted by DallasTiger45
Member since May 2012
8728 posts
Posted on 7/25/24 at 1:37 pm to
quote:

Both of them already have an elite skill that is very valuable. Hawk can not only shoot but is a movement shooter and Kessler is an elite rim protector.


I disagree with this. Hawk has a skill that's proven to be good, not great. Kessler has a skill that's proven to be excellent.

I think because we've seen glimpses and Hawkins was billed as a knockdown shooter we kind of gloss over the fact that his rookie year was not anything special from a shooting perspective. 36.6% from 3, terrible overall offensive efficiency numbers. I think Hawkins will probably become a real shooting weapon for an NBA team but I don't think that's proven at this time. Whereas Kessler has proven his rim protection and rebounding translates.

Add in the positional depth on our team and this is a no brainer imo.
Posted by DallasTiger45
Member since May 2012
8728 posts
Posted on 7/25/24 at 1:40 pm to
quote:

What if Griffin fools us all, resigns Ingram to a lower deal, then trades Murphy?

He will justify it by saying he wanted to do right by Murphy, plus he gets to keep Ingram (his pet project). Murphy has as much value as Ingram, maybe a bit more (supposedly the Hawks offered the 1st pick for him). We can easily get Kessler for him, plus picks. We'd be under the tax too then.

I'm sure it would piss a lot of us off. But it tactically makes sense..


This would be utterly idiotic to do considering the construction of our team from a salary and talent perspective. I'd fire Griff for even speaking about this idea out loud.
Posted by Pels247
Member since May 2024
27 posts
Posted on 7/25/24 at 2:25 pm to
I agree with you that Kessler is better and Hawk's offensive efficiency numbers as a whole are terrible, hence why I would not hesitate to trade Hawk and a first for Kessler even if we traded BI for a starting center and had Kessler come off the bench. He's that much better than Hawk. But Hawk's shooting skills far transcend the percentages. Hes a true movement shooter in a way that Trey and CJ and many of the other top shooters percentage wide in the league aren't.

The way that Trey, CJ, and Hawk get their threes are all different. Trey mostly has to have other people create his shots for him. He has shown the occasional ability to create for himself whether it be with step backs or especially pull up threes in transition, but outside of that its others creating for him. CJ does his mostly off the dribble or also in transition if he does not have others creating for him. Hawkins can catch the ball on the run off a screen while being chased and just needs the slightest bit of room to get his shot off. So while his 3 point percentage is less than Herb's I would assume most would say that Hawk's three point ability is more valuable than Herb.

That being said, i'm firmly in the trade Hawk and a first for Kessler.
Posted by DallasTiger45
Member since May 2012
8728 posts
Posted on 7/25/24 at 8:09 pm to
quote:

But Hawk's shooting skills far transcend the percentages. Hes a true movement shooter in a way that Trey and CJ and many of the other top shooters percentage wide in the league aren't.

The way that Trey, CJ, and Hawk get their threes are all different. Trey mostly has to have other people create his shots for him. He has shown the occasional ability to create for himself whether it be with step backs or especially pull up threes in transition, but outside of that its others creating for him. CJ does his mostly off the dribble or also in transition if he does not have others creating for him. Hawkins can catch the ball on the run off a screen while being chased and just needs the slightest bit of room to get his shot off. So while his 3 point percentage is less than Herb's I would assume most would say that Hawk's three point ability is more valuable than Herb.


I won't argue with any of this. If Hawk is shooting well he gives us something that we likely 1) need 2) don't currently have, but I was just saying that for a movement shooter who doesn't do anything else all that well...Hawk needs to knock down those movement 3's at a higher clip. "Malik Beasley but not quite as good" is not all that appealing as a rotation player for a good team.
Posted by supe12sta12z
Tiger Town
Member since Apr 2012
12875 posts
Posted on 7/25/24 at 8:18 pm to
Malik Beasley was a sub 35% 3 points shooter in his first 2 years.
Posted by Pels247
Member since May 2024
27 posts
Posted on 7/26/24 at 6:42 am to
Beasley isn’t nearly as much of a movement shooter as hawk either. He can somewhat but it’s a lot more catch and shoot. But the main point of my post was this:

1) people talk about Hawk’s potential as if Kessler is 9 years older and not 9 months older thank Hawk. There is still just as much time for Kessler to improve as there is for hawk

2) because of point 1, we need to look at their strengths and weaknesses and the likelihood of making their weaknesses somewhat serviceable. My use of the word elite was surely an exaggeration but it was a more minor part of the reason for my post as the focus was on the weakness to be developed. For hawk that is defense, and for Kessler is spacing. Do we think that Kessler is more likely to have a Jonas like shooting progression where he can shoot threes if left wide open at a decent clip? Do we think he can do better than that? Do we think he can even get to that point? It appears to be something he’s working on.

For Hawk it’s obviously defense. Can he become a neutral defender that allows his offense to become an overall positive? I believe Kessler has more potential to become a serviceable shooter than hawk does at defense.

3) the last point was what if they do not improve and stay with the way their games are now? Once again I think this is a huge advantage to Kessler hence why I would not even hesitate to trade hawk and a first for Kessler.
Posted by TackySweater
Member since Dec 2020
24650 posts
Posted on 7/26/24 at 9:07 pm to
Hawkins won’t ever be anything so yea
Posted by GOP_Tiger
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2005
20684 posts
Posted on 7/26/24 at 9:14 pm to
quote:

Hes a true movement shooter in a way that Trey and CJ and many of the other top shooters percentage wide in the league aren't.


Is he really a better movement shooter than Matt Ryan?
Posted by Colonel Flagg
Baton Rouge
Member since Apr 2010
23376 posts
Posted on 7/26/24 at 9:23 pm to
quote:

For Hawk it’s obviously defense. Can he become a neutral defender that allows his offense to become an overall positive? I believe Kessler has more potential to become a serviceable shooter than hawk does at defense.


Our long term perimeter starters are Dejounte, Herb, Trey, and Zion. I really can’t see Hawkins breaking past that group.
Posted by tibebecolston
Member since Mar 2013
4513 posts
Posted on 7/27/24 at 8:50 am to
definitely
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