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re: World Baseball Classic 2026

Posted on 3/10/26 at 11:34 pm to
Posted by catholictigerfan
Member since Oct 2009
59876 posts
Posted on 3/10/26 at 11:34 pm to
quote:

Pretty sure it's just runs given up period.


If it is tied then it comes down to earned runs.

That only happens if Mexico walks it off and wins with 5 runs
Posted by wareagle47
Member since Dec 2009
1386 posts
Posted on 3/10/26 at 11:36 pm to
I think even a walk-off wouldn’t matter. Italy would only record 26 outs in a best case scenario still leaving them 1 short of the US. Pretty sure if Mexico scores 5, US gets through.
Posted by catholictigerfan
Member since Oct 2009
59876 posts
Posted on 3/10/26 at 11:37 pm to
Ha you are correct, ok earned runs doesn’t matter, a tie in runs allowed divided by outs can’t end in a tie because Mexico is the home team.
Posted by wareagle47
Member since Dec 2009
1386 posts
Posted on 3/10/26 at 11:41 pm to
Only scenario where Mexico scores 5 and US doesn’t advance is if the game goes to extra innings tied 4-4 and Mexico wins in a walk off in the 11th inning or later.
Posted by medtiger
Member since Sep 2003
21990 posts
Posted on 3/10/26 at 11:44 pm to
DeRosa just acknowledged that he "misspoke" on MLB network earlier today when he said they had already clinched. That's not misspeaking, that's not knowing the scenario until someone told him he was wrong afterwards.
Posted by jmh5724
Member since Jan 2012
2832 posts
Posted on 3/10/26 at 11:44 pm to
Even if US advances I’m not feeling too optimistic. The lineup has been underwhelming until they get a rag arm. You won’t get more than 4 innings from a starter and the bullpen has looked like hammered dogshit outside of Mason Miller.
Posted by Datsmoneydude
Member since Jun 2021
3366 posts
Posted on 3/10/26 at 11:50 pm to
Mexico and Italy will both agree before hand to mail it in once Mexico goes up 3-0 and keep USA at home. Another reason this format is absolutely stupid
Posted by CountryVolFan
Knoxville, TN
Member since Dec 2008
3076 posts
Posted on 3/10/26 at 11:51 pm to
Everyone else’s bullpen looks bad too. Gotta score.
Posted by msutiger
Houston
Member since Jul 2008
71995 posts
Posted on 3/11/26 at 12:07 am to
No team is voluntary lining up to play Puerto Rico
Posted by NorthTxLSU
Dallas to Austin to Houston
Member since Nov 2018
14730 posts
Posted on 3/11/26 at 12:12 am to
I just saw the score, how in the frick did we lose to our own D team?
Posted by TTB
LA to L.A.
Member since Nov 2006
3298 posts
Posted on 3/11/26 at 12:51 am to
I guess they put the game on Tubi tomorrow thinking nobody was gonna watch?
Posted by JJ27
Member since Sep 2004
62230 posts
Posted on 3/11/26 at 5:28 am to
Because Derosa thought US had already clinched, allowed the team to party all night, then started the backups. Complete joke of a manager.
Posted by Murph4HOF
A-T-L-A-N-T-A (that's where I stay)
Member since Sep 2019
18820 posts
Posted on 3/11/26 at 8:39 am to
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If my math is mathing. Team USA gets into quarter finals if:

1. Italy beats Mexico tomorrow (any score at all)

• Italy goes 4-0, Mexico drops to 2-2.
• USA takes 2nd place automatically. No tiebreaker needed.

OR

2. If Mexico beats Italy tomorrow, USA gets in if:

• Mexico scores 5 or more runs (examples: 5-4, 5-0, 6-3, 7-2, 8-5, 9-1, 10-4 — anything 5+)

• OR Italy scores 6 or more runs against Mexico (examples: Mexico wins 7-6, 8-6, 9-7, 10-8, 11-6 — any shootout)

Only way USA is OUT: Mexico wins a very low-scoring game where they score 4 or fewer AND Italy scores 5 or fewer.
Examples of bad scores (USA eliminated):
4-3, 4-2, 4-1, 4-0, 3-2, 3-1, 3-0, 2-1, 2-0, 1-0, etc.
Posted by bbap
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Feb 2006
96980 posts
Posted on 3/11/26 at 8:49 am to
quote:

Only way USA is OUT: Mexico wins a very low-scoring game where they score 4 or fewer AND Italy scores 5 or fewer.


Mexico gonna win a game where they get outscored 4-5?
Posted by pjk481
Member since Sep 2011
699 posts
Posted on 3/11/26 at 9:09 am to
quote:

DeRosa just acknowledged that he "misspoke" on MLB network earlier today when he said they had already clinched. That's not misspeaking, that's not knowing the scenario until someone told him he was wrong afterwards.


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Posted by Zendog
Santa Barbara
Member since Feb 2019
6794 posts
Posted on 3/11/26 at 9:11 am to
Why pick Skubal for the team if all he was going to do is pitch four innings in one game?
This post was edited on 3/11/26 at 9:12 am
Posted by jmh5724
Member since Jan 2012
2832 posts
Posted on 3/11/26 at 9:20 am to
Then his one game is against Great Britain. Clown show
Posted by Buckeye Fan 19
Member since Dec 2007
36588 posts
Posted on 3/11/26 at 9:20 am to
Yeah, people are making it way more complicated than it is. It’s this simple, US advances if:

-Italy wins, no matter score;

OR

-Mexico scores 5 or more runs in a game that doesn’t go to extra innings.

If Mexico wins and scores 4 or fewer runs, US is out. If Mexico wins and scores exactly 5 runs in a game that goes to extra innings, US is out.

*The only time it might get complicated is if it goes to extra innings and Mexico wins with more than 5 runs scored. It could possibly change the calculation if Mexico wins 7-6 or 6-5 in extras or something, depending on what inning the run was scored. But otherwise, it’s pretty simple.
This post was edited on 3/11/26 at 9:22 am
Posted by Tiger Ryno
#WoF
Member since Feb 2007
108281 posts
Posted on 3/11/26 at 9:27 am to
I got Mex winning 4-3.
Posted by Drewbie
tFlagship
Member since Jun 2012
66227 posts
Posted on 3/11/26 at 9:28 am to
quote:

Mexico and Italy will both agree before hand to mail it in once Mexico goes up 3-0 and keep USA at home.
Too many Americans on Italy for this to happen, IMO.
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