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Posted on 3/10/26 at 11:36 pm to catholictigerfan
I think even a walk-off wouldn’t matter. Italy would only record 26 outs in a best case scenario still leaving them 1 short of the US. Pretty sure if Mexico scores 5, US gets through.
Posted on 3/10/26 at 11:37 pm to wareagle47
Ha you are correct, ok earned runs doesn’t matter, a tie in runs allowed divided by outs can’t end in a tie because Mexico is the home team.
Posted on 3/10/26 at 11:41 pm to catholictigerfan
Only scenario where Mexico scores 5 and US doesn’t advance is if the game goes to extra innings tied 4-4 and Mexico wins in a walk off in the 11th inning or later.
Posted on 3/10/26 at 11:44 pm to wareagle47
DeRosa just acknowledged that he "misspoke" on MLB network earlier today when he said they had already clinched. That's not misspeaking, that's not knowing the scenario until someone told him he was wrong afterwards.
Posted on 3/10/26 at 11:44 pm to wareagle47
Even if US advances I’m not feeling too optimistic. The lineup has been underwhelming until they get a rag arm. You won’t get more than 4 innings from a starter and the bullpen has looked like hammered dogshit outside of Mason Miller.
Posted on 3/10/26 at 11:50 pm to jmh5724
Mexico and Italy will both agree before hand to mail it in once Mexico goes up 3-0 and keep USA at home. Another reason this format is absolutely stupid
Posted on 3/10/26 at 11:51 pm to jmh5724
Everyone else’s bullpen looks bad too. Gotta score.
Posted on 3/11/26 at 12:07 am to Datsmoneydude
No team is voluntary lining up to play Puerto Rico
Posted on 3/11/26 at 12:12 am to msutiger
I just saw the score, how in the frick did we lose to our own D team? 
Posted on 3/11/26 at 12:51 am to NorthTxLSU
I guess they put the game on Tubi tomorrow thinking nobody was gonna watch?
Posted on 3/11/26 at 5:28 am to NorthTxLSU
Because Derosa thought US had already clinched, allowed the team to party all night, then started the backups. Complete joke of a manager.
Posted on 3/11/26 at 8:39 am to JJ27
Loading Twitter/X Embed...
If tweet fails to load, click here. If my math is mathing. Team USA gets into quarter finals if:
1. Italy beats Mexico tomorrow (any score at all)
• Italy goes 4-0, Mexico drops to 2-2.
• USA takes 2nd place automatically. No tiebreaker needed.
OR
2. If Mexico beats Italy tomorrow, USA gets in if:
• Mexico scores 5 or more runs (examples: 5-4, 5-0, 6-3, 7-2, 8-5, 9-1, 10-4 — anything 5+)
• OR Italy scores 6 or more runs against Mexico (examples: Mexico wins 7-6, 8-6, 9-7, 10-8, 11-6 — any shootout)
Only way USA is OUT: Mexico wins a very low-scoring game where they score 4 or fewer AND Italy scores 5 or fewer.
Examples of bad scores (USA eliminated):
4-3, 4-2, 4-1, 4-0, 3-2, 3-1, 3-0, 2-1, 2-0, 1-0, etc.
Posted on 3/11/26 at 8:49 am to Murph4HOF
quote:
Only way USA is OUT: Mexico wins a very low-scoring game where they score 4 or fewer AND Italy scores 5 or fewer.
Mexico gonna win a game where they get outscored 4-5?
Posted on 3/11/26 at 9:09 am to medtiger
quote:
DeRosa just acknowledged that he "misspoke" on MLB network earlier today when he said they had already clinched. That's not misspeaking, that's not knowing the scenario until someone told him he was wrong afterwards.
Loading Twitter/X Embed...
If tweet fails to load, click here.Posted on 3/11/26 at 9:11 am to pjk481
Why pick Skubal for the team if all he was going to do is pitch four innings in one game?
This post was edited on 3/11/26 at 9:12 am
Posted on 3/11/26 at 9:20 am to Zendog
Then his one game is against Great Britain. Clown show
Posted on 3/11/26 at 9:20 am to bbap
Yeah, people are making it way more complicated than it is. It’s this simple, US advances if:
-Italy wins, no matter score;
OR
-Mexico scores 5 or more runs in a game that doesn’t go to extra innings.
If Mexico wins and scores 4 or fewer runs, US is out. If Mexico wins and scores exactly 5 runs in a game that goes to extra innings, US is out.
*The only time it might get complicated is if it goes to extra innings and Mexico wins with more than 5 runs scored. It could possibly change the calculation if Mexico wins 7-6 or 6-5 in extras or something, depending on what inning the run was scored. But otherwise, it’s pretty simple.
-Italy wins, no matter score;
OR
-Mexico scores 5 or more runs in a game that doesn’t go to extra innings.
If Mexico wins and scores 4 or fewer runs, US is out. If Mexico wins and scores exactly 5 runs in a game that goes to extra innings, US is out.
*The only time it might get complicated is if it goes to extra innings and Mexico wins with more than 5 runs scored. It could possibly change the calculation if Mexico wins 7-6 or 6-5 in extras or something, depending on what inning the run was scored. But otherwise, it’s pretty simple.
This post was edited on 3/11/26 at 9:22 am
Posted on 3/11/26 at 9:27 am to Buckeye Fan 19
I got Mex winning 4-3.
Posted on 3/11/26 at 9:28 am to Datsmoneydude
quote:Too many Americans on Italy for this to happen, IMO.
Mexico and Italy will both agree before hand to mail it in once Mexico goes up 3-0 and keep USA at home.
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