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re: TNF: Packers vs Panthers

Posted on 10/29/26 at 10:01 pm to
Posted by shaqtaw
Member since Oct 2009
7079 posts
Posted on 10/29/26 at 10:01 pm to
Another dumb arse coach going full retard losing the momentum for his team.
Posted by FnTigers
Member since Sep 2021
3321 posts
Posted on 10/29/26 at 10:01 pm to
What a stupid decision
This post was edited on 10/29/26 at 10:02 pm
Posted by FireGoodell
Member since Mar 2019
10025 posts
Posted on 10/29/26 at 10:02 pm to
I can’t stand this analytic garbage sometimes. Why even go for 2 there? Glad it failed. Moron
Posted by SiriusBraveFan
Member since Nov 2014
758 posts
Posted on 10/29/26 at 10:02 pm to
I'm trying to even understand the analytics on this one.
Posted by S
RIP Wayde
Member since Jan 2007
175942 posts
Posted on 10/29/26 at 10:04 pm to
Such an unnecessarily risky move
Posted by RemouladeSawce
Uranus
Member since Sep 2008
18926 posts
Posted on 10/29/26 at 10:05 pm to
Odds of converting XP ~95%
Odds of converting 2-point ~48% (57% in 2026 so far)

Depends on your offense and personnel and whether you’ve got plays you like but the gist is when you’re down 14, going for 2 twice results in equal or more expected points than trying 2 XP

Whether or not it’s “more risky” is very team and context dependent though
This post was edited on 10/29/26 at 10:19 pm
Posted by castorinho
13623 posts
Member since Nov 2010
88899 posts
Posted on 10/29/26 at 10:08 pm to
quote:

I'm trying to even understand the analytics on this one.
if they made it, they'd be driving to win the game now.
That's the risk/reward
Posted by FireGoodell
Member since Mar 2019
10025 posts
Posted on 10/29/26 at 10:08 pm to
Can’t wait for the panthers to score again and miss the 2 point conversion, when they could easily be tying it with an XP
Posted by UnoMe
Here
Member since Dec 2007
7314 posts
Posted on 10/29/26 at 10:09 pm to
The Packers are comprised with the last 2 drives

They quit at Halftime and about to get there arse kicked-

There’s so much wrong with last 2 drives not sure where to start
Posted by WhoDat9090
Member since Oct 2019
1739 posts
Posted on 10/29/26 at 10:10 pm to
Green Bay refusing to run the ball when you should be running out the clock
Posted by FireGoodell
Member since Mar 2019
10025 posts
Posted on 10/29/26 at 10:10 pm to
quote:

if they made it, they'd be driving to win the game now.


But now they’re driving and need a 2 point to tie it. If they score a TD and miss the 2 then they will look like retards
Posted by UnoMe
Here
Member since Dec 2007
7314 posts
Posted on 10/29/26 at 10:10 pm to
Well the way the Packers are playing the can kick a GW FG because they will run 3 plays and use up less than a minute
Posted by tigerpimpbot
Chairman of the Pool Board
Member since Nov 2011
69469 posts
Posted on 10/29/26 at 10:10 pm to
I don’t understand not just taking the point there. I don’t care about the analytics down two TDs. It just seems fricking retarded there at that point. Take the point.
Posted by FireGoodell
Member since Mar 2019
10025 posts
Posted on 10/29/26 at 10:12 pm to
Lmao, what a garbage 3rd down call. Just throw the damn ball
Posted by castorinho
13623 posts
Member since Nov 2010
88899 posts
Posted on 10/29/26 at 10:13 pm to
quote:

But now they’re driving and need a 2 point to tie it.

Well, of course. But the odds of getting at least one of the two point conversions before it started, are pretty good.
He asked for the reasoning, and that's the reasoning.
Posted by RemouladeSawce
Uranus
Member since Sep 2008
18926 posts
Posted on 10/29/26 at 10:13 pm to
quote:

Take the point
This is a false premise though. And central to the argument is that it’s not there to be “taken”

The league average XP is 94%

The Panthers kicker is 70% this season. Over 2 XP, at that rate his likelihood of hitting both is ~49%. And he’s on the road

You don’t have to “care about the analytics” but it’s not an inherently stupid move
This post was edited on 10/29/26 at 10:24 pm
Posted by SiriusBraveFan
Member since Nov 2014
758 posts
Posted on 10/29/26 at 10:15 pm to
If they planned on going for the win (by going for two eventually) then I can see just going for it when they did.
Posted by tween the hedges
Member since Feb 2012
20693 posts
Posted on 10/29/26 at 10:15 pm to
You know how when some teams are overmatched and they are down 7 at the end of the game or overtime and then take their odds going for 2 instead of tying?

It's the same logic. If you make it the first time you "win", if not you get a second chance to "tie". (All assuming you can stop them and score again)
Posted by shaqtaw
Member since Oct 2009
7079 posts
Posted on 10/29/26 at 10:15 pm to
Panthers coach making looking Moore look like a genius.
Posted by S
RIP Wayde
Member since Jan 2007
175942 posts
Posted on 10/29/26 at 10:16 pm to
I would rather wait and go for the W

Especially being on the road. Once you start driving the defense and crowd start to get anxious at the possibility of the 2 for the win.
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