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re: NFL Various Games - Divisional Round

Posted on 1/21/24 at 4:59 pm to
Posted by OU Guy
Member since Feb 2022
29724 posts
Posted on 1/21/24 at 4:59 pm to
quote:

I mean they get it, they have a shot to win on the next trip. They just gotta go for 2 again. I don’t mind the call


Why not wait and go for 2 “if” they get another TD?
Posted by Sao
East Texas Piney Woods
Member since Jun 2009
68469 posts
Posted on 1/21/24 at 4:59 pm to

Bucs down to 2 TOs. 4:37 left.

This is exciting TV

Posted by Who_Dat_Tiger
Member since Nov 2015
25532 posts
Posted on 1/21/24 at 4:59 pm to
quote:

Right decision to go for 2.

Hate the fade but it was a shite throw - Evans had him beat easily.

yep. The fade play call always seem so dumb in these situations
Posted by bcoop199
Kansas City, MISSOURI
Member since Nov 2013
9175 posts
Posted on 1/21/24 at 4:59 pm to
Missing the 2pt conversion kills any momentum your team had. Lowers the pressure on the Lions. Hate that decision, hate it.
Posted by RB10
Member since Nov 2010
52173 posts
Posted on 1/21/24 at 5:00 pm to
quote:

Missing the 2pt conversion kills any momentum your team had. Lowers the pressure on the Lions. Hate that decision, hate it.


7 points vs. 8 points doesn’t affect the Lions at all. They’re still in the same exact position either way.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91838 posts
Posted on 1/21/24 at 5:00 pm to
quote:

Puts extra pressure on the team to have to convert a 2 point conversion if they score again. It’s already a tough situation being down 2 TDs prior to that score. Kick the XP now, make a decision at the end whether to tie it or go for the win if you manage to score again



Not surprising many in this board don’t under math.
Posted by BFANLC
The Beach
Member since Oct 2007
23803 posts
Posted on 1/21/24 at 5:00 pm to
quote:

The math says go for 2


This is football not a math quiz. Football winning logic says don't frick yourself by going for 2 too early.
Posted by Saint Alfonzo
Member since Jan 2019
30228 posts
Posted on 1/21/24 at 5:01 pm to
Going for two is egg-headed analytics bullshite.
Posted by The Cool No 9
70816
Member since Jan 2014
11146 posts
Posted on 1/21/24 at 5:01 pm to
Well I stand corrected I just figured TB is at the lions mercy and needs to simply survive.
Posted by Akit1
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Jul 2006
8341 posts
Posted on 1/21/24 at 5:01 pm to
75 yards in 1:45. Tough sequence for Tampa D.
Posted by SpartyGator
Detroit Lions fan
Member since Oct 2011
82662 posts
Posted on 1/21/24 at 5:01 pm to
Keep running the clock boys
Posted by Mizzoufan26
Vacaville CA
Member since Sep 2012
18965 posts
Posted on 1/21/24 at 5:01 pm to
quote:

Explain how they lost any hope they had.


How about you lick my a-hole instead, I am not spoon feeding you shite.

It’s playing out on the field
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91838 posts
Posted on 1/21/24 at 5:02 pm to
quote:

Why not wait and go for 2 “if” they get another TD?


Because then you either win or lose by making it at the end.

The Bucs haven’t lost by missing it.
Posted by Who_Dat_Tiger
Member since Nov 2015
25532 posts
Posted on 1/21/24 at 5:02 pm to
quote:

Why not wait and go for 2 “if” they get another TD?
mathematically, logically, whatever, it’s because in that situation you lose if you don’t get it.

By going for it on the first TD now you still go to OT if you get it the 2nd time rather than losing. If they made the first attempt game would be over if they score a second TD and would win.
Posted by The Cool No 9
70816
Member since Jan 2014
11146 posts
Posted on 1/21/24 at 5:02 pm to
Thats why Dan Campbell was grinnin
Posted by Madking
Member since Apr 2016
70546 posts
Posted on 1/21/24 at 5:02 pm to
“Not surprising many in this board don’t under math.”


Probably better than you under English.
Posted by RB10
Member since Nov 2010
52173 posts
Posted on 1/21/24 at 5:02 pm to
quote:

How about you lick my a-hole instead, I am not spoon feeding you shite.


So you can’t explain it.

quote:

It’s playing out on the field


How is it any different down 7 instead of 8?
Posted by lsupride87
Member since Dec 2007
111335 posts
Posted on 1/21/24 at 5:02 pm to
quote:

It’s playing out on the field
So if they kick the XP the Bucs defense will play different?
Posted by TheSexecutioner
Member since Mar 2011
5264 posts
Posted on 1/21/24 at 5:02 pm to
quote:

The math says go for 2

I don’t get it in this scenario though


It's pretty simple. You need to score another TD either way. Under that condition and assuming 50% 2pt rate and 100% pat, the possibilities are.....

25% miss miss
25% miss make
50% make kick PAT.

The second 25% leads to OT. So 50% chance of winning in regulation, 25% of losing in regulation, 25% of overtime.
Posted by BOSCEAUX
Where the Down Boys go.
Member since Mar 2008
52390 posts
Posted on 1/21/24 at 5:02 pm to
What was the penalty?
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