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That video makes it pretty clear. The girl passing tries to move in too early and catches her baton with an elbow, which pushes her right shoulder back. This obviously throws her off balance. She tries to take an exaggerated overhand windmill arm-pump to get her balance back. That is the one that connects.

After connecting with that one, she clearly tries to hold the next couple back. She even seems to think about stopping to aid her.
It's pretty clear to me that she didn't intend to hit her. The front girls elbow catches the baton, which puts her off balance.
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I read where the FBI said someone moved the cooler bourbon and St. Peter’s to bourbon and Orleans. They said that individual had nothing to do with it. I guess someone thought they were getting an ice chest of beer


That's what this video says as well. LINK

But using google maps, that does not seem to match up with any of the corners of Bourbon and St Peters. can anyone tell where clip 3 is being filmed from?
quote:

Does Plaquemine have natural grass or a turf playing surface?


turf.
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Everyone in that bracket got a tough draw. North DeSoto, Cecilia, Opelousas, Jennings, Lutcher. The winner of that bracket will easily win the Championship


Don't forget about Plaquemine. They are now the highest remaining seed in that half of the bracket.
They just handily beat one of the semifinalists from last year(Northwest). Won't be an easy game for Opelousas next week.

re: NFL Various Games - Week 10

Posted by TheSexecutioner on 11/10/24 at 10:33 pm to
Wow that was unfathomably dumb to try a field goal there.
quote:

Just listened to born to die and summertime sadness and have zero recognition with those songs. Zero

Give me another to try


Video Games. That was her original huge song. It was not Summertime Sadness, as the previous poster said.

You probably know Video Games. It is considered her best by a large margin.

She also did "Young and Beautiful", which is very well known because it was the featured song in the Great Gatsby movie.
Will there be time to sand down the slope of the roof?
"playing" in the pool can look a lot like this version of drowning. it's not like she was at the bottom of the pool or anybody could expect an adult to be capable of drowning in waist deep pool with her hand grabbing the side and a handrail.
quote:

 Yet Luka is a pudgy white guy that looks straight out of the 80's NBA


Luka is a freakishly large human. What pudgy which guy point guards in the 80s were that big?
quote:

From what I see the best options are probably JM Modern Ju Jitsu or the UFC gym. What do you guys think?


JM for sure.
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I'm saying they should be able to shoot the ball in a very high rate when 90% games come down to a FT.


What? Less than 10% of NBA games come down to a free throw.
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What's a good college time? like 38?


NCAA winning time is almost always 38.xx. 38 low is incredibly good and usually wins. Anything under 39 is probably top 10.
But none of that matters now. We've already won.
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Florida is 32 points back with 2 finalists possibly scoring in triple jump as well. It could cancel out. Either way, women finishing ahead of Arkansas and Florida on the 4x4 should solidify the championship.


We won't finish ahesd of Arkansas unless they drop the baton and florida doesn't even have a team entered in the 4x4.
Women looking like they will win. We can put it away in the 800 and triple jump in the next 20 minutes.
quote:

Well, if they hadn't just taken advantage of her as they did they could've:
a) Called 911
b) Taken her to the police precinct in proximity
c) Called an Uber
d) Taken her somewhere safe, warm, and lighted

Why we're none of these viable options?


Well D is definitely kidnapping. B probably is too.
quote:

Didn't they admit to having sex with her and affirming her drunkenness the next day? And who offloads a drunk, disoriented, lost girl at 2AM in 33F?


As opposed to actually kidnapping her? She asked to be let out. If they don't let her out, that is kidnapping or false imprisonment.
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CJ is an absolute monster for us until about 6 minutes left in the game, it's been the case since he's been here


No it hasn't. He's been the borderline all star player that he has been his whole career since he's been here, with normal variance.

CJ has very little variable affect on our success. He is who he is, which is a player who eats up 36 minutes of great, but not elite, ball.
quote:

Don't know what csal is but no they don't


Catholic School Athletic League. The track league for most of the baton rouge private middle schools.

And 5th graders run under 6 all the time there. And that's just baton rouge, which isn't good at distance running. Probably over 1000 10 year olds run under 6 every year. The idea that only a few in the country do it is absurd.

re: Good mile time for a kid

Posted by TheSexecutioner on 2/9/24 at 2:19 pm to
quote:

I'd advise against training until 6th grade(mostly easy running at that). Then track in 7th. Keep him out of Summer track. That's retarded for distance kids, and is a big reason Louisiana distance runners suck as a whole. Keep it fun.


I don't know a single high school distance runner from Louisiana who did summer track. I agree its not smart. But virtually nobody does it. Hardly a big reason why LA distance running isn't good. The heat is a big reason. But not distance kids doing summer track, considering basically none of them do.
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Granted I pay zero attention to T&F, but did play varsity soccer in high school and would beat my entire team in warmups with a just sub 5 minute mile so I’d think 7:30 mile for a 9 yo is a pretty impressive first go.


A 5 minute mile is about twice as close to the world record as a 7:30 is to a 5:00. So I don't know how you are extrapolating that 7:30 is good because 5:00 was pretty good.
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That's not true at all. There are very few 5th graders in the country sniffing that kind of time. 7 29 is good, definitely well above average but short of elite


Very few 5th graders in the country sniffing sub 6? CSAL in Baton Rouge puts them up all the time.
Good 5th graders go under 6 with basically no training. 7:29 isn't that good. I guess not horrible though.
quote:

I absolutely do not want the clippers in the 1st round. Anybody but them


Unless you are banking on jokic being injured, the clippers aren't our worst matchup. We can get lucky with wolves or okc, but we are probably gonna have to play a good team pretty early. We just need to get as good as possible.
Here is a practical version of the explanation of why it is correct.

So you need 2 touchdowns. So we are only concerned about when you do score those 2 touchdowns. Otherwise, none of this matters anyway.

Going for PAT after each score give you a 50% chance of winning, as it just goes to overtime.

Going for the first PAT and then going for 2 on the second one gives you a 50% chance of winning, as it just comes down to that 2 point conversion after the second TD.

Going for 2 after both. Let's look at the possibilities.

Miss - miss. You lose. This will happen 25%
Miss - make. You go to overtime. This will happen 25% of the time.

If there were no informational advantage, then make - miss and make - make should round out this decision matrix. Make-make being a win and make-miss being OT. Hence an aggregate chance of 50% OT, 25% win in regulation. 25% lose in regulation.

But make - miss DOES NOT EXIST because of an informational advantage. You would never try a second 2 point conversion if you made the first one. So the actual matrix is.....

Miss - miss 25% - loss
miss - make 25% - OT
Make - pat 50% - win

That is 50% winning in regulation, 25% losing in regulation, and 25% going into OT. Assuming you are 50/50 to win an OT game, you have to add 12.5% to the regulation win and regulation loss percentages. That gives us a final total of......

62.5% win
37.5% loss
quote:

It gives you a better % chance to win in regulation - that’s the benefit.


Meh, kind of. That is true, but that's not really why. It's that it gives you an informational advantage. The better % chance to win in regulation is just the manifestation of that informational advantage.
quote:

You're right, it's not some statistical outcome. But it depends on the play call and the defense and the personnel on the field. You've just got one or two chances and the season is done.


sure, this is true. So while the percentage is around 50%, if you have a great 2 point conversion play, you might be higher. Or if you have an incredible kicker, you might project a little better in overtime.

But I don't think most people are understanding how much better it is to go for 2 in the situation that happened. It is essentially 62.5% vs 50% winning percentage on games where you score the other touchdown. That is a ton.
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I don't buy this at all. As I posted above, it's not a straightforward problem especially in rare situations like season ending decisions.


Why does that matter? You are either trying to win the game or lose it. There are no partial losses. If you are trying to win the game, you make the binary decision that gives you the best chance of winning. In this case, it is going for it, and its by a large margin.
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Here's the thing. All the anti-analytics/math people bring it up when it fails, but don't talk about it when it succeeds like the Titans/Dolphins game earlier this year. The math behind it absolutely makes sense.


Or Packers-Saints. The Packers were in the playoffs over the Saints because they did it correctly and thus won by 1 point.
quote:

and then take it to ot?

Might as well kick two xps if you want to play for ot.

If you’re really adamant on playing to win/lose in regulation put all the chips on the second attempt.

Two low probability attempts vs one low probability attempt.


Yes, the 50% of the time that your first 2 point conversion didn't work, you still get a chance to take it to OT. The 50% of the time that the first 2pt did work, you can take the PAT and not even have to play OT.