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How many times do Michigan and Bama have to play before the shine wears off?

Posted on 1/2/24 at 1:37 pm
Posted by Hot Carl
Prayers up for 3
Member since Dec 2005
59010 posts
Posted on 1/2/24 at 1:37 pm
Not those 2 teams specifically, but all matchups that we rarely see. It's one of the unintended consequences of the expanded playoffs (and conference championship games going away from divisions) that nobody seems to be talking about. All the big proponents of the 12 team playoff have made lists of all the sexy matchups we would have gotten this year and in years past. Yeah, Michigan and Bama sounds pretty sexy. So does, say, LSU and Michigan (who somehow have never played in over 100 years of college football). USC and Georgia? Awesome.

But with the 12-team playoff, these matchups are gonna start happening much more often. LSU and Michigan will probably play 3 times in the next 10 years. Bama and Michigan maybe more. But what's really going to suck is when Bama and Georgia--and probably Michigan and Ohio State--start playing each other 3 times a year. And that WILL happen, probably sooner than later. It may even happen next year. Hell, Ohio State and Michigan will probably play 2 straight weeks next year. And may meet up again just a couple weeks later. We really fired up about playing "The Game" 3 times in 6 weeks?

I just think when all these teams who rarely play each other start playing pretty regularly, it's gonna take a lot of shine off the playoff games. Texas and Washington last night? Sexy as hell. Texas and Washington playing for the 3rd time in 5 years? Meh. It's just more of the NFL-ization of college football. Only with a much inferior product.

I don't hate the 12-team playoff (though I think 6 is perfect). But this is one particular unintended consequence that nobody seems to be talking about and one that I think will wind up being one of the worst.
Posted by GhostofJackson
Speedy Teflon Wizard
Member since Nov 2009
6602 posts
Posted on 1/2/24 at 1:45 pm to
Last time I checked, never. Does Bama ever get tired of playing Auburn? Why would two top programs not want to play each other?
Posted by red sox fan 13
Valley Park
Member since Aug 2018
15339 posts
Posted on 1/2/24 at 1:49 pm to
quote:

LSU and Michigan will probably play 3 times in the next 10 years.
When you factor in the variables in seeding and who moves on from rounds 1 and 2 I doubt this just from a probability perspective.
quote:

But what's really going to suck is when Bama and Georgia--and probably Michigan and Ohio State--start playing each other 3 times a year.
I agree with this, keeping conference championship games in the new system is asinine.
Posted by LNCHBOX
70448
Member since Jun 2009
84065 posts
Posted on 1/2/24 at 1:49 pm to
Why would people get tired of top programs matching up in a playoff for the championship?

It's cool that LSU is playing USC next year, but it would have been cooler in a playoff in 2003.
Posted by Tornado Alley
Member since Mar 2012
26498 posts
Posted on 1/2/24 at 1:51 pm to
quote:

But with the 12-team playoff, these matchups are gonna start happening much more often. LSU and Michigan will probably play 3 times in the next 10 years


Am I missing something about LSU and the CFP - they've only made it once?
Posted by lsudave1
Baton Metairie
Member since Jan 2005
7265 posts
Posted on 1/2/24 at 2:09 pm to
It happens all the time in other sports, especially baseball and basketball. When LSU made the final 4 in 1986 we played Kentucky 4 times, only beating them once but it was in the Elite 8 lol.
Posted by LNCHBOX
70448
Member since Jun 2009
84065 posts
Posted on 1/2/24 at 2:11 pm to
quote:

Am I missing something about LSU and the CFP - they've only made it once?


LSU finishes inside the top 12 fairly regularly. Hell, with three losses we were one spot out this year. I think most LSU fans will be disappointed if we aren't making the 12 team play off 30% of the time.
Posted by Nathan Hail
Part of a Vast Network
Member since May 2022
652 posts
Posted on 1/2/24 at 2:16 pm to
quote:

I agree with this, keeping conference championship games in the new system is asinine.



completely unnecessary, but more pork to fatten up those tv contracts.
Posted by Ostrich
Alexandria, VA
Member since Nov 2011
8730 posts
Posted on 1/2/24 at 2:25 pm to
quote:

LSU finishes inside the top 12 fairly regularly. Hell, with three losses we were one spot out this year. I think most LSU fans will be disappointed if we aren't making the 12 team play off 30% of the time.


It’s really going to require finishing in the Top 11, with the 6 highest ranking conference champions auto-qualifying.
Posted by GreatLakesTiger24
COINTELPRO Fan
Member since May 2012
55557 posts
Posted on 1/2/24 at 2:29 pm to
I want to see Ole Miss play Michigan in the playoffs. Real oddball matchup.
Posted by chalmetteowl
Chalmette
Member since Jan 2008
47505 posts
Posted on 1/2/24 at 2:31 pm to
All these top teams meeting is preferable in every way to one of them playing Furman and the other playing Ball State
Posted by Tiger Prawn
Member since Dec 2016
21856 posts
Posted on 1/2/24 at 2:40 pm to
quote:

keeping conference championship games in the new system is asinine.
Well you need some way to determine a conference champion then since under the 12 team format, the top 4 seeds are reserved for the highest ranked conference champs.

With the size of conferences now, it won't be all that uncommon for the 2 top teams in the conference to not play each other in the regular season. What are you going to do when Bama and Georgia don't play each other and both finish 12-0? Decide who gets the #1 seed and who gets the #5 seed by some tiebreaker criteria like "combined conference record of opponents"?
Posted by Pettifogger
Capitol Hill Autonomous Zone
Member since Feb 2012
79127 posts
Posted on 1/2/24 at 2:48 pm to
You mean the novelty will wear off? Sure, but it's the product of getting the right contestants in the final. I certainly don't want to stick to the more commonly-seen matchups for this reason alone.

Michigan-UW is cool, I'm excited about it. We'll have SEC teams playing for a title, which will be cool/odd. We'll have the UM-Bama type games. We'll have the Oregon vs. Penn State type game, which will be different. And eventually we're probably going to have an Ohio State vs. Cincinnati type game with non-traditional team genuinely having a chance to win it all.

So I don't think we're going to lose much on this front. Yes, the novelty of particular matchups will wane over time as we see more and more of them happen, but the variety in the interim *should* be better.
Posted by lsusa
Doing Missionary work for LSU
Member since Oct 2005
4508 posts
Posted on 1/2/24 at 2:56 pm to
quote:

Last time I checked, never. Does Bama ever get tired of playing Auburn? Why would two top programs not want to play each other?


I don’t think you “get” what the OP is saying.

Alabama vs Auburn is a rivalry. As the cliche gets bandied “you can throw the records out” when they meet. The same goes for Ohio State-Michigan. Heck, even Cal-Stanford. Those games are special every year.

Growing up as an LSU fan I heard stories of 3-0 vs Notre Dame in South Bend, then Jones to Hamilton to get revenge in Baton Rouge, or Benji Thibadaux’s face mask penalty against USC. I was lucky to go to LA for the rematch in 84. All of these great games meant something.

Inter-sectional matchups used to be special. Just another loss of this “new era/error”

Posted by Hot Carl
Prayers up for 3
Member since Dec 2005
59010 posts
Posted on 1/2/24 at 3:31 pm to
quote:

It happens all the time in other sports, especially baseball and basketball.


Yes, "other sports." What makes college football so great is how unique it is. Or was. And baseball and basketball play a lot more games than football. Each individual game isn't as meaningful.

quote:

when LSU made the final 4 in 1986 we played Kentucky 4 times, only beating them once but it was in the Elite 8 lol.



You've helped make one of my points. Those 1st 3 games wound up not mattering. And to me, it's the biggest flaw of college basketball. Individual games don't matter--it's what you did cumulatively over the regular season. (Granted, the trade off is they have the most exciting post-season in college sports). But who, besides fans of LSU and Kentucky are tuning in to watch them play on a random Tuesday night in February? And it's not like it was back then anyway, when players stayed 3, sometimes 4 years together. Remember those Laettner, Hurley, etc...Duke teams? The Running Rebels of UNLV? The Fab Five? Those guys played together for 2 or 3 years and the rest of the country got to know them. Now, the good ones bounce to the NBA after just one year and the rest are transferring all over the place. Teams are completely different from year to year.

Not to mention really talented players are much, much better as Juniors than Freshman. Hell, fricking Shaq stayed in school for 3 years. And even the less talented teams were better after playing with each other for multiple years. It was just a much better product back then. Which is fine, I'm not "get off my lawn" whining about it. It is what it is. But I'm not watching a Duke/Carolina regular season game these days. Because they don't matter. They're guaranteed to play twice and will likely meet up in the ACC Tourney for a 3rd time. It's just not very exciting. To me, anyway.

But I've got off on a bit of a tangent. My point is that college football is very unique, and some of the things that make it so are part of why those of us who love it so much do. The regular season has been the best in all of sports (granted again, at the expense of it's post-season, the opposite trade-off of CBB) because every individual game meant something. Even if they had no national championship implications. Because they are rare--you're only guaranteed to get 12 of them a year. The whole scarcity principle and all that.

Which leads me back to my original point on the expanded playoffs leading to teams playing each other a lot more. That was one of the cool things about the old bowl system--you got to see matchups that you rarely saw. A poster above mentioned that LSU playing USC to start the season in Vegas next year is gonna be pretty cool. Part of that is because we haven't played them in 40 years. He mentioned it would have been cooler to have played them in the '03 playoff. I agree.

But that whole "split title" thing that people have been trying to litigate the past 20 years adds to the "mystique" and coolness of the game in Vegas. But had we met in '03, that game would have meant EVERYTHING. Hell, our last 2 openers against Florida State have basically meant EVERYTHING. At the time, anyway. We lived and died with each play, because the result of that game could have been the difference between making the playoffs or being barely left out. And the opener in Vegas next year would have felt the same. But now with the expanded playoff, it will mean a lot less. Every team will have 1 mulligan, most will have 2. Some will eventually have 3.

Which makes each individual regular season game mean much less. They'll all still mean something, but almost none--at the time--will mean everything. And that's not good for college football. Add to that big brand teams in different conferences that rarely play each other will start playing pretty regularly in the playoffs, and takes away that scarcity piece that adds to its uniqueness.

And it will for teams that already play each other every year in the regular season too. Ohio State and Michigan, the Iron Bowl, LSU and Florida, whatever--those games will suffer too for both reasons. The games won't mean as much because the loser's NC chances aren't on the line (unless it's one of the last week of the season games and 1 or both of the teams are a loss away from being left out). And maybe more importantly, I don't care how much Ohio State and Michigan hate each other, if they start playing twice (maybe 3 times a year and maybe in back-to-back weeks), those games will start to mean less for their own fans. But they will certainly mean less to fans of other teams. Ohio State/Michigan the past 3 years? I'm dialed in. In '26, after I've seen them play 5 times in the last 2 or 3 years? Meh. I'll probably find something else to do and just wait a few weeks until they play in the playoffs. Again.

And that's not good for college football. Taking away the scarcity of the matchups and making the regular season games mean less, is just taking away the things that have made it so unique (and great, if it's your favorite sport like it is mine and I'd imagine the majority of the people on here.) It's just turning it into the NFL. Only with worse players.
Posted by H-Town Tiger
Member since Nov 2003
59090 posts
Posted on 1/2/24 at 3:36 pm to
quote:

(and conference championship games going away from divisions)


Keeping the conference championship games doesn’t get the discussion it deserves. The top 4 seeds will get a bye, but most of those teams will be conference champs, which means they have to play an extra game. And that doesn’t play in the CCG will have to play an extra playoff game but by the quarter finals will have played the same number of games as the teams that win the CCG and get a bye.
Posted by Earnest_P
Member since Aug 2021
3485 posts
Posted on 1/2/24 at 3:44 pm to
quote:

I think most LSU fans will be disappointed if we aren't making the 12 team play off 30% of the time.


If 3 losses gets you out of the top 12, LSU fans should get used to not making the 12 team playoff very often. We don’t have the money to consistently lose two or less games in the new era, IMO.
This post was edited on 1/2/24 at 3:45 pm
Posted by Hot Carl
Prayers up for 3
Member since Dec 2005
59010 posts
Posted on 1/2/24 at 4:00 pm to
quote:

Well you need some way to determine a conference champion then since under the 12 team format, the top 4 seeds are reserved for the highest ranked conference champs.

With the size of conferences now, it won't be all that uncommon for the 2 top teams in the conference to not play each other in the regular season. What are you going to do when Bama and Georgia don't play each other and both finish 12-0? Decide who gets the #1 seed and who gets the #5 seed by some tiebreaker criteria like "combined conference record of opponents"?


Another good point. It's why I think going away from divisions is also a mistake. It won't be long before there is a huge clusterfrick with the tie-breakers. It's not inconceivable that some combination of Bama, Georgia, Texas, LSU, Oklahoma all go 12-0 if they somehow all miss each other. Or more likely 3 of them go 11-1 having only lost to each other. Remember the clusterfrick that was the Big 12 when that happened with Texas, Oklahoma, and Texas Tech? All 11-1 with no championship game. I think the tie-breaker was who was ranked highest in the BCS. Which means it will likely be decided by some other biased committee in some secret room making decisions in the dark with secret criteria with secret weighting.

And again, that's not good for college football. We were sold on this expanded playoff largely in part to get away from that, to "settle it on the field." Sounds great, but to your point, now seeding becomes infinitely more important. The difference between getting a bye and only having to win 2 games against the best teams in the country instead of 3? That's massive. So is the difference between going on the road to Athens or hosting Notre Dame. And these decisions will still be made by shady committees.

Which, I understand, is a necessary evil. When there are 64 P5 teams and 130 total, all playing completely different schedules, you've got to have a way to pick the participants. It can't be like the NFL with only 32 teams. But even though it's necessary, it's still an evil.

And just to be clear, again, this is not me being an old man yelling at the clouds, afraid of change. I hated the way the old bowl system crowned its champion. Loved the BCS. Loved it when we moved to the 4 team playoff. And I don't hate the expansion to 12 (though again, I think 6 is perfect). I like it being more inclusive so the travesty that was the FSU fiasco doesn't happen again.

This is not me arguing against the expanded playoff. I'm merely saying there are going to be some tradeoffs that are gonna wind up drastically changing the sport. And I just think it's weird that nobody seems to be talking about them. That they seemingly weren't even weighed. And it may turn out that the tradeoffs are worth it. But I don't think it's smart to not play out all the unintended consequences just to be sure.
Posted by etm512
Mandeville, LA
Member since Aug 2005
20740 posts
Posted on 1/2/24 at 4:17 pm to
quote:

and conference championship games going away from divisions


Going to laugh my arse off when as soon as probably next year we will get Ohio St-Michigan two weeks in a row. Then the real possibility of them facing off for a third time in a playoff at some point in the future. Who wants that?
This post was edited on 1/2/24 at 4:20 pm
Posted by etm512
Mandeville, LA
Member since Aug 2005
20740 posts
Posted on 1/2/24 at 4:19 pm to
quote:

I'm merely saying there are going to be some tradeoffs that are gonna wind up drastically changing the sport


Big time regular season matchups that used to be must see TV no longer being the case. The high wire act of the CFB regular season not being as exciting. Basically becoming more like the NFL which sucks
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