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re: Barry Bonds sure has lost some weight from his playing days

Posted on 1/28/11 at 5:29 pm to
Posted by H-Town Tiger
Member since Nov 2003
61013 posts
Posted on 1/28/11 at 5:29 pm to
Maris hit 275 HR in his career. 61 is 22% of his total.

Anderson hit 209 HR for his career 50 is 24% of the total.

quote:

but when 10 guys per season start to have career years, it raises a red flag.


I'm pretty sure Roger Maris wasn't the only guy to have a career year during that time frame.
Posted by Sophandros
Victoria Concordia Crescit
Member since Feb 2005
45219 posts
Posted on 1/28/11 at 5:34 pm to
Clearly, those can only be explained by juicing.
Posted by Lester Earl
3rd Ward
Member since Nov 2003
290856 posts
Posted on 1/28/11 at 5:35 pm to
quote:

In any event comparing 2000 to 2010 is just cherry picking.



1994: 3306
1995: 4081
1996: 4962
1997: 4640
1998: 5064
1999: 5528
2000: 5693
2001: 5458
2002: 5059
2003: 5207
2004: 5451
2005: 5017
2006: 5386
2007: 4957
2008: 4878
2009: 4655
2010: 4620


You don't see any patterns there?

Consider the height of the steroid era started in the early 90s, and for the 2004 season MLB starts PED testing.


You may call that coincidental, I call that a pattern.

quote:

Avg like HR/game are more telling than raw totals. That's pretty easy to understand.




1.17 in 2000 doesn't seem like a lot when you can't see the rest of the sample.

I would venture to say that may be one of the top 5 highest figures in MLB history.

.949 a game for 2010


Those numbers right there present nearly a 20% decrease. You because there are only a 2 season representation and are in a decimal form that most cannot quantify, it does not seem like a lot. I think it is even fooling you.
This post was edited on 1/28/11 at 5:36 pm
Posted by WHATDOINO
Member since Dec 2008
7049 posts
Posted on 1/28/11 at 5:35 pm to
quote:

Posted by Moustache
What people fail to realize is the roids didn't give him an incredible eye for the strikezone and the fastest top hand in baseball. Dude is a hall of famer with or without roids.





Agree, I would put him top three hitter all time, with or without.
Posted by molsusports
Member since Jul 2004
37521 posts
Posted on 1/28/11 at 5:36 pm to
quote:

Studies done of HR rates during the "steroid era" show that the HR rate went up by about 2-3%. Remember, this could also be attributable to smaller ballparks and thin-handled bats. There's virtually no evidence of a power jump.




can you link some of those?

because my knee jerk reaction is to completely disagree

A good power hitter in the 80s might hit 30 home runs... a good power hitter in the late 90s hit 45 plus
Posted by Lester Earl
3rd Ward
Member since Nov 2003
290856 posts
Posted on 1/28/11 at 5:40 pm to
quote:

Maris hit 275 HR in his career. 61 is 22% of his total.

Anderson hit 209 HR for his career 50 is 24% of the total.



Brady Anderson had just under 2000 more plate appearances than Roger Maris did over his career.


Why not post Brady Anderson hit a HR every 30 ABs compared to Maris's once every 18 AB's?

Who is more likely to hit 50 HR's looking at that stat?

shite, throw out each of their top seasons and it probably looks even more obscene.

quote:

I'm pretty sure Roger Maris wasn't the only guy to have a career year during that time frame.




Probably not.

Which time period do you think would be more likely to see spikes like that?

1960s or 1990s?
This post was edited on 1/28/11 at 5:41 pm
Posted by H-Town Tiger
Member since Nov 2003
61013 posts
Posted on 1/28/11 at 5:44 pm to
I'm not fooled by the decimals, there was a big drop from 2000 to 2010. In btwn there was a lot of flucuation. There was a bigger drop from 87 to 88 that can not be explained by steroids and testing.
Posted by H-Town Tiger
Member since Nov 2003
61013 posts
Posted on 1/28/11 at 5:50 pm to
Mo, I posted a link on page 1 to a podcast, the first half talks about bb and ped's. Its about 30 minutes. I'll look more for the paper this weekend. From the 80s to the 90s they added 4 teams and built many, usually smaller new ball parks.
Posted by H-Town Tiger
Member since Nov 2003
61013 posts
Posted on 1/28/11 at 5:53 pm to
There were better offensives totals in the 90's but I have no idea if there were more spikes. There are many possible explainations for the increase besides ped's.
Posted by Lester Earl
3rd Ward
Member since Nov 2003
290856 posts
Posted on 1/28/11 at 6:02 pm to
quote:

There are many possible explainations for the increase besides ped's.



and the explanation for the drop in the last 5 years?

coincidence, right?
Posted by H-Town Tiger
Member since Nov 2003
61013 posts
Posted on 1/28/11 at 6:05 pm to
No there could lots. Didn't you say they started testing in 04? If so whby did it go up in 06?
Posted by Lester Earl
3rd Ward
Member since Nov 2003
290856 posts
Posted on 1/28/11 at 6:07 pm to
1 or 2 year period to phase out completely would be my guess.


btw do you have the top 5 MLB season in HR per game on hand?
Posted by TigerintheNO
New Orleans
Member since Jan 2004
44901 posts
Posted on 1/28/11 at 6:12 pm to
quote:

you have the top 5 MLB season in HR per game on hand?


1998 was the first time it went over 5,000. It stayed over 5,000 every year until 2007. The high was in 2000.
Posted by dukke v
PLUTO
Member since Jul 2006
216458 posts
Posted on 1/28/11 at 6:13 pm to
quote:

There was a bigger drop from 87 to 88 that can not be explained by steroids and testing.


Just like in 1968 The year of the Pitcher was 1988. WHY??? We may never know. I don't need any IN-DEPTH stats and shite to tell me this.
Posted by TigerintheNO
New Orleans
Member since Jan 2004
44901 posts
Posted on 1/28/11 at 6:28 pm to
I found this interesting-

post WWII HRs
from 1947-1959 the NL hit more HRs than the AL
from 1960-1997 the AL hit more HRs than the NL (with 2 exceptions '66 &'72)
from 1997-2007 the NL hit more HRs than the AL
Posted by dukke v
PLUTO
Member since Jul 2006
216458 posts
Posted on 1/28/11 at 6:29 pm to
GOOD WORK right there.
Posted by Lester Earl
3rd Ward
Member since Nov 2003
290856 posts
Posted on 1/28/11 at 6:37 pm to
quote:

1998 was the first time it went over 5,000. It stayed over 5,000 every year until 2007. The high was in 2000.




just outlier years and coincidence, i assume.
Posted by tduecen
Member since Nov 2006
161246 posts
Posted on 1/28/11 at 6:59 pm to
Since we are on the topic of Maris

1961 Maris had 698 plate appearances his highest total ever, 590 at bats which was tied for his most ever, and played in 161 games his most ever.

The year before 61 Maris hit 39 in only 136 games
The year after 61 Maris did play in 57 games and hit 33 home runs in 590 at bats.

Not saying if he did or did not partake in anything to enhance his performance but he did have his career year in all areas.
Posted by Sophandros
Victoria Concordia Crescit
Member since Feb 2005
45219 posts
Posted on 1/28/11 at 7:04 pm to
On page five, you say that you don't think that everyone was using. Well, the only way that what you're saying on the last couple of pages can make sense is if you believe that everyobe is using. So which is it?
Posted by H-Town Tiger
Member since Nov 2003
61013 posts
Posted on 1/28/11 at 7:11 pm to
No there could lots. Didn't you say they started testing in 04? If so whby did it go up in 06?
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